The Analysis of Sports Forecasting

The Analysis of Sports Forecasting
Author: William S. Mallios
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 301
Release: 2013-03-09
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1475767137

Given the magnitude of currency speculation and sports gambling, it is surprising that the literature contains mostly negative forecasting results. Majority opinion still holds that short term fluctuations in financial markets follow random walk. In this non-random walk through financial and sports gambling markets, parallels are drawn between modeling short term currency movements and modeling outcomes of athletic encounters. The forecasting concepts and methodologies are identical; only the variables change names. If, in fact, these markets are driven by mechanisms of non-random walk, there must be some explanation for the negative forecasting results. The Analysis of Sports Forecasting: Modeling Parallels Between Sports Gambling and Financial Markets examines this issue.

Forecasting in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets

Forecasting in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets
Author: William S. Mallios
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 207
Release: 2011-03-29
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1118099532

A guide to modeling analyses for financial and sports gambling markets, with a focus on major current events Addressing the highly competitive and risky environments of current-day financial and sports gambling markets, Forecasting in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets details the dynamic process of constructing effective forecasting rules based on both graphical patterns and adaptive drift modeling (ADM) of cointegrated time series. The book uniquely identifies periods of inefficiency that these markets oscillate through and develops profitable forecasting models that capitalize on irrational behavior exhibited during these periods. Providing valuable insights based on the author's firsthand experience, this book utilizes simple, yet unique, candlestick charts to identify optimal time periods in financial markets and optimal games in sports gambling markets for which forecasting models are likely to provide profitable trading and wagering outcomes. Featuring detailed examples that utilize actual data, the book addresses various topics that promote financial and mathematical literacy, including: Higher order ARMA processes in financial markets The effects of gambling shocks in sports gambling markets Cointegrated time series with model drift Modeling volatility Throughout the book, interesting real-world applications are presented, and numerous graphical procedures illustrate favorable trading and betting opportunities, which are accompanied by mathematical developments in adaptive model forecasting and risk assessment. A related web site features updated reviews in sports and financial forecasting and various links on the topic. Forecasting in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets is an excellent book for courses on financial economics and time series analysis at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels. The book is also a valuable reference for researchers and practitioners working in the areas of retail markets, quant funds, hedge funds, and time series. Also, anyone with a general interest in learning about how to profit from the financial and sports gambling markets will find this book to be a valuable resource.

Sports Data Mining

Sports Data Mining
Author: Robert P. Schumaker
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 144
Release: 2010-09-10
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 1441967303

Data mining is the process of extracting hidden patterns from data, and it’s commonly used in business, bioinformatics, counter-terrorism, and, increasingly, in professional sports. First popularized in Michael Lewis’ best-selling Moneyball: The Art of Winning An Unfair Game, it is has become an intrinsic part of all professional sports the world over, from baseball to cricket to soccer. While an industry has developed based on statistical analysis services for any given sport, or even for betting behavior analysis on these sports, no research-level book has considered the subject in any detail until now. Sports Data Mining brings together in one place the state of the art as it concerns an international array of sports: baseball, football, basketball, soccer, greyhound racing are all covered, and the authors (including Hsinchun Chen, one of the most esteemed and well-known experts in data mining in the world) present the latest research, developments, software available, and applications for each sport. They even examine the hidden patterns in gaming and wagering, along with the most common systems for wager analysis.

Sports Analytics and Data Science

Sports Analytics and Data Science
Author: Thomas W. Miller
Publisher: FT Press
Total Pages: 576
Release: 2015-11-18
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0133887413

This is the eBook of the printed book and may not include any media, website access codes, or print supplements that may come packaged with the bound book. This up-to-the-minute reference will help you master all three facets of sports analytics — and use it to win! Sports Analytics and Data Science is the most accessible and practical guide to sports analytics for everyone who cares about winning and everyone who is interested in data science. You’ll discover how successful sports analytics blends business and sports savvy, modern information technology, and sophisticated modeling techniques. You’ll master the discipline through realistic sports vignettes and intuitive data visualizations–not complex math. Every chapter focuses on one key sports analytics application. Miller guides you through assessing players and teams, predicting scores and making game-day decisions, crafting brands and marketing messages, increasing revenue and profitability, and much more. Step by step, you’ll learn how analysts transform raw data and analytical models into wins: both on the field and in any sports business.

Optimal Sports Math, Statistics, and Fantasy

Optimal Sports Math, Statistics, and Fantasy
Author: Robert Kissell
Publisher: Academic Press
Total Pages: 354
Release: 2017-04-06
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 0128052937

Optimal Sports Math, Statistics, and Fantasy provides the sports community—students, professionals, and casual sports fans—with the essential mathematics and statistics required to objectively analyze sports teams, evaluate player performance, and predict game outcomes. These techniques can also be applied to fantasy sports competitions. Readers will learn how to: - Accurately rank sports teams - Compute winning probability - Calculate expected victory margin - Determine the set of factors that are most predictive of team and player performance Optimal Sports Math, Statistics, and Fantasy also illustrates modeling techniques that can be used to decode and demystify the mysterious computer ranking schemes that are often employed by post-season tournament selection committees in college and professional sports. These methods offer readers a verifiable and unbiased approach to evaluate and rank teams, and the proper statistical procedures to test and evaluate the accuracy of different models. Optimal Sports Math, Statistics, and Fantasy delivers a proven best-in-class quantitative modeling framework with numerous applications throughout the sports world. - Statistical approaches to predict winning team, probabilities, and victory margin - Procedures to evaluate the accuracy of different models - Detailed analysis of how mathematics and statistics are used in a variety of different sports - Advanced mathematical applications that can be applied to fantasy sports, player evaluation, salary negotiation, team selection, and Hall of Fame determination

Sports Metric Forecasting

Sports Metric Forecasting
Author: William Mallios
Publisher: Xlibris Corporation
Total Pages: 112
Release: 2014-11-17
Genre: Sports & Recreation
ISBN: 1503517322

Outcomes of major league games—winning/losing margins and total points scored relative to the odds makers’ lines in baseball, basketball and football—are graphed in terms of sports metric candlestick charts and then forecast in terms of adaptive drift modeling. The charts are constructed to reveal ad hoc forecasting patterns that may contribute to effective forecasting. These patterns are then included with variables contained in major sports data bases. The augmented data bases then provide input variables in the drift modeling forecasts.

Artificial Intelligence in Sport Performance Analysis

Artificial Intelligence in Sport Performance Analysis
Author: Duarte Araújo
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 221
Release: 2021-04-20
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 1000380122

To understand the dynamic patterns of behaviours and interactions between athletes that characterize successful performance in different sports is an important challenge for all sport practitioners. This book guides the reader in understanding how an ecological dynamics framework for use of artificial intelligence (AI) can be implemented to interpret sport performance and the design of practice contexts. By examining how AI methodologies are utilized in team games, such as football, as well as in individual sports, such as golf and climbing, this book provides a better understanding of the kinematic and physiological indicators that might better capture athletic performance by looking at the current state-of-the-art AI approaches. Artificial Intelligence in Sport Performance Analysis provides an all-encompassing perspective in an innovative approach that signals practical applications for both academics and practitioners in the fields of coaching, sports analysis, and sport science, as well as related subjects such as engineering, computer and data science, and statistics.

Sport Industry Research and Analysis

Sport Industry Research and Analysis
Author: Jacquelyn Cuneen
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 263
Release: 2017-05-08
Genre: Sports & Recreation
ISBN: 1351817116

Sport Industry Research & Analysis offers a no-nonsense, straightforward approach to the study of research design and statistical analysis in the sport enterprise. Each chapter outlines real-world instances in which research and statistics contribute to bottom-line decisions. The book includes clear, progressive instructions, using spreadsheets for statistical computations and analyses. The explanations for the calculations and analyses are presented in the context of sport industry scenarios with sample data. Additional scenarios with sample data provide hands-on practice with each statistical test. "In Practice" contributions from sport industry professionals demonstrate how these practitioners use research and statistical analysis in their everyday tasks. This book's succinct, applied approach to research design and statistical analyses provides readers with essential skills to help them understand the importance of an information-based approach to decision making in the sport enterprise.

Applied Sport Business Analytics

Applied Sport Business Analytics
Author: Christopher Atwater
Publisher: Human Kinetics
Total Pages: 218
Release: 2022-03-17
Genre: Sports administration
ISBN: 1492598534

"This book addresses the fundamental use of analytical metrics to inform sport managers, framing sport analytics for practical use within organizations. The book is organized to present the background of sport analytics, why it is useful, selected techniques and tools employed, and its applications in sport organizations. The text guides the reader in selecting and communicating information in a useable format, and the translation of metrics in informing managers, guiding decisions, and maximizing efficiency in achieving desired outcomes"--