Rating Through-the-Cycle

Rating Through-the-Cycle
Author: Mr.John Kiff
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 38
Release: 2013-03-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 147551459X

Credit rating agencies face a difficult trade-off between delivering both accurate and stable ratings. In particular, its users have consistently expressed a preference for rating stability, driven by the transactions costs induced by trading when ratings change frequently. Rating agencies generally assign ratings on a through-the-cycle basis whereas banks' internal valuations are often based on a point-in-time performance, that is they are related to the current value of the rated entity's or instrument's underlying assets. This paper compares the two approaches and assesses their impact on rating stability and accuracy. We find that while through-the-cycle ratings are initially more stable, they are prone to rating cliff effects and also suffer from inferior performance in predicting future defaults. This is because they are typically smooth and delay rating changes. Using a through-the-crisis methodology that uses a more stringent stress test goes halfway toward mitigating cliff effects, but is still prone to discretionary rating change delays.

Economic Capital

Economic Capital
Author: Pieter Klaassen
Publisher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 302
Release: 2009-05-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0080956807

Managers can deploy and manage economic capital more effectively when they understand how their decisions add value to their organizations. Economic Capital: How It Works and What Every Manager Needs to Know presents new ways to define, measure, and implement management strategies by using recent examples, many from the sub-prime crisis. The authors also discuss the role of economic capital within the broader context of management responsibilities and activities as well as its relation to other risk management tools that are available to the modern risk manager. - Explains ways to use economic capital in balancing risk and return - Evaluates solutions to problems encountered in establishing an economic capital framework - Emphasizes intuition - Draws special attention to embedding risk modelling approaches within economic capital frameworks

Mastering Hurst Cycle Analysis

Mastering Hurst Cycle Analysis
Author: Christopher Grafton
Publisher: Harriman House Limited
Total Pages: 384
Release: 2011-11-30
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0857191985

One of the best classical methods of technical analysis brought up to date This book offers a modern treatment of Hurst's original system of market cycle analysis. It will teach you how to get to the point where you can isolate cycles in any freely-traded financial instrument and make an assessment of their likely future course. Although Hurst's methodology can seem outwardly complex, the logic underpinning it is straightforward. With practice the skill needed to conduct a full cycle analysis quickly and effectively will become second nature. The rewards for becoming adept are high conviction trades, tight risk management and mastery of a largely non-correlated system of analysis. In this extensive step-by-step guide you will find a full description of the principal tools and techniques taught by Hurst as well as over 120 colour charts, together with tables and diagrams. The Updata and TradeStation code for all of the indicators shown is also included.

Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment

Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment
Author:
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 2163
Release: 2008-09-02
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 0470035498

Leading the way in this field, the Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment is the first publication to offer a modern, comprehensive and in-depth resource to the huge variety of disciplines involved. A truly international work, its coverage ranges across risk issues pertinent to life scientists, engineers, policy makers, healthcare professionals, the finance industry, the military and practising statisticians. Drawing on the expertise of world-renowned authors and editors in this field this title provides up-to-date material on drug safety, investment theory, public policy applications, transportation safety, public perception of risk, epidemiological risk, national defence and security, critical infrastructure, and program management. This major publication is easily accessible for all those involved in the field of risk assessment and analysis. For ease-of-use it is available in print and online.

Advances in Applied Economic Research

Advances in Applied Economic Research
Author: Nicholas Tsounis
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 869
Release: 2017-06-07
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3319484540

This proceedings volume aims to provide new research methods, theories and applications from various areas of applied economic research. Featuring papers from the 2016 International Conference on Applied Economics (ICOAE) organized by the University of Nicosia and the Western Macedonia University of Applied Sciences, this volume presents cutting edge research from all areas of economic science that use applied econometrics as the method of analysis. It also features country specific studies with specific economic policy analyses and proposals. Applied economics is a rapidly growing field of economics that combines economic theory with econometrics to analyse economic problems of the real world usually with economic policy interest. ICOAE is an annual conference started in 2008 with the aim to bring together economists from different fields of applied economic research in order to share methods and ideas. The goal of the conference and the enclosed papers is to allow for an exchange of experiences with different applied econometric methods and to promote joint initiatives among well-established fields likemacro- and microeconomics, international economics, finance, agricultural economics, health economics, education economics, international trade theory and management and marketing strategies. Featuring global contributions, this book will be of interest to researchers, academics, professionals and policy makers in the field of applied economics and econometrics.

The Rating Agencies and Their Credit Ratings

The Rating Agencies and Their Credit Ratings
Author: Herwig Langohr
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 524
Release: 2010-04-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0470714352

Credit rating agencies play a critical role in capital markets, guiding the asset allocation of institutional investors as private capital moves freely around the world in search of the best trade-off between risk and return. However, they have also been strongly criticised for failing to spot the Asian crisis in the early 1990s, the Enron, WorldCom and Parmalat collapses in the early 2000s and finally for their ratings of subprime-related structured finance instruments and their role in the current financial crisis. This book is a guide to ratings, the ratings industry and the mechanics and economics of obtaining a rating. It sheds light on the role that the agencies play in the international financial markets. It avoids the sensationalist approach often associated with studies of rating scandals and the financial crisis, and instead provides an objective and critical analysis of the business of ratings. The book will be of practical use to any individual who has to deal with ratings and the ratings industry in their day-to-day job. Reviews "Rating agencies fulfil an important role in the capital markets, but given their power, they are frequently the object of criticism. Some of it is justified but most of it portrays a lack of understanding of their business. In their book The Rating Agencies and their Credit Ratings, Herwig and Patricia Langohr provide an excellent economic background to the role of rating agencies and also a thorough understanding of their business and the problems they face. I recommend this book to all those who have an interest in this somewhat arcane but extremely important area." -Robin Monro-Davies, Former CEO, Fitch Ratings. "At a time of unprecedented public and political scrutiny of the effectiveness and indeed the basic business model of the Credit Rating industry, and heightened concerns regarding the transparency and accountability of the leading agencies, this book provides a commendably comprehensive overview, and should provide invaluable assistance in the ongoing debate." -Rupert Atkinson, Managing Director, Head of Credit Advisory Group, Morgan Stanley and member of the SIFMA Rating Agency Task Force "The Langohrs have provided useful information in a field where one frequently finds only opinions or misconceptions. They supply a firm base from which to understand changes now underway. A well-read copy of this monograph should be close to the desk of every investor, issuer and financial regulator, legislator or commentator." -John Grout, Policy and Technical Director, The Association of Corporate Treasurers

Big Blue Book of Bicycle Repair

Big Blue Book of Bicycle Repair
Author: C. Calvin Jones
Publisher: Park Tool
Total Pages: 654
Release: 2019-04-24
Genre: Reference
ISBN:

The BBB-4 Big Blue Book of Bicycle Repair by Calvin Jones is packed with easy-to-follow, step-by-step procedures, color photos and repair tips for keeping almost any road or off-road bike running smoothly and trouble-free. Whether it's repairing a flat tire, adjusting brakes and shifting systems, truing wheels, or maintaining hub, headset and bottom bracket bearing systems, the BBB-4 has you covered. Thoroughly researched and revised, the 4th edition of the Big Blue Book contains updated photos, torque specifications and troubleshooting tables, along with new content on wheel building, electronic shifting, 12-speed and 1X drivetrains, tubeless tires, disc brakes, headset and bottom bracket standards, and more. Truly an indispensable tool and reference source for both the novice and advanced bicycle mechanic.

Issues in Finance

Issues in Finance
Author: Stuart Sayer
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 220
Release: 2011-01-04
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1444334018

Issues in Finance: Credit, Crises and Policies presents a collection of surveys on key issues surrounding the relationship between credit, finance, and the macro-economy that are linked to the recent global financial crisis. Presents a timely collection of surveys that shed light on the recent financial crisis Offers insights for economists in government, business, and finance Shows how the mainstream economics literature was not blind to the potential problems of the financial framework and its interplay with the macro-economy

Cycles, Growth and the Great Recession

Cycles, Growth and the Great Recession
Author: Annalisa Cristini
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 277
Release: 2014-11-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1317751124

Cycles, Growth and the Great Recession is a collection of papers that assess the nature and role of the business cycle in contemporary economies. These assessments are made in the context of the financial market instability that distinguishes the Great Recession from previous post-war slowdowns. Theorists and applied scholars in the fields of economics and mathematical economics discuss various approaches to understanding cycles and growth, and present mathematical and applied macro models to show how uncertainty shapes cycles by affecting the economic agent choice. Also included is an empirical section that investigates how the Great Recession affected households’ housing wealth, labour productivity and migration decisions. This book aims to: Propose a novel understanding of the business cycle by comparing the approaches of various scholars, starting from Hyman Minsky and Piero Ferri. Show that uncertainty is a main feature of the business cycle that affects decision-making and economic behaviour in general. Explain with mathematical models how the behaviour of economic agents can lead to cyclical paths for modern developed economies. Augment theory with empirical analysis of some central issues related to the Great Recession. This book comprises an original view of such widely discussed subjects as business cycles, uncertainty, economic growth and the Great Recession, constructed around theory, models and applications.