Introduction to Financial Forecasting in Investment Analysis

Introduction to Financial Forecasting in Investment Analysis
Author: John B. Guerard, Jr.
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 245
Release: 2013-01-04
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1461452392

Forecasting—the art and science of predicting future outcomes—has become a crucial skill in business and economic analysis. This volume introduces the reader to the tools, methods, and techniques of forecasting, specifically as they apply to financial and investing decisions. With an emphasis on "earnings per share" (eps), the author presents a data-oriented text on financial forecasting, understanding financial data, assessing firm financial strategies (such as share buybacks and R&D spending), creating efficient portfolios, and hedging stock portfolios with financial futures. The opening chapters explain how to understand economic fluctuations and how the stock market leads the general economic trend; introduce the concept of portfolio construction and how movements in the economy influence stock price movements; and introduce the reader to the forecasting process, including exponential smoothing and time series model estimations. Subsequent chapters examine the composite index of leading economic indicators (LEI); review financial statement analysis and mean-variance efficient portfolios; and assess the effectiveness of analysts’ earnings forecasts. Using data from such firms as Intel, General Electric, and Hitachi, Guerard demonstrates how forecasting tools can be applied to understand the business cycle, evaluate market risk, and demonstrate the impact of global stock selection modeling and portfolio construction.

Quantitative Investment Analysis

Quantitative Investment Analysis
Author: Richard A. DeFusco
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 635
Release: 2015-10-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1119104602

Your complete guide to quantitative analysis in the investment industry Quantitative Investment Analysis, Third Edition is a newly revised and updated text that presents you with a blend of theory and practice materials to guide you through the use of statistics within the context of finance and investment. With equal focus on theoretical concepts and their practical applications, this approachable resource offers features, such as learning outcome statements, that are targeted at helping you understand, retain, and apply the information you have learned. Throughout the text's chapters, you explore a wide range of topics, such as the time value of money, discounted cash flow applications, common probability distributions, sampling and estimation, hypothesis testing, and correlation and regression. Applying quantitative analysis to the investment process is an important task for investment pros and students. A reference that provides even subject matter treatment, consistent mathematical notation, and continuity in topic coverage will make the learning process easier—and will bolster your success. Explore the materials you need to apply quantitative analysis to finance and investment data—even if you have no previous knowledge of this subject area Access updated content that offers insight into the latest topics relevant to the field Consider a wide range of subject areas within the text, including chapters on multiple regression, issues in regression analysis, time-series analysis, and portfolio concepts Leverage supplemental materials, including the companion Workbook and Instructor's Manual, sold separately Quantitative Investment Analysis, Third Edition is a fundamental resource that covers the wide range of quantitative methods you need to know in order to apply quantitative analysis to the investment process.

Investment Manager Analysis

Investment Manager Analysis
Author: Frank J. Travers
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 321
Release: 2011-08-31
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1118160894

Praise for Investment Manager Analysis "This is a book that should have been written years ago. It provides a practical, thorough, and completely objective method to analyze and select an investment manager. It takes the mystery (and the consultants) out of the equation. Without question, this book belongs on every Plan Sponsor's desk." —Dave Davenport, Assistant Treasurer, Lord Corporation, author of The Equity Manager Search "An insightful compendium of the issues that challenge those responsible for hiring and firing investment managers. Frank Travers does a good job of taking complicated analytical tools and methodologies and explaining them in a simple, yet practical manner. Anyone responsible for conducting investment manager due diligence should have a copy on their bookshelf." —Leon G. Cooperman, Chairman and CEO, Omega Advisors, Inc. "Investment Manager Analysis provides a good overview of the important areas that purchasers of institutional investment management services need to consider. It is a good instructional guide, from which search policies and procedures can be developed, as well as a handy reference guide." —David Spaulding, President, The Spaulding Group, Inc. "This book is the definitive work on the investment manager selection process. It is comprehensive in scope and well organized for both the layman and the professional. It should be required reading for any organization or individual seeking talent to manage their assets." —Scott Johnston, Chairman and Chief Investment Officer, Sterling Johnston Capital Management, LP "Investment Manager Analysis is a much-needed, comprehensive review of the manager selection process. While the industry is riddled with information about selecting individual stocks, comparatively little has been written on the important subject of manager selection for fund sponsors. This is a particularly useful guide for the less experienced practitioner and offers considerable value to the veteran decisionmaker as well." —Dennis J. Trittin, CFA, Portfolio Manager, Russell Investment Group

Investing in Financial Research

Investing in Financial Research
Author: Cheryl Strauss Einhorn
Publisher: Cornell Publishing
Total Pages: 249
Release: 2019-03-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1501730959

Finalist in the Business/Personal Finance category of the 2019 International Book Awards Every day, people around the world make financial decisions. They choose to invest in a stock, sell their holdings in a mutual fund or buy a condominium. These decisions are complex and financially tricky—even for financial professionals. But the literature available on financial research is dated and narrowly focused without any real practical application. Until now there's been a gap in the literature: a book that shows you how to conduct a step by step comprehensive financial investigation that ends in a decision. This book gives you that how. Investing in Financial Research is a guidebook for conducting financial investigations and lays out Cheryl Strauss Einhorn's AREA Method—a research and decision-making system that uniquely controls for bias, focuses on the incentives of others and expands knowledge while improving judgement—and applies it to investigating financial situations. AREA is applicable to all sorts of financial sleuthing, whether for investment analysis or investigative journalism. It allows you to be the expert in your own life. The AREA Method provides you with: *Defined tasks that guide and focus your research on your vision of success; *A structure that isolates your sources, giving you insight into their perspectives, biases and incentives; *Investigative resources, tips and techniques to upgrade your research and analysis beyond document-based sources; *Exercises to foster creativity and originality in your thinking; *A sequence and framework that brings your disparate pieces of research together to build your confidence and conviction about your financial decision.

Economic Analysis and Infrastructure Investment

Economic Analysis and Infrastructure Investment
Author: Edward L. Glaeser
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Total Pages: 479
Release: 2021-11-11
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 022680058X

"Policy-makers often call for expanding public spending on infrastructure, which includes a broad range of investments from roads and bridges to digital networks that will expand access to high-speed broadband. Some point to near-term macro-economic benefits and job creation, others focus on long-term effects on productivity and economic growth. This volume explores the links between infrastructure spending and economic outcomes, as well as key economic issues in the funding and management of infrastructure projects. It draws together research studies that describe the short-run stimulus effects of infrastructure spending, develop new estimates of the stock of U.S. infrastructure capital, and explore the incentive aspects of public-private partnerships (PPPs). A salient issue is the treatment of risk in evaluating publicly-funded infrastructure projects and in connection with PPPs. The goal of the volume is to provide a reference for researchers seeking to expand research on infrastructure issues, and for policy-makers tasked with determining the appropriate level of infrastructure spending"--

Financial Modeling for Equity Research

Financial Modeling for Equity Research
Author: John Moschella CFA CPA
Publisher:
Total Pages: 239
Release: 2019-09-08
Genre:
ISBN: 9781689598323

From the Author: This is not another boring, impossible to read, thousand-page textbook. On the contrary, this is an exciting journey into the world of Wall Street-style financial modeling. The motivation behind this book comes from my days as a new research analyst, trying to juggle the demands of 80-plus hour work weeks, FINRA exams, and client meetings, while attempting to learn the basics of modeling. At the time I sought outside educational resources only to find useless classes focused on spreadsheet tricks, or high-level theory-based books with little practical value. What I really needed was someone to sit down, and show me exactly how to build a model, using a real company as an example, from start to finish. Now, years after leaving the sell-side rat race, I have written the book that I sought when I was new to the street. The result is a clear, concise, easy to read guide on how to build a three-statement model. The book starts with an introduction to the industry and important background information for new analysts. Then, beginning with a blank spreadsheet, the text demonstrates exactly how to build a model using an actual company example. Throughout the chapters there are numerous images of the model which highlight key elements, as if I were pointing to a computer screen and explaining it directly to the reader. There are also more than 30 spreadsheets available for download to follow along with the text. After the model is built, I discuss effective ways to use it for forecasting and share valuation, and demonstrate how to maintain the model over time. I have also included insight from my experience in research, pitfalls to watch for, and frequently asked questions from my research team, to help add color to the subject matter. This book is a self-published, grassroots effort. You will not find a shiny professional cover or expert photographs inside. This book is less what you would expect from a traditional textbook, and closer to an informal conversation between me and the reader. Sometimes all you need is to talk to someone who has been there, and that is what you will get between these two covers. Ultimately the goal is to have my readers come away from their experience feeling empowered and excited to build an earnings model of their own. Regardless of whether or not you intend to start a career in equity research, if you would like to learn how to model earnings for a company, then this book is a good place to get started.

Social Return on Investment Analysis

Social Return on Investment Analysis
Author: Volker Then
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 421
Release: 2018-03-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3319714015

This book introduces and explains how to conduct a Social Return on Investment (SROI) analysis. It discusses the various advantages and disadvantages of different research strategies and designs, and explores the different ways in which SROI analysis results can be used for communication, outreach, and strategic decision-making. It provides insights into how and to what extent SROI analyses can help to meet different expectations, and presents different social impact research designs and methods. It presents an analytical framework for the identification of a proper SROI analysis, and shows readers how to establish an impact model, introducing a stakeholder-based approach.

Quantitative Methods for Investment Analysis

Quantitative Methods for Investment Analysis
Author: Richard Armand DeFusco
Publisher: Ingram
Total Pages: 776
Release: 2004
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

Designed for use in the CFA program or by investment professionals, this textbook provides a guide to applying quantitative analysis to the investment process. From the perspective of an investment generalist, it covers the knowledge, skills, and abilities needed to utilize quantitative methods. Chapters address the time value of money, discounted cash flow applications, market returns, statistical concepts, probability concepts, probability distributions, sampling and estimation, hypothesis testing, correlation and regression, time series analysis, and portfolio concepts. The authors are CFAs affiliated with universities or private companies. c. Book News Inc.

Modern Portfolio Theory and Investment Analysis

Modern Portfolio Theory and Investment Analysis
Author: Edwin J. Elton
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 748
Release: 2009-11-16
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0470388323

An update of a classic book in the field, Modern Portfolio Theory examines the characteristics and analysis of individual securities as well as the theory and practice of optimally combining securities into portfolios. It stresses the economic intuition behind the subject matter while presenting advanced concepts of investment analysis and portfolio management. Readers will also discover the strengths and weaknesses of modern portfolio theory as well as the latest breakthroughs.

Modern Portfolio Theory and Investment Analysis

Modern Portfolio Theory and Investment Analysis
Author: Edwin J. Elton
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 754
Release: 2014-01-21
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1118469941

Modern Portfolio Theory and Investment Analysis, 9th Editionexamines the characteristics and analysis of individual securities, as well as the theory and practice of optimally combining securities into portfolios. It stresses the economic intuition behind the subject matter while presenting advanced concepts of investment analysis and portfolio management. The authors present material that captures the state of modern portfolio analysis, general equilibrium theory, and investment analysis in an accessible and intuitive manner.