A Rational Expectations Approach to Macroeconometrics

A Rational Expectations Approach to Macroeconometrics
Author: Frederic S. Mishkin
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Total Pages: 184
Release: 2007-11-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0226531929

A Rational Expectations Approach to Macroeconometrics pursues a rational expectations approach to the estimation of a class of models widely discussed in the macroeconomics and finance literature: those which emphasize the effects from unanticipated, rather than anticipated, movements in variables. In this volume, Fredrick S. Mishkin first theoretically develops and discusses a unified econometric treatment of these models and then shows how to estimate them with an annotated computer program.

The Rational Expectations Revolution

The Rational Expectations Revolution
Author: Preston J. Miller
Publisher: MIT Press
Total Pages: 534
Release: 1994
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780262631556

These 21 readings describe the orgins and growth of the macroeconomic analysis known as "rational expectations". The readings trace the development of this approach from the late 1970s to the 1990s.

Rational Expectations and Econometric Practice

Rational Expectations and Econometric Practice
Author: Robert E. Lucas
Publisher: U of Minnesota Press
Total Pages: 335
Release: 1988
Genre:
ISBN: 1452908281

Assumptions about how people form expectations for the future shape the properties of any dynamic economic model. To make economic decisions in an uncertain environment people must forecast such variables as future rates of inflation, tax rates, governme.

The Rational Expectation Hypothesis, Time-Varying Parameters and Adaptive Control

The Rational Expectation Hypothesis, Time-Varying Parameters and Adaptive Control
Author: Marco P. Tucci
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 268
Release: 2012-12-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1402028741

One of the major controversies in macroeconomics over the last 30 years has been that on the effectiveness of stabilization policies. However, this debate, between those who believe that this kind of policies is useless if not harmful and those who argue in favor of it, has been mainly theoretical so far. The Rational Expectation Hypothesis, Time-Varying Parameters and Adaptive Control wants to represent a step toward the construction of a common ground on which to empirically compare the two "beliefs" and to do this three strands of literature are brought together. The first strand is the research on time-varying parameters (TVP), the second strand is the work on adaptive control and the third one is the literature on linear stationary models with rational expectations (RE). The material presented in The Rational Expectation Hypothesis, Time-Varying Parameters and Adaptive Control is divided into two parts. Part 1 combines the strand of literature on adaptive control with that on TVP. It generalizes the approach pioneered by Tse and Bar-Shalom (1973) and Kendrick (1981) and one recently used in Amman and Kendrick (2002), where the law of motion of the TVP and the hyperstructural parameters are assumed known, to the case where the hyperstructural parameters are assumed unknown. Part 2 is devoted to the linear single-equation stationary RE model estimated with the error-in-variables (EV) method. It presents a new formulation of this problem based on the use of TVP in an EV model. This new formulation opens the door to a very promising development. All the theory developed in the first part to control a model with TVP can sic et simpliciter be applied to control a model with RE.

Rational Expectations and Inflation

Rational Expectations and Inflation
Author: Thomas J. Sargent
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 390
Release: 2013-05-05
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1400847648

A fully expanded edition of the Nobel Prize–winning economist's classic book This collection of essays uses the lens of rational expectations theory to examine how governments anticipate and plan for inflation, and provides insight into the pioneering research for which Thomas Sargent was awarded the 2011 Nobel Prize in economics. Rational expectations theory is based on the simple premise that people will use all the information available to them in making economic decisions, yet applying the theory to macroeconomics and econometrics is technically demanding. Here, Sargent engages with practical problems in economics in a less formal, noneconometric way, demonstrating how rational expectations can satisfactorily interpret a range of historical and contemporary events. He focuses on periods of actual or threatened depreciation in the value of a nation's currency. Drawing on historical attempts to counter inflation, from the French Revolution and the aftermath of World War I to the economic policies of Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan, Sargent finds that there is no purely monetary cure for inflation; rather, monetary and fiscal policies must be coordinated. This fully expanded edition of Rational Expectations and Inflation includes Sargent's 2011 Nobel lecture, "United States Then, Europe Now." It also features new articles on the macroeconomics of the French Revolution and government budget deficits.

Consumer Expectations

Consumer Expectations
Author: Richard Thomas Curtin
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 365
Release: 2019-02-07
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1107004691

Proposes a new comprehensive theory about how expectations are formed and how they shape the macro economy.