Time-Varying Linkages of Economic Activities in China and the Stock Markets in ASEAN-5

Time-Varying Linkages of Economic Activities in China and the Stock Markets in ASEAN-5
Author: Kee Teng
Publisher:
Total Pages: 16
Release: 2016
Genre:
ISBN:
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This study attempts to investigate the evolution of dynamic linkages and volatility spillover between the five countries of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN-5) stock markets and China's economic activities. By using the movements and structural breaks of the time-varying correlation and Granger causality test, a suitable destination for equity portfolio diversification can be determined among the studied markets. This study covers monthly data from January 1991 to March 2015. The DCC-MGARCH model shows that the studied countries are time-varying correlated, while the structural break observed by Bai and Perron test coincided with major economic shocks, policy changes and the establishment of regional trade policies. The VAR model Granger causality test observed no volatility spillover from Chinese economic activities to the ASEAN-5 stock markets, except for Malaysia and the Philippines. However, the ASEAN-5 stock markets' volatility exerts a significant influence on China's economy, except for Singapore's stock market volatility. This study reveals that ASEAN-5 has gradually became the preferred destination for diversifying equity portfolios for investors in China.

Asia-Pacific Financial Markets

Asia-Pacific Financial Markets
Author: Suk-Joong Kim
Publisher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 537
Release: 2007-12-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0762314710
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This volume of "International Finance Review" focuses on the Asia-Pacific financial markets. A total of 22 original papers, not published elsewhere, have been selected from a competitive field. These papers utilize a variety of methods, including theoretical, empirical and qualitative to highlight a range of issues across the region. Several papers offer combinations of these different categories and among the empirical papers, there are a wide variety of datasets analyzed. While China does play a significant part in the analysis of five of the papers in this volume (this is to be expected given its importance in the region), a host of other countries are also considered. This ensures the volume is truly international in its scope. These papers each serve to contribute to the knowledge on a particular issue related to the financial markets within this region and for this volume, three main issues have been identified: integration, innovation and challenges. Articles are contributed by experts in their fields. It is truly international in scope.

The International Handbook of Shipping Finance

The International Handbook of Shipping Finance
Author: Manolis G. Kavussanos
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 459
Release: 2016-11-10
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1137465468
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The International Handbook of Shipping Finance is a one-stop resource, offering comprehensive reference to theory and practice in the area of shipping finance. In the multibillion dollar international shipping industry, it is important to understand the various issues involved in the finance of the sector. This involves the identification and evaluation of the alternative sources of capital available for financing the ships, including the appraisal and budgeting of shipping investment projects; legal and insurance aspects of ship finance; the financial analysis and modelling of investment projects; mergers and acquisitions; and the commercial and market risk management issues involved. Edited by two leading academics in this area, and with contributions from 25 prominent market practitioners and academics over 16 chapters, this Handbook covers shipping finance and banking, maritime financial management and investments. As such, it includes: shipping markets; asset backed finance; shipbuilding finance; debt finance; public and private equity and debt markets; structured finance; legal aspects and key clauses of ship mortgages; marine insurance; mechanisms for handling defaulted loans; investment appraisal and capital budgeting; financial analysis and investment modelling; business risk management and freight derivatives; and mergers and acquisitions. Thus, the Handbook offers a rigorous understanding of the different aspects of modern shipping finance and maritime financial management and investments, the various characteristics of the available products, the capital needs and requirements, and a clear view on the different financial management strategies through a series of practical examples and applications. Technical where appropriate, but grounded in market reality, this is a “must-have” reference for anyone involved in shipping finance, from bank practitioners and commodity trading houses, to shipbrokers, lawyers and insurance houses as well as to university students studying shipping finance. Table of Contents Preface by Editors Manolis Kavussanos, Professor, Director, MSc in International Shipping, Finance and Management, Athens University of Economics and Business, Greece Ilias Visvikis, Professor, Director Executive Education and Professional Development, World Maritime University, Sweden Chapter 1: Shipping Markets and their Economic Drivers Jan-Henrik Huebner, Head of Shipping Advisory, DNV GL, Germany Chapter 2: Asset Risk Assessment, Analysis and Forecasting in Asset Backed Finance Henriette Brent Petersen, Head of Shipping & Offshore Research, DVB Bank SE, The Netherlands Chapter 3: Overview of Ship Finance Fotis Giannakoulis, Research Vice President, Morgan Stanley, USA Chapter 4: Shipbuilding Finance Charles Cushing, C.R. Cushing & Co. Inc., USA Chapter 5: Debt Financing in Shipping George Paleokrassas, Partner, Watson, Farley & Williams, Greece Chapter 6: Public Debt Markets for Shipping Basil Karatzas, Founder & CEO, Karatzas Marine Advisors & Co., USA Chapter 7: Public and Private Equity Markets Jeffrey Pribor, Global Head, Maritime Investment Banking, Jefferies LLC, USA Cecilie Lind, Associate Investment Banking, Jefferies LLC, USA Chapter 8: Structured Finance in Shipping Contributor: Ioannis Alexopoulos, Director, Shipping Financier, Eurofin Group, Greece Nikos Stratis, Managing Director of Augustea Group, UK Chapter 9: Key Clauses of a Shipping Loan Agreement Kyriakos Spoullos, Solicitor, Norton Rose Fulbright, Greece Chapter 10: Legal Aspects of Ship Mortgages Simon Norton, Lecturer, Cardiff Business School, UK Claudio Chistè, Investec Bank Plc., UK Chapter 11: Reasons and Mechanics of Handling Defaulted Shipping Loans and Methods of Recovery Dimitris Anagnostopoulos, Board Member & Director, Aegean Baltic Bank, Greece Philippos Tsamanis, VP - Head of Shipping, Aegean Baltic Bank, Greece Chapter 12: Marine Insurance Marc Huybrechts, Professor, University of Antwerp, Belgium Theodora Nikaki, Associate Professor, Swansea University, UK Chapter 13: Maritime Investment Appraisal and Budgeting Wolfgang Drobetz, Professor, University of Hamburg, Germany Stefan Albertijn, CEO, HAMANT Beratungs-und Investitions GmbH, Germany Max Johns, Managing Director, German Shipowners’ Association, Germany Chapter 14: Financial Analysis and Modelling of Ship Investments Lars Patterson, Shipping Investment Analyst, Pacomarine Limited, UK Chapter 15: Maritime Business Risk Management Manolis Kavussanos, Professor, Director, MSc in International Shipping, Finance and Management, Athens University of Economics and Business, Greece Ilias Visvikis, Professor, Director Executive Education and Professional Development, World Maritime University, Sweden Chapter 16: Mergers and Acquisitions in Shipping George Alexandridis, Associate Professor, ICMA Centre, University of Reading, UK Manish Singh, Manish Singh, Group Director - Strategy and M&A, V. Group Limited, UK

Spillovers from China’s Growth Slowdown and Rebalancing to the ASEAN-5 Economies

Spillovers from China’s Growth Slowdown and Rebalancing to the ASEAN-5 Economies
Author: Allan Dizioli
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 35
Release: 2016-08-09
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1475524269
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After many years of rapid expansion, China’s growth is slowing to more sustainable levels and is rebalancing, with consumption becoming the main growth driver. This transition is likely to have negative effects on its trading partners in the near term. This paper studies the potential spillovers to the ASEAN-5 economies through trade, commodity prices, and financial markets. It finds that countries with closer trade linkages with China (Malaysia, Singapore, and Thailand) and net commodity exporters (Indonesia and Malaysia) would suffer the largest impact, with growth falling between 0.2 and 0.5 percentage points in response to a decline in China’s growth by 1 percentage point depending on the model used and the nature of the shock. The impact could be larger if China’s slowdown and rebalancing coincides with bouts of global financial volatility. There are also opportunities from China’s rebalancing, both in merchandise and services trade, and there is preliminary evidence that some ASEAN-5 economies are already benefiting from these trends.

The ASEAN Way

The ASEAN Way
Author: Ms.Ana Corbacho
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 311
Release: 2018-10-02
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513558900
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The first part of the book examines the evolution of monetary policy and prudential frameworks of the ASEAN5, with particular focus on changes since the Asian financial crisis and the more recent period of unconventional monetary policy in advanced economies. The second part of the book looks at policy responses to global financial spillovers. The third and last part of the book elaborates on the challenges ahead for monetary policy, financial stability frameworks, and the deepening of financial markets.

China’s Growing Influence on Asian Financial Markets

China’s Growing Influence on Asian Financial Markets
Author: Mr.Serkan Arslanalp
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 37
Release: 2016-08-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1475525133
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This paper finds that financial spillovers from China to regional markets are on the rise. The main transmission channel appears to be trade linkages, although direct financial linkages are playing an increasing role. Without an impact on global risk premiums, China’s influence on regional markets is not yet to the level of the United States, but comparable to that of Japan. If China-related shocks are coupled with a rise in global risk premiums, as in August 2015 and January 2016, spillovers to the region could be significantly larger. Over the medium term, China’s financial spillovers could rise further with tighter financial linkages with the region, including through the ongoing internationalization of the renminbi and China’s capital account liberalization.

International Financial Contagion

International Financial Contagion
Author: Stijn Claessens
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 461
Release: 2013-04-17
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1475733143
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No sooner had the Asian crisis broken out in 1997 than the witch-hunt started. With great indignation every Asian economy pointed fingers. They were innocent bystanders. The fundamental reason for the crisis was this or that - most prominently contagion - but also the decline in exports of the new commodities (high-tech goods), the steep rise of the dollar, speculators, etc. The prominent question, of course, is whether contagion could really have been the key factor and, if so, what are the channels and mechanisms through which it operated in such a powerful manner. The question is obvious because until 1997, Asia's economies were generally believed to be immensely successful, stable and well managed. This question is of great importance not only in understanding just what happened, but also in shaping policies. In a world of pure contagion, i.e. when innocent bystanders are caught up and trampled by events not of their making and when consequences go far beyond ordinary international shocks, countries will need to look for better protective policies in the future. In such a world, the international financial system will need to change in order to offer better preventive and reactive policy measures to help avoid, or at least contain, financial crises.

Transmission of Financial Crises and Contagion:

Transmission of Financial Crises and Contagion:
Author: Mardi Dungey
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Total Pages: 232
Release: 2011-01-07
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0199842604
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Financial crises often transmit across geographical borders and different asset classes. Modeling these interactions is empirically challenging, and many of the proposed methods give different results when applied to the same data sets. In this book the authors set out their work on a general framework for modeling the transmission of financial crises using latent factor models. They show how their framework encompasses a number of other empirical contagion models and why the results between the models differ. The book builds a framework which begins from considering contagion in the bond markets during 1997-1998 across a number of countries, and culminates in a model which encompasses multiple assets across multiple countries through over a decade of crisis events from East Asia in 1997-1998 to the sub prime crisis during 2008. Program code to support implementation of similar models is available.

ASEAN Centrality and the ASEAN-US Economic Relationship

ASEAN Centrality and the ASEAN-US Economic Relationship
Author: Peter A. Petri
Publisher:
Total Pages: 75
Release: 2014-02-21
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780866382465
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The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) is strategically significant because of its size, dynamism, and role in the Asian economic and security architectures. This paper examines how ASEAN seeks to strengthen these assets through "centrality" in intraregional and external policy decisions. It recommends a two-speed approach toward centrality in order to maximize regional incomes and benefit all member economies: first, selective engagement by ASEAN members in productive external partnerships and, second, vigorous policies to share gains across the region. This strategy has solid underpinnings in the Kemp-Wan theorem on trade agreements. It would warrant, for example, a Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) agreement with incomplete ASEAN membership, complemented with policies to extend gains across the region. The United States could support this framework by pursuing deep relations with some ASEAN members, while broadly assisting the region's development.