Rational Expectations and Econometric Practice

Rational Expectations and Econometric Practice
Author: Robert E. Lucas
Publisher: U of Minnesota Press
Total Pages: 335
Release: 1988
Genre:
ISBN: 1452908281

Assumptions about how people form expectations for the future shape the properties of any dynamic economic model. To make economic decisions in an uncertain environment people must forecast such variables as future rates of inflation, tax rates, governme.

The Econometrics of Financial Markets

The Econometrics of Financial Markets
Author: John Y. Campbell
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 630
Release: 2012-06-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1400830214

The past twenty years have seen an extraordinary growth in the use of quantitative methods in financial markets. Finance professionals now routinely use sophisticated statistical techniques in portfolio management, proprietary trading, risk management, financial consulting, and securities regulation. This graduate-level textbook is intended for PhD students, advanced MBA students, and industry professionals interested in the econometrics of financial modeling. The book covers the entire spectrum of empirical finance, including: the predictability of asset returns, tests of the Random Walk Hypothesis, the microstructure of securities markets, event analysis, the Capital Asset Pricing Model and the Arbitrage Pricing Theory, the term structure of interest rates, dynamic models of economic equilibrium, and nonlinear financial models such as ARCH, neural networks, statistical fractals, and chaos theory. Each chapter develops statistical techniques within the context of a particular financial application. This exciting new text contains a unique and accessible combination of theory and practice, bringing state-of-the-art statistical techniques to the forefront of financial applications. Each chapter also includes a discussion of recent empirical evidence, for example, the rejection of the Random Walk Hypothesis, as well as problems designed to help readers incorporate what they have read into their own applications.

Interest and Prices

Interest and Prices
Author: Michael Woodford
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 805
Release: 2011-12-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1400830168

With the collapse of the Bretton Woods system, any pretense of a connection of the world's currencies to any real commodity has been abandoned. Yet since the 1980s, most central banks have abandoned money-growth targets as practical guidelines for monetary policy as well. How then can pure "fiat" currencies be managed so as to create confidence in the stability of national units of account? Interest and Prices seeks to provide theoretical foundations for a rule-based approach to monetary policy suitable for a world of instant communications and ever more efficient financial markets. In such a world, effective monetary policy requires that central banks construct a conscious and articulate account of what they are doing. Michael Woodford reexamines the foundations of monetary economics, and shows how interest-rate policy can be used to achieve an inflation target in the absence of either commodity backing or control of a monetary aggregate. The book further shows how the tools of modern macroeconomic theory can be used to design an optimal inflation-targeting regime--one that balances stabilization goals with the pursuit of price stability in a way that is grounded in an explicit welfare analysis, and that takes account of the "New Classical" critique of traditional policy evaluation exercises. It thus argues that rule-based policymaking need not mean adherence to a rigid framework unrelated to stabilization objectives for the sake of credibility, while at the same time showing the advantages of rule-based over purely discretionary policymaking.

Crises in the Economic and Financial Structure

Crises in the Economic and Financial Structure
Author: Paul Wachtel
Publisher: Free Press
Total Pages: 378
Release: 1982
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

Discuss four crisis-prone areas of the economy-monetary control, bankruplcy, the international economy, and speculative bubbles.

Public Sector Debt Statistics

Public Sector Debt Statistics
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 230
Release: 2011-12-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 161635156X

The global financial crisis of recent years and the associated large fiscal deficits and debt levels that have impacted many countries underscores the importance of reliable and timely government statistics and, more broadly, public sector debt as a critical element in countries fiscal and external sustainability. Public Sector Debt Statistics is the first international guide of its kind, and its primary objectives are to improve the quality and timeliness of key debt statistics and promote a convergence of recording practices to foster international comparability and as a reference for national compilers and users for compiling and disseminating these data. Like other statistical guides published by the IMF, this one was prepared in consultation with countries and international agencies, including the nine organizations of the Inter-Agency Task Force on Finance Statistics (TFFS). The guide's preparation was based on the broad range of experience of our institutions and benefitted from consultation with national compilers of government finance and public sector debt statistics. The guide's concepts are harmonized with those of the System of National Accounts (2008) and the Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual, Sixth Edition.

Econometric Analysis of Carbon Markets

Econometric Analysis of Carbon Markets
Author: Julien Chevallier
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 238
Release: 2011-09-21
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9400724128

Through analysis of the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS) and the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), this book demonstrates how to use a variety of econometric techniques to analyze the evolving and expanding carbon markets sphere, techniques that can be extrapolated to the worldwide marketplace. It features stylized facts about carbon markets from an economics perspective, as well as covering key aspects of pricing strategies, risk and portfolio management.

The Foundations of Econometric Analysis

The Foundations of Econometric Analysis
Author: David F. Hendry
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 582
Release: 1997-02-20
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780521588706

Collection of classic papers by pioneer econometricians