What Determines the Current Account? a Cross-Sectional and Panel Approach

What Determines the Current Account? a Cross-Sectional and Panel Approach
Author: Mr.Hamid Faruqee
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 42
Release: 1996-06-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451966709

This paper uses cross-section and panel data to examine the determinants of the current account. The empirics find a significant impact of the stage of development and demographic factors in the cross section. Estimating partial-adjustment and error-correction models using panel data, the paper finds a short- and long-run impact of fiscal policy on the current account in the time series. The real exchange rate, the business cycle and the terms of trade are also shown to have short-run effects on the current account, while the stage of development and demographics have longer-run effects.

What Determines the Current Account? A Cross-Sectional and Panel Approach

What Determines the Current Account? A Cross-Sectional and Panel Approach
Author: Guy Debelle
Publisher:
Total Pages: 42
Release: 2006
Genre:
ISBN:

This paper uses cross-section and panel data to examine the determinants of the current account. The empirics find a significant impact of the stage of development and demographic factors in the cross section. Estimating partial-adjustment and error-correction models using panel data, the paper finds a short- and long-run impact of fiscal policy on the current account in the time series. The real exchange rate, the business cycle and the terms of trade are also shown to have short-run effects on the current account, while the stage of development and demographics have longer-run effects.

The External Balance Assessment (EBA) Methodology

The External Balance Assessment (EBA) Methodology
Author: Mr.Steven Phillips
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 68
Release: 2014-01-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484346785

The External Balance Assessment (EBA) methodology has been developed by the IMF’s Research Department as a successor to the CGER methodology for assessing current accounts and exchange rates in a multilaterally consistent manner. Compared to other approaches, EBA emphasizes distinguishing between the positive empirical analysis and the normative assessment of current accounts and exchange rates, and highlights the roles of policies and policy distortions. This paper provides a comprehensive description and discussion of the 2013 version (“2.0”) of the EBA methodology, including areas for its further development.

Income Inequality and Current Account Imbalances

Income Inequality and Current Account Imbalances
Author: Mr.Michael Kumhof
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 44
Release: 2012-01-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1463936397

This paper studies the empirical and theoretical link between increases in income inequality and increases in current account deficits. Cross-sectional econometric evidence shows that higher top income shares, and also financial liberalization, which is a common policy response to increases in income inequality, are associated with substantially larger external deficits. To study this mechanism we develop a DSGE model that features workers whose income share declines at the expense of investors. Loans to workers from domestic and foreign investors support aggregate demand and result in current account deficits. Financial liberalization helps workers smooth consumption, but at the cost of higher household debt and larger current account deficits. In emerging markets, workers cannot borrow from investors, who instead deploy their surplus funds abroad, leading to current account surpluses instead of deficits.

Current Accounts

Current Accounts
Author: Mr.Fabio Scacciavillani
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 42
Release: 1998-05-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451849214

This paper surveys the main theoretical approaches for analyzing movements in the current account of the balance of payments, from the Mundell-Fleming paradigm to modern intertemporal approaches. It discusses the main implications of these analyses for policymaking, highlighting that modern economic theory views current account imbalances not simply as a reflection of goods market developments, but also as an outcome of intertemporal consumption and investment choices and associated capital market behavior. To reflect on the policy strategies applied under diverse circumstances, the paper analyzes the recent experiences of Italy, Israel, and Pakistan.

Exchange Rate Assessment

Exchange Rate Assessment
Author: Mr.Hamid Faruqee
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 92
Release: 1998-07-24
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781557757319

The IMF's internal analysis of exchange rate issues has been guided by, and limited by, the conceptual and empirical frameworks that have emerged from the collective research of the economics profession. The research has provided several general approaches that are useful for assessing whether countries exchange rates seem broadly appropriate. One involves the calculation of purchasing power-party (PPP) measure or international competitiveness indicators. A second, known as the macroeconomic balance framework, focuses on the extent to which prevailing exchange rates and policies are consistent with simultaneous internal and external equilibrium over the medium run. Some recent extensions of the macroeconomic balance approach and the manner in which it is applied by the IMF staff are described in this paper.

International Trade and Finance

International Trade and Finance
Author: Mohd. Akbar Ali Khan
Publisher:
Total Pages: 616
Release: 2006
Genre: India
ISBN:

Contributed articles presented earlier at a National Seminar sponsored by UGC-South Eastern Regional Office predominantly on commercial policy of India and the world.