Price Formation in Spot and Futures Markets

Price Formation in Spot and Futures Markets
Author: Bernd Schlusche
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2019
Genre:
ISBN:

This paper reconsiders the process of price discovery in spot and futures markets. In our study, we examine the contribution of two derivative products of the German blue chip index DAX: Exchange traded funds and index futures. In order to eliminate noise caused by differences in the microstructure of the markets, we use transaction data only from electronic-trading markets. We apply a linear vector error correction model for our estimations and we use the common factor weights, first proposed by Schwarz and Szakmary (1994), to quantify the contribution of each market to the process of price discovery. Our results indicate that the futures market leads in the process of price discovery. Furthermore, we show that volatility, and not liquidity, as would be conjectured by the transaction-costs hypothesis, is the driving factor for relative price leadership between the two markets.

Price Formation in Commodities Markets

Price Formation in Commodities Markets
Author: Diego Valiante
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2013
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9789461381835

The current rapid rise of commodity prices comes at a critical moment, as European and U.S. economies stagger in their attempts to regain ground lost in the recent financial crisis. Facing mounting worries and anger from both policymakers and the public, regulators at the most recent G20 summit agreed to address commodity price volatility worldwide. They are bringing forward a number of proposals to improve the regulation, functioning, and transparency of commodity markets. This book collects the findings of a task force composed of financial and nonfinancial firms as well as regulators and academics. It sheds new light on price formation mechanisms in spot and future commodities markets and highlights key drivers of price formation in main commodities markets.

Behavioral Finance

Behavioral Finance
Author: Lucy F. Ackert
Publisher: South Western Educational Publishing
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2010
Genre: Investments
ISBN: 9780538752862

The book begins by building upon the established, conventional principles of finance that you've have already learned in your principles course. The authors then move into psychological principles of behavioral finance, including heuristics and biases, overconfidence, emotion and social forces. You immediately see how human behavior influences the decisions of individual investors and professional finance practitioners, managers, and markets. You also gain a strong understanding of how social forces impact individuals' choices. The book clearly explains what behavioral finance indicates about observed market outcomes as well as how psychological biases potentially impact the behavior of managers. The book's solid academic approach provides opportunities for you to utilize theory and complete applications in every chapter as you learn the implications of behavioral finance on retirement, pensions, education, debiasing, and client management. The book spends a significant amount of time examining how today's practitioners can use behavioral finance to further their professional success.

Models of Futures Markets

Models of Futures Markets
Author: Barry Goss
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 187
Release: 2013-05-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1135639361

This volume presents an entirely new analysis of the economics of futures markets, that will be of interest to both specialists in the area and the generalist economist seeking a new perspective. Through a combination of theoretical investigation and empirical application, three important themes are explored: the gains from futures trading and the efforts of emerging markets to reap these benefits; rationality and rival hypotheses of trader behaviour, such as noise trading; and the effect of regulatory tools on price formation.

Price Discovery in Indian Stock Index Futures Market

Price Discovery in Indian Stock Index Futures Market
Author: Sarveshwar Inani
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

The purpose of this study is to revisit price discovery process in Indian stock market for spot and futures of S&P CNX Nifty, by using high-frequency data to gain fresh insights. The sample consists of high-frequency data for the period from January 2014 to August 2015. Stationarity and cointegration test results reveal that spot and futures prices are I(1) and cointegrated. Three different econometric methodologies - component share method of (Gonzalo and Granger, 1995), information share method of (Hasbrouck, 1995), and modified information share of (Lien and Shrestha, 2009) - have been employed to determine the extent of price discovery contribution by spot and futures markets. The results reveal that futures market is performing its price discovery function. These results support the notion that futures market in more efficient vis-à-vis spot market in India. Price discovery is a main function of futures market and has implications for asset pricing, portfolio allocation, investment strategy formation, and market efficiency. This study might be helpful for regulators and policymakers to form market structure policies and guidelines for equity markets.

The Theory of Futures Markets

The Theory of Futures Markets
Author: Paul Weller
Publisher: Wiley-Blackwell
Total Pages: 313
Release: 1992-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780631171720

Increasing financial sophistication and the recent acceleration in the pace of financial innovation has led to a dramatic growth in the economic significance of futures markets. In particular, the volume of trade in financial futures has mushroomed over the last decade, and in the case of stock index futures now rivals that of trade in the stocks themselves. Given the greater prominence of these markets, it is important for both students and academics to be aware of recent advances in the theoretical understanding of their function and performance. This volume examines a wide range of issues which arise in the theory of futures markets. An introductory chapter analyses a simple equilibrium model of a futures market and focuses upon the role of the market in spreading risk. Other chapters examine such issues as the following: conditions under which trading in futures markets leads to a fully efficient reallocation of risk; the role of different assumptions about expectations formation on the nature of equilibrium; the affect of trading futures on price volatility in the spot market; the provision of liquidity and the role of transactions costs; the extent to which futures prices reveal traders' private information; determinants of hedging and speculative trading decisions; factors influencing the likelihood of a manipulation of the market i.e., a corner or squeeze; the importance of program trading and dynamic hedging strategies on price volatility in equity markets. The breadth and timeliness of the book will ensure it becomes a standard reference for academics and professionals working in financial markets.

Commodity Price Dynamics

Commodity Price Dynamics
Author: Craig Pirrong
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 239
Release: 2011-10-31
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1139501976

Commodities have become an important component of many investors' portfolios and the focus of much political controversy over the past decade. This book utilizes structural models to provide a better understanding of how commodities' prices behave and what drives them. It exploits differences across commodities and examines a variety of predictions of the models to identify where they work and where they fail. The findings of the analysis are useful to scholars, traders and policy makers who want to better understand often puzzling - and extreme - movements in the prices of commodities from aluminium to oil to soybeans to zinc.

Price Discovery in the Foreign Currency Futures and Spot Market

Price Discovery in the Foreign Currency Futures and Spot Market
Author: Joshua V. Rosenberg
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2019
Genre:
ISBN:

In this paper, we compare price discovery in the foreign exchange futures and spot markets during a period in which the spot market was less transparent but had higher volume than the futures market. We develop a foreign exchange futures order flow measure that is a proxy for the order flow observed by Chicago Mercantile Exchange pit traders. We find that both foreign currency futures and spot order flow contain unique information relevant to exchange rate determination. When we measure contributions to price discovery using the methods of Hasbrouck and of Gonzalo and Granger, we obtain results consistent with our order flow findings. Taken together, our evidence suggests that the amount of information contained in currency futures prices is much greater than one would expect based on relative market size.