Stochastic Complexity And Statistics
Download Stochastic Complexity And Statistics full books in PDF, epub, and Kindle. Read online free Stochastic Complexity And Statistics ebook anywhere anytime directly on your device. Fast Download speed and no annoying ads. We cannot guarantee that every ebooks is available!
Author | : Jorma Rissanen |
Publisher | : World Scientific |
Total Pages | : 191 |
Release | : 1998-10-07 |
Genre | : Technology & Engineering |
ISBN | : 9814507407 |
This book describes how model selection and statistical inference can be founded on the shortest code length for the observed data, called the stochastic complexity. This generalization of the algorithmic complexity not only offers an objective view of statistics, where no prejudiced assumptions of 'true' data generating distributions are needed, but it also in one stroke leads to calculable expressions in a range of situations of practical interest and links very closely with mainstream statistical theory. The search for the smallest stochastic complexity extends the classical maximum likelihood technique to a new global one, in which models can be compared regardless of their numbers of parameters. The result is a natural and far reaching extension of the traditional theory of estimation, where the Fisher information is replaced by the stochastic complexity and the Cramer-Rao inequality by an extension of the Shannon-Kullback inequality. Ideas are illustrated with applications from parametric and non-parametric regression, density and spectrum estimation, time series, hypothesis testing, contingency tables, and data compression.
Author | : Jorma Rissanen |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 145 |
Release | : 2007-12-15 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : 0387688129 |
No statistical model is "true" or "false," "right" or "wrong"; the models just have varying performance, which can be assessed. The main theme in this book is to teach modeling based on the principle that the objective is to extract the information from data that can be learned with suggested classes of probability models. The intuitive and fundamental concepts of complexity, learnable information, and noise are formalized, which provides a firm information theoretic foundation for statistical modeling. Although the prerequisites include only basic probability calculus and statistics, a moderate level of mathematical proficiency would be beneficial.
Author | : J. Franke |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 266 |
Release | : 2012-12-06 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : 1461212146 |
Complex dynamic processes of life and sciences generate risks that have to be taken. The need for clear and distinctive definitions of different kinds of risks, adequate methods and parsimonious models is obvious. The identification of important risk factors and the quantification of risk stemming from an interplay between many risk factors is a prerequisite for mastering the challenges of risk perception, analysis and management successfully. The increasing complexity of stochastic systems, especially in finance, have catalysed the use of advanced statistical methods for these tasks. The methodological approach to solving risk management tasks may, however, be undertaken from many different angles. A financial insti tution may focus on the risk created by the use of options and other derivatives in global financial processing, an auditor will try to evalu ate internal risk management models in detail, a mathematician may be interested in analysing the involved nonlinearities or concentrate on extreme and rare events of a complex stochastic system, whereas a statis tician may be interested in model and variable selection, practical im plementations and parsimonious modelling. An economist may think about the possible impact of risk management tools in the framework of efficient regulation of financial markets or efficient allocation of capital.
Author | : M. Reza Rahimi Tabar |
Publisher | : Springer |
Total Pages | : 290 |
Release | : 2019-07-04 |
Genre | : Science |
ISBN | : 3030184722 |
This book focuses on a central question in the field of complex systems: Given a fluctuating (in time or space), uni- or multi-variant sequentially measured set of experimental data (even noisy data), how should one analyse non-parametrically the data, assess underlying trends, uncover characteristics of the fluctuations (including diffusion and jump contributions), and construct a stochastic evolution equation? Here, the term "non-parametrically" exemplifies that all the functions and parameters of the constructed stochastic evolution equation can be determined directly from the measured data. The book provides an overview of methods that have been developed for the analysis of fluctuating time series and of spatially disordered structures. Thanks to its feasibility and simplicity, it has been successfully applied to fluctuating time series and spatially disordered structures of complex systems studied in scientific fields such as physics, astrophysics, meteorology, earth science, engineering, finance, medicine and the neurosciences, and has led to a number of important results. The book also includes the numerical and analytical approaches to the analyses of complex time series that are most common in the physical and natural sciences. Further, it is self-contained and readily accessible to students, scientists, and researchers who are familiar with traditional methods of mathematics, such as ordinary, and partial differential equations. The codes for analysing continuous time series are available in an R package developed by the research group Turbulence, Wind energy and Stochastic (TWiSt) at the Carl von Ossietzky University of Oldenburg under the supervision of Prof. Dr. Joachim Peinke. This package makes it possible to extract the (stochastic) evolution equation underlying a set of data or measurements.
Author | : J. K. Lindsey |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 356 |
Release | : 2004-08-02 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : 9781139454513 |
This book was first published in 2004. Many observed phenomena, from the changing health of a patient to values on the stock market, are characterised by quantities that vary over time: stochastic processes are designed to study them. This book introduces practical methods of applying stochastic processes to an audience knowledgeable only in basic statistics. It covers almost all aspects of the subject and presents the theory in an easily accessible form that is highlighted by application to many examples. These examples arise from dozens of areas, from sociology through medicine to engineering. Complementing these are exercise sets making the book suited for introductory courses in stochastic processes. Software (available from www.cambridge.org) is provided for the freely available R system for the reader to apply to all the models presented.
Author | : Manfred Denker |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 550 |
Release | : 1998-11-01 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : 9780817640316 |
Integrates traditional statistical data analysis with new computational experimentation capabilities and concepts of algorithmic complexity and chaotic behavior in nonlinear dynamic systems, offering tools for the study of random phenomena occurring in engineering and the natural, life, and social sciences. Each chapter presents experiments, exercises, and projects using the Mathematica Uncertain Virtual Worlds software packages. Large and original real-life data sets are introduced and analyzed as a model for independent study. Includes brief tutorials on using Mathematica programs. Intended as a text for an introductory level statistics course. Prerequisites include calculus and basic computer programming. Annotation copyrighted by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR
Author | : Andreas Schadschneider |
Publisher | : Elsevier |
Total Pages | : 585 |
Release | : 2010-10-01 |
Genre | : Science |
ISBN | : 0080560520 |
The first part of the book provides a pedagogical introduction to the physics of complex systems driven far from equilibrium. In this part we discuss the basic concepts and theoretical techniques which are commonly used to study classical stochastic transport in systems of interacting driven particles. The analytical techniques include mean-field theories, matrix product ansatz, renormalization group, etc. and the numerical methods are mostly based on computer simulations. In the second part of the book these concepts and techniques are applied not only to vehicular traffic but also to transport and traffic-like phenomena in living systems ranging from collective movements of social insects (for example, ants) on trails to intracellular molecular motor transport. These demonstrate the conceptual unity of the fundamental principles underlying the apparent diversity of the systems and the utility of the theoretical toolbox of non-equilibrium statistical mechanics in interdisciplinary research far beyond the traditional disciplinary boundaries of physics. - Leading industry experts provide a broad overview of the interdisciplinary nature of physics - Presents unified descriptions of intracellular, ant, and vehicular traffic from a physics point of view - Applies theoretical methods in practical everyday situations - Reference and guide for physicists, engineers and graduate students
Author | : James Sethna |
Publisher | : OUP Oxford |
Total Pages | : 374 |
Release | : 2006-04-07 |
Genre | : Science |
ISBN | : 0191566217 |
In each generation, scientists must redefine their fields: abstracting, simplifying and distilling the previous standard topics to make room for new advances and methods. Sethna's book takes this step for statistical mechanics - a field rooted in physics and chemistry whose ideas and methods are now central to information theory, complexity, and modern biology. Aimed at advanced undergraduates and early graduate students in all of these fields, Sethna limits his main presentation to the topics that future mathematicians and biologists, as well as physicists and chemists, will find fascinating and central to their work. The amazing breadth of the field is reflected in the author's large supply of carefully crafted exercises, each an introduction to a whole field of study: everything from chaos through information theory to life at the end of the universe.
Author | : David Mumford |
Publisher | : CRC Press |
Total Pages | : 422 |
Release | : 2010-08-09 |
Genre | : Computers |
ISBN | : 1439865566 |
Pattern theory is a distinctive approach to the analysis of all forms of real-world signals. At its core is the design of a large variety of probabilistic models whose samples reproduce the look and feel of the real signals, their patterns, and their variability. Bayesian statistical inference then allows you to apply these models in the analysis o
Author | : Olivier Catoni |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 290 |
Release | : 2004 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : 9783540225720 |