Price Impacts of Non-Adoption of the Euro for Small European Countries

Price Impacts of Non-Adoption of the Euro for Small European Countries
Author: Sibel Yelten
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 26
Release: 2006-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

Debates surrounding the adoption of a common currency have focused on its benefits weighed against the long-term costs of losing monetary independence. These debates have assumed that the penalty for not adopting a common currency is the maintenance of the status quo. This paper uses the Sjaastad model to analyze the price-making power of major currencies with regard to the prices of traded goods in small countries that have not adopted the euro and uses the Bayoumi-Eichengreen OCA index methodology to shed further light on changes in Europe. The empirical evidence suggests that small countries that have not adopted the euro have increasingly seen a change in the determinants of their traded goods prices. This seems to contrast with the experience of small countries that adopted the euro. The results need to be interpreted carefully, given the short time series.

The Effect of the Euro on Trade, Income and Prices

The Effect of the Euro on Trade, Income and Prices
Author: Ivan Eugeniev Tchinkov
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2010
Genre: Endogenous growth (Economics)
ISBN:

The first paper uses European data to estimate the euro effect on bilateral trade. An extended gravity model and a variety of fixed effects estimators are used to robustly quantify the results. The estimates are then compared to similar ones obtained with both European and non-European data. The findings are consistent with previous studies - the euro has increased bilateral trade by between 9% and 38% for the first 10 years. The link between the euro and trade is crucial for analysing the benefits of common currencies in terms of business cycle synchronization and standards of living. The results strengthen the argument in favour of common currencies in general, and euro adoption in particular. The second paper uses European data to estimate the effect of trade on income. A growth equation and an instrumental variable approach are used in a Two-Stage-Least-Squares regression. The estimates are then compared to similar ones obtained with non-European data. The findings are consistent with previous studies - a 1% increase in the trade to GDP ratio increases income by between .25% and 1.21% . This result provides a link between the euro, trade and income. In particular, it suggests that more trade, resulting from common currencies, increases standards of living. The finding is of utmost policy relevance for countries considering joining a common currency in general and the euro in particular. The third paper investigates to what extent prices become more flexible after a country adopts the euro. If price flexibility is significantly enhanced, it can potentially offset some of the negative effects of a common currency, such as the lack of monetary independence and exchange rate adjustment in the face of asymmetric shocks. Thus, one of the main drawbacks of a monetary union would be discredited. The evidence suggests a small positive effect of the euro on price flexibility based on time-series micro data from six euro countries.

Euro Adoption in Central and Eastern Europe

Euro Adoption in Central and Eastern Europe
Author: Ms.Susan Schadler
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 222
Release: 2005-04-18
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781589063709

Eight central and eastern European countries--the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Slovak Republic, and Slovenia--officially joined the European Union (EU) in May 2004. This auspicious milestone marked the beginning of the next major step for these countries in their move toward full integration with the EU-adoption of the euro. Seeking to consider the opportunities and challenges of euro adoption, the papers in this volume--by a noted group of country officials, academics, representatives of international institutions, and market participants-offer insight on the various dimensions of euro adoption in these eight new EU members--how they should prepare, whether an early move is optimal, and what pitfalls may occur along the way.

The Implications of the Introduction of the Euro for Non-EU Countries

The Implications of the Introduction of the Euro for Non-EU Countries
Author: Peter Bekx
Publisher:
Total Pages: 44
Release: 1998
Genre: European Union countries
ISBN:

La introduccion del euro sera un acontecimiento importante en el sistema monetario internacional. El objeto de este trabajo es examinar sus implicaciones en paises terceros mediante el analisis de los distintos canales de transmision a traves de los cuales la UEM afectara a los paises terceros. Comienza con los mecanismos de transmision del comercio internacional: el impacto de un mayor crecimiento en el area del euro, los efectos desbordamiento de la mayor sincronizacion de los ciclos en la UE, y el uso del euro en la facturacion. Continua con los cambios que afectaran a los mercados financieros: los relacionados con el euro como vehiculo de monetario en los mercados de divisas, su uso en las carteras privadas y su papel en los prestamos internacionales. La ultima parte trata el uso oficial del euro. Sus implicaciones para la politica de cambios de los paises no comunitarios y para la gestion de sus reservas. (pgp).

What Price the Euro?

What Price the Euro?
Author: Bela Galgoczi
Publisher:
Total Pages: 300
Release: 2005
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

Examines the impact of euro-zone accession on employment, wages, social protection and economic growth. Consides to what extent the euro adoption is formulated in public debate and through national dialogue.

Europe Without Borders? The Effect of the Euro on Price Convergence

Europe Without Borders? The Effect of the Euro on Price Convergence
Author: Hisham S. Foad
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2007
Genre:
ISBN:

Has the introduction of the Euro reduced the impact of national borders on cross-border market convergence across the Euro Area? This paper extends Engel and Rogers (1996) well known work on border effects to cities across Western Europe over the period 1995 to 2002. While cross-border prices across the Euro Area are still more volatile than within-country prices, the importance of the border has diminished since 1999. The impact of the common currency on the border effect varies by country size, with the largest decreases occurring between larger Euro countries. While cross-border price volatility has not changed between the UK and large Euro countries, volatility has actually increased between the small Euro countries and the UK. These results are consistent with the fact that exchange rates are more likely to adjust to price differentials between small countries than between large countries.

Small States and the European Union

Small States and the European Union
Author: Lino Briguglio
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 271
Release: 2016-06-10
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 131736287X

The Economies of European Union Small Member and Candidate States deals with the small states and candidate states of the EU, with a focus on their economic structure and performance, and the impact of EU membership (past, actual and potential) on the economy. The small states to be covered are those with a population of 3 million or less, namely: Cyprus, Estonia, Iceland, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Macedonia, Montenegro and Slovenia. This title adds to the literature on the EU, on regional integration generally and on small states. It delves into the special constraints of small economic size, and examines why and how the small states of Europe manage to compete, albeit not without difficulty, with the larger states in the block, where free trade prevails. The book answers the following research questions: What are the special economic development constraints faced by the small states of the EU? What policy options have been used by, or are available to, these small states to address these constraints? How can the economic resilience and competitiveness of these states be enhanced? Has EU membership been mostly advantageous for these small states? What are the economic prospects for these states as EU member states? The book is aimed primarily for students of EU affairs and of regional integration in general. It will also be useful for students of subjects relating to small states. It may also appeal to policy makers of small states, and to officials of international and regional organisations that have a constituency that includes small states.

Is the Euro Really a 'teuro'?

Is the Euro Really a 'teuro'?
Author: Miroslav BeblavĂ˝
Publisher:
Total Pages: 21
Release: 2010
Genre: Consumer price indexes
ISBN: 9789461380647

This paper looks at the Slovak experience with euro adoption from the point of view of perceived versus actual inflation and with a focus on a specific set of non-tradable prices. It examines whether Slovak consumers experienced or perceived (or both) an unusual price jump at the time of euro adoption and the possible explanations for such a phenomenon. Comparing the Slovak experience with the creation of the eurozone, and also with adoption of the single currency in Cyprus, Malta and Slovenia, we find that in terms of both reality and perceptions of general price movements every adoption is different. For Slovakia, euro adoption came at a time of disinflation, which consumers actually experienced, so there does not seem to be any overall perception that it is a 'teuro' (from teuer, meaning 'expensive' in German). We can nonetheless observe high inflation for non-tradables at both the macro and micro levels, linked not only to the Slovak strategy of nominal currency appreciation prior to eurozone entry but also to the changeover itself.