The Bayesian Approach to Recursive State Estimation

The Bayesian Approach to Recursive State Estimation
Author: Stuart Charles Kramer
Publisher:
Total Pages: 268
Release: 1985
Genre: Bayesian statistical decision theory
ISBN:

In Bayesian estimation, the objective is to calculate the complete density function for an unknown quantity conditioned on noisy observations of that quantity. This work considers recursive estimation of a nonlinear discrete-time system state using successive observations. The formal recursion for the density function is easily written, but generally there is no closed form solution. The numerical solution proposed here is obtained by modifying the recursion and using a simple piece-wise constant approximation to the density functions. The critical part of the algorithm then becomes a discrete linear convolution that can be realized using FFT's. Keywords: error analysis; and parameter estimation.

Bayesian Filtering and Smoothing

Bayesian Filtering and Smoothing
Author: Simo Särkkä
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 255
Release: 2013-09-05
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 110703065X

A unified Bayesian treatment of the state-of-the-art filtering, smoothing, and parameter estimation algorithms for non-linear state space models.

Stochastic Processes and Filtering Theory

Stochastic Processes and Filtering Theory
Author: Andrew H. Jazwinski
Publisher: Courier Corporation
Total Pages: 404
Release: 2013-04-15
Genre: Science
ISBN: 0486318192

This unified treatment of linear and nonlinear filtering theory presents material previously available only in journals, and in terms accessible to engineering students. Its sole prerequisites are advanced calculus, the theory of ordinary differential equations, and matrix analysis. Although theory is emphasized, the text discusses numerous practical applications as well. Taking the state-space approach to filtering, this text models dynamical systems by finite-dimensional Markov processes, outputs of stochastic difference, and differential equations. Starting with background material on probability theory and stochastic processes, the author introduces and defines the problems of filtering, prediction, and smoothing. He presents the mathematical solutions to nonlinear filtering problems, and he specializes the nonlinear theory to linear problems. The final chapters deal with applications, addressing the development of approximate nonlinear filters, and presenting a critical analysis of their performance.

Recursive Bayesian Methods for Sequential Parameter-state Estimation

Recursive Bayesian Methods for Sequential Parameter-state Estimation
Author: Yinan Huang
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2010
Genre:
ISBN:

A central theme in applied and computational statistics is the accurate and efficient methods of inference. The Bayesian paradigm performs inference based on the posterior distribution of unknown quantities. Throughout decades, there has been an enormous literature on computational Bayesian methods. Practical implementations, while succussful to different degrees, usually impose certain restrictions on the specific model structure. As more applications rely on complex model dynamics, more challenges remain to tackle the curse of high dimensionality and the analytical intractability of many non-Gaussian distributions. This thesis builds on existing research in the field of sequential Bayesian estimation for a general class of state-space models. We establish recursive Bayesian simulation algorithms to estimate parameters and states for a variety of diffusion and jump stochastic models. Our main work and contribution are two-fold. First, we build a particle filter framework for Levy-type state-space models. Particle filters are efficient numerical simulation techniques ideally suitable for highly nonlinear models, with a significant computational advantage over the standard Markov Chain Monte Carlo. Our particle filters can effectively estimate parameters and state variables for non-Gaussian dynamics. We perform empirical testing on financial time series, and find that certain Levy-type small jump processes can be a substitute of the usual Brownian motion-based random walk models. In addition, we propose a general Variational Bayes Particle Filter framework. It is applicable to a wider class of models with a large number of dimensions. Secondly, we build a Variational Bayes estimator for Hidden Markov Models with observational jumps. This is a typical setup for numerous biostatistical data analysis, where huge amounts of streaming data need to be sequentially filtered for potential evidence of the existence of quantitative traits or genetic features. Our algorithm works to identify and classify different responses. The hidden Markov estimator is robust and highly adaptable. In addition, this thesis also includes a self-contained chapter on the technique of Markovian projection. It reduces a complicated multi-dimensional dynamics to a one-dimensional simple Markovian process with identical marginal distributions, therefore keeping certain path-independent expectation values invariant. The projection has certain implications in the pricing of European-style options in financial mathematics. We provide a theorem generalizing existing results to the general Levy jump models, and discuss calibration issues.

Optimal State Estimation for Process Monitoring, Fault Diagnosis and Control

Optimal State Estimation for Process Monitoring, Fault Diagnosis and Control
Author: Ch. Venkateswarlu
Publisher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 400
Release: 2022-01-31
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 0323900682

Optimal State Estimation for Process Monitoring, Fault Diagnosis and Control presents various mechanistic model based state estimators and data-driven model based state estimators with a special emphasis on their development and applications to process monitoring, fault diagnosis and control. The design and analysis of different state estimators are highlighted with a number of applications and case studies concerning to various real chemical and biochemical processes. The book starts with the introduction of basic concepts, extending to classical methods and successively leading to advances in this field. Design and implementation of various classical and advanced state estimation methods to solve a wide variety of problems makes this book immensely useful for the audience working in different disciplines in academics, research and industry in areas concerning to process monitoring, fault diagnosis, control and related disciplines. Describes various classical and advanced versions of mechanistic model based state estimation algorithms Describes various data-driven model based state estimation techniques Highlights a number of real applications of mechanistic model based and data-driven model based state estimators/soft sensors Beneficial to those associated with process monitoring, fault diagnosis, online optimization, control and related areas

State Estimation for Robotics

State Estimation for Robotics
Author: Timothy D. Barfoot
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 532
Release: 2024-01-31
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 100929993X

A key aspect of robotics today is estimating the state (e.g., position and orientation) of a robot, based on noisy sensor data. This book targets students and practitioners of robotics by presenting classical state estimation methods (e.g., the Kalman filter) but also important modern topics such as batch estimation, Bayes filter, sigmapoint and particle filters, robust estimation for outlier rejection, and continuous-time trajectory estimation and its connection to Gaussian-process regression. Since most robots operate in a three-dimensional world, common sensor models (e.g., camera, laser rangefinder) are provided followed by practical advice on how to carry out state estimation for rotational state variables. The book covers robotic applications such as point-cloud alignment, pose-graph relaxation, bundle adjustment, and simultaneous localization and mapping. Highlights of this expanded second edition include a new chapter on variational inference, a new section on inertial navigation, more introductory material on probability, and a primer on matrix calculus.

State Estimation for Robotics

State Estimation for Robotics
Author: Timothy D. Barfoot
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 381
Release: 2017-07-31
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 1107159393

A modern look at state estimation, targeted at students and practitioners of robotics, with emphasis on three-dimensional applications.

Introducing Contextual Awareness Within the State Estimation Process

Introducing Contextual Awareness Within the State Estimation Process
Author: Alexandre Ravet
Publisher:
Total Pages: 193
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

Prevalent approaches for endowing robots with autonomous navigation capabilities require the estimation of a system state representation based on sensor noisy information. This system state usually depicts a set of dynamic variables such as the position, velocity and orientation required for the robot to achieve a task. In robotics, and in many other contexts, research efforts on state estimation converged towards the popular Bayes filter. The primary reason for the success of Bayes filtering is its simplicity, from the mathematical tools required by the recursive filtering equations, to the light and intuitive system representation provided by the underlying Hidden Markov Model. Recursive filtering also provides the most common and reliable method for real-time state estimation thanks to its computational efficiency. To keep low computational complexity, but also because real physical systems are not perfectly understood, and hence never faithfully represented by a model, Bayes filters usually rely on a minimum system state representation. Any unmodeled or unknown aspect of the system is then encompassed within additional noise terms. On the other hand, autonomous navigation requires robustness and adaptation capabilities regarding changing environments. This creates the need for introducing contextual awareness within the filtering process. In this thesis, we specifically focus on enhancing state estimation models for dealing with context-dependent sensor performance alterations. The issue is then to establish a practical balance between computational complexity and realistic modelling of the system through the introduction of contextual information. We investigate on achieving this balance by extending the classical Bayes filter in order to compensate for the optimistic assumptions made by modeling the system through time-homogeneous distributions, while still benefiting from the recursive filtering computational efficiency. Based on raw data provided by a set of sensors and any relevant information, we start by introducing a new context variable, while never trying to characterize a concrete context typology. Within the Bayesian framework, machine learning techniques are then used in order to automatically define a context-dependent time-heterogeneous observation distribution by introducing two additional models: a model providing observation noise predictions and a model providing observation selection rules.The investigation also concerns the impact of the training method we choose. In the context of Bayesian filtering, the model we exploit is usually trained in the generative manner. Thus, optimal parameters are those that allow the model to explain at best the data observed in the training set. On the other hand, discriminative training can implicitly help in compensating for mismodeled aspects of the system, by optimizing the model parameters with respect to the ultimate system performance, the estimate accuracy. Going deeper in the discussion, we also analyse how the training method changes the meaning of the model, and how we can properly exploit this property. Throughout the manuscript, results obtained with simulated and representative real data are presented and analysed.

Optimal State Estimation

Optimal State Estimation
Author: Dan Simon
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 554
Release: 2006-06-19
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 0470045337

A bottom-up approach that enables readers to master and apply the latest techniques in state estimation This book offers the best mathematical approaches to estimating the state of a general system. The author presents state estimation theory clearly and rigorously, providing the right amount of advanced material, recent research results, and references to enable the reader to apply state estimation techniques confidently across a variety of fields in science and engineering. While there are other textbooks that treat state estimation, this one offers special features and a unique perspective and pedagogical approach that speed learning: * Straightforward, bottom-up approach begins with basic concepts and then builds step by step to more advanced topics for a clear understanding of state estimation * Simple examples and problems that require only paper and pen to solve lead to an intuitive understanding of how theory works in practice * MATLAB(r)-based source code that corresponds to examples in the book, available on the author's Web site, enables readers to recreate results and experiment with other simulation setups and parameters Armed with a solid foundation in the basics, readers are presented with a careful treatment of advanced topics, including unscented filtering, high order nonlinear filtering, particle filtering, constrained state estimation, reduced order filtering, robust Kalman filtering, and mixed Kalman/H? filtering. Problems at the end of each chapter include both written exercises and computer exercises. Written exercises focus on improving the reader's understanding of theory and key concepts, whereas computer exercises help readers apply theory to problems similar to ones they are likely to encounter in industry. With its expert blend of theory and practice, coupled with its presentation of recent research results, Optimal State Estimation is strongly recommended for undergraduate and graduate-level courses in optimal control and state estimation theory. It also serves as a reference for engineers and science professionals across a wide array of industries.