Analysis of Economic Time Series

Analysis of Economic Time Series
Author: Marc Nerlove
Publisher: Academic Press
Total Pages: 495
Release: 2014-05-10
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1483218880

Analysis of Economic Time Series: A Synthesis integrates several topics in economic time-series analysis, including the formulation and estimation of distributed-lag models of dynamic economic behavior; the application of spectral analysis in the study of the behavior of economic time series; and unobserved-components models for economic time series and the closely related problem of seasonal adjustment. Comprised of 14 chapters, this volume begins with a historical background on the use of unobserved components in the analysis of economic time series, followed by an Introduction to the theory of stationary time series. Subsequent chapters focus on the spectral representation and its estimation; formulation of distributed-lag models; elements of the theory of prediction and extraction; and formulation of unobserved-components models and canonical forms. Seasonal adjustment techniques and multivariate mixed moving-average autoregressive time-series models are also considered. Finally, a time-series model of the U.S. cattle industry is presented. This monograph will be of value to mathematicians, economists, and those interested in economic theory, econometrics, and mathematical economics.

Economic Time Series

Economic Time Series
Author: William R. Bell
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 544
Release: 2018-11-14
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1439846588

Economic Time Series: Modeling and Seasonality is a focused resource on analysis of economic time series as pertains to modeling and seasonality, presenting cutting-edge research that would otherwise be scattered throughout diverse peer-reviewed journals. This compilation of 21 chapters showcases the cross-fertilization between the fields of time s

Time Series in Economics and Finance

Time Series in Economics and Finance
Author: Tomas Cipra
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 409
Release: 2020-08-31
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3030463478

This book presents the principles and methods for the practical analysis and prediction of economic and financial time series. It covers decomposition methods, autocorrelation methods for univariate time series, volatility and duration modeling for financial time series, and multivariate time series methods, such as cointegration and recursive state space modeling. It also includes numerous practical examples to demonstrate the theory using real-world data, as well as exercises at the end of each chapter to aid understanding. This book serves as a reference text for researchers, students and practitioners interested in time series, and can also be used for university courses on econometrics or computational finance.

Forecasting Economic Time Series

Forecasting Economic Time Series
Author: C. W. J. Granger
Publisher: Academic Press
Total Pages: 353
Release: 2014-05-10
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1483273245

Economic Theory, Econometrics, and Mathematical Economics, Second Edition: Forecasting Economic Time Series presents the developments in time series analysis and forecasting theory and practice. This book discusses the application of time series procedures in mainstream economic theory and econometric model building. Organized into 10 chapters, this edition begins with an overview of the problem of dealing with time series possessing a deterministic seasonal component. This text then provides a description of time series in terms of models known as the time-domain approach. Other chapters consider an alternative approach, known as spectral or frequency-domain analysis, that often provides useful insights into the properties of a series. This book discusses as well a unified approach to the fitting of linear models to a given time series. The final chapter deals with the main advantage of having a Gaussian series wherein the optimal single series, least-squares forecast will be a linear forecast. This book is a valuable resource for economists.

The Econometric Analysis of Time Series

The Econometric Analysis of Time Series
Author: Andrew C. Harvey
Publisher:
Total Pages: 387
Release: 1990
Genre: Econometrics
ISBN: 9780860031925

Coverage has been extended to include recent topics. The book again presents a unified treatment of economic theory, with the method of maximum likelihood playing a key role in both estimation and testing. Exercises are included and the book is suitable as a general text for final-year undergraduate and postgraduate students.

The Econometric Analysis of Seasonal Time Series

The Econometric Analysis of Seasonal Time Series
Author: Eric Ghysels
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 258
Release: 2001-06-18
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780521565882

Eric Ghysels and Denise R. Osborn provide a thorough and timely review of the recent developments in the econometric analysis of seasonal economic time series, summarizing a decade of theoretical advances in the area. The authors discuss the asymptotic distribution theory for linear nonstationary seasonal stochastic processes. They also cover the latest contributions to the theory and practice of seasonal adjustment, together with its implications for estimation and hypothesis testing. Moreover, a comprehensive analysis of periodic models is provided, including stationary and nonstationary cases. The book concludes with a discussion of some nonlinear seasonal and periodic models. The treatment is designed for an audience of researchers and advanced graduate students.

Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Economic and Financial Data

Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Economic and Financial Data
Author: Philip Rothman
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 394
Release: 1999-01-31
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0792383796

Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Economic and Financial Data provides an examination of the flourishing interest that has developed in this area over the past decade. The constant theme throughout this work is that standard linear time series tools leave unexamined and unexploited economically significant features in frequently used data sets. The book comprises original contributions written by specialists in the field, and offers a combination of both applied and methodological papers. It will be useful to both seasoned veterans of nonlinear time series analysis and those searching for an informative panoramic look at front-line developments in the area.

Time Series Econometrics

Time Series Econometrics
Author: Klaus Neusser
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 421
Release: 2016-06-14
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 331932862X

This text presents modern developments in time series analysis and focuses on their application to economic problems. The book first introduces the fundamental concept of a stationary time series and the basic properties of covariance, investigating the structure and estimation of autoregressive-moving average (ARMA) models and their relations to the covariance structure. The book then moves on to non-stationary time series, highlighting its consequences for modeling and forecasting and presenting standard statistical tests and regressions. Next, the text discusses volatility models and their applications in the analysis of financial market data, focusing on generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic (GARCH) models. The second part of the text devoted to multivariate processes, such as vector autoregressive (VAR) models and structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) models, which have become the main tools in empirical macroeconomics. The text concludes with a discussion of co-integrated models and the Kalman Filter, which is being used with increasing frequency. Mathematically rigorous, yet application-oriented, this self-contained text will help students develop a deeper understanding of theory and better command of the models that are vital to the field. Assuming a basic knowledge of statistics and/or econometrics, this text is best suited for advanced undergraduate and beginning graduate students.