Signal-Jamming in a Sequential Auction

Signal-Jamming in a Sequential Auction
Author: Wei Ding
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2017
Genre:
ISBN:

In a recurring auction early bids may reveal bidders' types, which in turn affects bidding in later auctions. Bidders take this into account and may bid in a way that conceals their private information until the last auction is played. The present paper analyzes the equilibrium of a sequence of first-price auctions assuming bidders have stable private values. We show that signal-jamming occurs and explore the dynamics of equilibrium prices.

Sequential Auction Design and Participant Behavior

Sequential Auction Design and Participant Behavior
Author: Kendra C. Taylor
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2005
Genre: Auctions
ISBN:

This thesis studies the impact of sequential auction design on participant behavior from both a theoretical and an empirical viewpoint. In the first of the two analyses, three sequential auction designs are characterized and compared based on expected profitability to the participants. The optimal bid strategy is derived as well. One of the designs, the alternating design, is a new auction design and is a blend of the other two. It assumes that the ability to bid in or initiate an auction is given to each side of the market in an alternating fashion to simulate seasonal markets. The conditions for an equilibrium auction design are derived and characteristics of the equilibrium are outlined. The primary result is that the alternating auction is a viable compromise auction design when buyers and suppliers disagree on whether to hold a sequence of forward or reverse auctions. We also found the value of information on future private value for a strategic supplier in a two-period case of the alternating and reverse auction designs. The empirical work studies the cause of low aggregation of timber supply in reverse auctions of an online timber exchange. Unlike previous research results regarding timber auctions, which focus on offline public auctions held by the U.S. Forest Service, we study online private auctions between logging companies and mills. A limited survey of the online auction data revealed that the auctions were successful less than 50% of the time. Regression analysis is used to determine which internal and external factors to the auction affect the aggregation of timber in an effort to determine the reason that so few auctions succeeded. The analysis revealed that the number of bidders, the description of the good and the volume demanded had a significant influence on the amount of timber supplied through the online auction exchange. A plausible explanation for the low aggregation is that the exchange was better suited to check the availability for custom cuts of timber and to transact standard timber.

Flexible Decision-Making in Sequential Auctions

Flexible Decision-Making in Sequential Auctions
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2004
Genre:
ISBN:

Because sequential auctions have permeated society more than ever, it is desirable for participants to have the optimal strategies beforehand. However, finding closed-form solutions to various sequential auction games is challenging. Current literature provides some answers for specific cases but not for general cases. A decision support system that can automate optimal bids for players in different sequential auction games will be useful in solving these complex economic problems, which requires not only economic but also computational efficiency. This thesis contributes in several directions. First, this dissertation derives results related to the multiplicity of equilibria in first-price, sealed-bid (FPSB) auctions, and sequential FPSB auctions, with discrete bids under complete information. It also provides theoretical results for FPSB auctions with discrete bids under incomplete information. These results are applicable to both two-person and multi-person cases. Second, this thesis develops a technique to compute strategies in sequential auctions. It applies Monte Carlo simulation to approximate perfect Bayesian equilibrium for sequential auctions with discrete bids and incomplete information. It also utilizes the leveraged substructure of the game tree which can dramatically reduce the memory and computation time required to solve the game. This approach is applicable to sequences of a wide variety of auctions. Finally, this thesis analyzes the impact of information in sequential auctions with continuous bids and incomplete information when bids are revealed. It provides theoretical results especially the non-existence of pure-strategy symmetric equilibrium in both the symmetric sequential FPSB and the symmetric sequential Vickrey auctions.

Sequential Auctions with Information About Future Goods

Sequential Auctions with Information About Future Goods
Author: Robert Zeithammer
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2010
Genre:
ISBN:

When capacity-constrained bidders have information about a good sold in a future auction, they need to take the information into account in forming today's bids. The capacity constraint makes even otherwise unrelated objects substitutes and creates an equilibrium link between future competition and current bidding strategy. This paper proves the existence and uniqueness of a symmetric pure-strategy equilibrium under mild conditions on the population distribution of valuations, characterizes general properties of the equilibrium bidding strategy, and provides a simple technique for numerically approximating the bidding strategy for arbitrary valuation distributions. The key property of the equilibrium is that almost all bidders submit positive bids in the first stage, thereby ensuring trade with probability one. Even bidders who strongly prefer the second object submit a positive bid in the first auction, because losing the first auction is informative about the remaining competitors who also lost, and losing with a low bid indicates that these competitors are quite strong. Because of the guaranteed trade, the sequential auction with information about future goods is a very efficient trading mechanism, achieving more than 98 percent of the potential gains from trade across a wide variety of settings.