Statistical Validation of Stochastic Models

Statistical Validation of Stochastic Models
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages: 8
Release: 1996
Genre:
ISBN:

It is common practice in structural dynamics to develop mathematical models for system behavior, and the authors are now capable of developing stochastic models, i.e., models whose parameters are random variables. Such models have random characteristics that are meant to simulate the randomness in characteristics of experimentally observed systems. This paper suggests a formal statistical procedure for the validation of mathematical models of stochastic systems when data taken during operation of the stochastic system are available. The statistical characteristics of the experimental system are obtained using the bootstrap, a technique for the statistical analysis of non-Gaussian data. The authors propose a procedure to determine whether or not a mathematical model is an acceptable model of a stochastic system with regard to user-specified measures of system behavior. A numerical example is presented to demonstrate the application of the technique.

Statistical Topics and Stochastic Models for Dependent Data with Applications

Statistical Topics and Stochastic Models for Dependent Data with Applications
Author: Vlad Stefan Barbu
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 288
Release: 2020-10-09
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1119779413

This book is a collective volume authored by leading scientists in the field of stochastic modelling, associated statistical topics and corresponding applications. The main classes of stochastic processes for dependent data investigated throughout this book are Markov, semi-Markov, autoregressive and piecewise deterministic Markov models. The material is divided into three parts corresponding to: (i) Markov and semi-Markov processes, (ii) autoregressive processes and (iii) techniques based on divergence measures and entropies. A special attention is payed to applications in reliability, survival analysis and related fields.

Stochastic Complexity In Statistical Inquiry

Stochastic Complexity In Statistical Inquiry
Author: Jorma Rissanen
Publisher: World Scientific
Total Pages: 191
Release: 1998-10-07
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 9814507407

This book describes how model selection and statistical inference can be founded on the shortest code length for the observed data, called the stochastic complexity. This generalization of the algorithmic complexity not only offers an objective view of statistics, where no prejudiced assumptions of 'true' data generating distributions are needed, but it also in one stroke leads to calculable expressions in a range of situations of practical interest and links very closely with mainstream statistical theory. The search for the smallest stochastic complexity extends the classical maximum likelihood technique to a new global one, in which models can be compared regardless of their numbers of parameters. The result is a natural and far reaching extension of the traditional theory of estimation, where the Fisher information is replaced by the stochastic complexity and the Cramer-Rao inequality by an extension of the Shannon-Kullback inequality. Ideas are illustrated with applications from parametric and non-parametric regression, density and spectrum estimation, time series, hypothesis testing, contingency tables, and data compression.

Stochastic Models, Statistics and Their Applications

Stochastic Models, Statistics and Their Applications
Author: Ansgar Steland
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 450
Release: 2019-10-15
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 3030286657

This volume presents selected and peer-reviewed contributions from the 14th Workshop on Stochastic Models, Statistics and Their Applications, held in Dresden, Germany, on March 6-8, 2019. Addressing the needs of theoretical and applied researchers alike, the contributions provide an overview of the latest advances and trends in the areas of mathematical statistics and applied probability, and their applications to high-dimensional statistics, econometrics and time series analysis, statistics for stochastic processes, statistical machine learning, big data and data science, random matrix theory, quality control, change-point analysis and detection, finance, copulas, survival analysis and reliability, sequential experiments, empirical processes, and microsimulations. As the book demonstrates, stochastic models and related statistical procedures and algorithms are essential to more comprehensively understanding and solving present-day problems arising in e.g. the natural sciences, machine learning, data science, engineering, image analysis, genetics, econometrics and finance.

An Introduction to Stochastic Modeling

An Introduction to Stochastic Modeling
Author: Howard M. Taylor
Publisher: Academic Press
Total Pages: 410
Release: 2014-05-10
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1483269272

An Introduction to Stochastic Modeling provides information pertinent to the standard concepts and methods of stochastic modeling. This book presents the rich diversity of applications of stochastic processes in the sciences. Organized into nine chapters, this book begins with an overview of diverse types of stochastic models, which predicts a set of possible outcomes weighed by their likelihoods or probabilities. This text then provides exercises in the applications of simple stochastic analysis to appropriate problems. Other chapters consider the study of general functions of independent, identically distributed, nonnegative random variables representing the successive intervals between renewals. This book discusses as well the numerous examples of Markov branching processes that arise naturally in various scientific disciplines. The final chapter deals with queueing models, which aid the design process by predicting system performance. This book is a valuable resource for students of engineering and management science. Engineers will also find this book useful.

Stochastic Models: Analysis and Applications

Stochastic Models: Analysis and Applications
Author: B. R. Bhat
Publisher: New Age International
Total Pages: 412
Release: 2004
Genre: Mathematical statistics
ISBN: 9788122412284

The Book Presents A Systematic Exposition Of The Basic Theory And Applications Of Stochastic Models.Emphasising The Modelling Rather Than Mathematical Aspects Of Stochastic Processes, The Book Bridges The Gap Between The Theory And Applications Of These Processes.The Basic Building Blocks Of Model Construction Are Explained In A Step By Step Manner, Starting From The Simplest Model Of Random Walk And Proceeding Gradually To More Complicated Models. Several Examples Are Given Throughout The Text To Illustrate Important Analytical Properties As Well As To Provide Applications.The Book Also Includes A Detailed Chapter On Inference For Stochastic Processes. This Chapter Highlights Some Of The Recent Developments In The Subject And Explains Them Through Illustrative Examples.An Important Feature Of The Book Is The Complements And Problems Section At The End Of Each Chapter Which Presents (I) Additional Properties Of The Model, (Ii) Extensions Of The Model, And (Iii) Applications Of The Model To Different Areas.With All These Features, This Is An Invaluable Text For Post-Graduate Students Of Statistics, Mathematics And Operation Research.

Assessing the Reliability of Complex Models

Assessing the Reliability of Complex Models
Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
Total Pages: 144
Release: 2012-07-26
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 0309256348

Advances in computing hardware and algorithms have dramatically improved the ability to simulate complex processes computationally. Today's simulation capabilities offer the prospect of addressing questions that in the past could be addressed only by resource-intensive experimentation, if at all. Assessing the Reliability of Complex Models recognizes the ubiquity of uncertainty in computational estimates of reality and the necessity for its quantification. As computational science and engineering have matured, the process of quantifying or bounding uncertainties in a computational estimate of a physical quality of interest has evolved into a small set of interdependent tasks: verification, validation, and uncertainty of quantification (VVUQ). In recognition of the increasing importance of computational simulation and the increasing need to assess uncertainties in computational results, the National Research Council was asked to study the mathematical foundations of VVUQ and to recommend steps that will ultimately lead to improved processes. Assessing the Reliability of Complex Models discusses changes in education of professionals and dissemination of information that should enhance the ability of future VVUQ practitioners to improve and properly apply VVUQ methodologies to difficult problems, enhance the ability of VVUQ customers to understand VVUQ results and use them to make informed decisions, and enhance the ability of all VVUQ stakeholders to communicate with each other. This report is an essential resource for all decision and policy makers in the field, students, stakeholders, UQ experts, and VVUQ educators and practitioners.

Statistical Modeling and Analysis for Complex Data Problems

Statistical Modeling and Analysis for Complex Data Problems
Author: Pierre Duchesne
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 354
Release: 2005-04-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780387245546

STATISTICAL MODELING AND ANALYSIS FOR COMPLEX DATA PROBLEMS treats some of today’s more complex problems and it reflects some of the important research directions in the field. Twenty-nine authors—largely from Montreal’s GERAD Multi-University Research Center and who work in areas of theoretical statistics, applied statistics, probability theory, and stochastic processes—present survey chapters on various theoretical and applied problems of importance and interest to researchers and students across a number of academic domains. Some of the areas and topics examined in the volume are: an analysis of complex survey data, the 2000 American presidential election in Florida, data mining, estimation of uncertainty for machine learning algorithms, interacting stochastic processes, dependent data & copulas, Bayesian analysis of hazard rates, re-sampling methods in a periodic replacement problem, statistical testing in genetics and for dependent data, statistical analysis of time series analysis, theoretical and applied stochastic processes, and an efficient non linear filtering algorithm for the position detection of multiple targets. The book examines the methods and problems from a modeling perspective and surveys the state of current research on each topic and provides direction for further research exploration of the area.

Stochastic Models, Statistics and Their Applications

Stochastic Models, Statistics and Their Applications
Author: Ansgar Steland
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 479
Release: 2015-02-04
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 3319138812

This volume presents the latest advances and trends in stochastic models and related statistical procedures. Selected peer-reviewed contributions focus on statistical inference, quality control, change-point analysis and detection, empirical processes, time series analysis, survival analysis and reliability, statistics for stochastic processes, big data in technology and the sciences, statistical genetics, experiment design, and stochastic models in engineering. Stochastic models and related statistical procedures play an important part in furthering our understanding of the challenging problems currently arising in areas of application such as the natural sciences, information technology, engineering, image analysis, genetics, energy and finance, to name but a few. This collection arises from the 12th Workshop on Stochastic Models, Statistics and Their Applications, Wroclaw, Poland.