Price Expectations in Goods and Financial Markets

Price Expectations in Goods and Financial Markets
Author: François Gardes
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Total Pages: 322
Release: 2000
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

Economists and scholars in related fields discuss the concept of rationality of expectations from both a theoretical and an empirical point of view, and at both individual and collective levels. Concerning the first aspect, the book focuses on how agents collect and process information and how market opinion is formed. Concerning the second aspect, it presents studies based on individual price expectations and on the consensus revealed by survey data. Contributors analyze price expectations in a variety of markets, periods, and countries, paying special attention to financial markets which have represented the main field of study over the last ten years. Annotation copyrighted by Book News Inc., Portland, OR

Financial Markets and the Real Economy

Financial Markets and the Real Economy
Author: John H. Cochrane
Publisher: Now Publishers Inc
Total Pages: 117
Release: 2005
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1933019158

Financial Markets and the Real Economy reviews the current academic literature on the macroeconomics of finance.

The Worth of Goods

The Worth of Goods
Author: Jens Beckert
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Total Pages: 361
Release: 2011-06-23
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0199594643

Drawing on theory and empirical research, this interdisciplinary book brings together leading social scientists to examine how prices are set and how values emerge inside and outside of markets, which have become the central force in the contemporary economy.

Inflation Expectations

Inflation Expectations
Author: Peter J. N. Sinclair
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 402
Release: 2009-12-16
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1135179778

Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it low depends critically on ensuring that firms and workers expect it to be low. So expectations of inflation are a key influence on national economic welfare. This collection pulls together a galaxy of world experts (including Roy Batchelor, Richard Curtin and Staffan Linden) on inflation expectations to debate different aspects of the issues involved. The main focus of the volume is on likely inflation developments. A number of factors have led practitioners and academic observers of monetary policy to place increasing emphasis recently on inflation expectations. One is the spread of inflation targeting, invented in New Zealand over 15 years ago, but now encompassing many important economies including Brazil, Canada, Israel and Great Britain. Even more significantly, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the United States Federal Bank are the leading members of another group of monetary institutions all considering or implementing moves in the same direction. A second is the large reduction in actual inflation that has been observed in most countries over the past decade or so. These considerations underscore the critical – and largely underrecognized - importance of inflation expectations. They emphasize the importance of the issues, and the great need for a volume that offers a clear, systematic treatment of them. This book, under the steely editorship of Peter Sinclair, should prove very important for policy makers and monetary economists alike.

Essays on Expectations and Financial Markets

Essays on Expectations and Financial Markets
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2020
Genre:
ISBN: 9789178956340

This thesis is a collection of three empirical papers that tests hypotheses within the context of two related and intersecting theoretical frameworks: rational expectations and efficient markets. The aim is to empirically explore to what extent households form their inflation expectations in a rational manner, and to explain why households' perceptions may deviate from the measured official rate. This is done by studying how their expectations change with economic conditions and with information about their readiness to spend money on cars and houses. The thesis also addresses the effects of option introduction on the prices and risk of the underlying securities, where this information implicitly tests stock market efficiency.??Chapter 1 provides an overview of different concepts of expectations and describes the link between the hypotheses of rational expectations and efficient markets. The chapter also presents some stylised facts about the main dataset used to explore households' opinions about past and future inflation rates, and it provides a summary of each following chapter.??Chapter 2 explores to what extent households' inflation expectations are consistent with theories of rationality, and how these expectations change in times of major economic events and changes in the inflation environment. The events studied are the financial and economic crisis of 2008, several euro-cash changeovers, and periods of low and high inflation. The results show that households do not form rational expectations in the sense of Muth (1961).??Chapter 3 investigates whether households' purchasing plans for big expenditure items matter to households when they form their views on past and future inflation, and whether differences in their purchasing plans can explain the deviations usually found between surveyed inflation and the official measure of the rate of inflation. The results show that stronger incentives to collect information on inflation induce households to produce perceived and expected inflation rates that more closely correspond to the officially measured rate of inflation.??Chapter 4 investigates the effects of option introduction on the prices and risk of the underlying securities. The results show that the introduction of options provide the underlying stocks with a significant price increase, and a persistent excess return compared to an index indicating normal return. The impact on the total risk is also favourable, while no influence on the systematic risk could be verified. Volatility in the underlying stocks decrease continuously for ten months after the introduction of the option program.

Price and Financial Stability

Price and Financial Stability
Author: David Harrison
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 173
Release: 2018-05-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1351579215

Why are financial prices so much more crisis-prone and unstable than real economy prices? Because they are doing different things. Unlike real economy prices, rooted in the real goods and services produced and exchanged, financial prices attempt to value future income flows from financial and capital assets. These valuations fluctuate erratically because expectations of the future fluctuate – and large liquid financial markets can amplify, rather than correct, these effects. The book builds on the insights of economists Frank Knight and John Maynard Keynes, that uncertainty of the future is essential to understand the processes of economic production and capital investment, and adds to this Karl Popper's general explanation of how expectations of an uncertain future are formed and tested through a trial and error process. Rather than relying on fluctuating financial prices to provide a guide to an uncertain future, it suggests a better approach would be to adopt the methods common to other branches of science, and create testable (falsifiable) theories allowing reasonable predictions to be made. In finance, the elements of one such theory could be based on the concept of forecasting yield from capital assets, which is a measurable phenomenon tending towards aggregate and long-term stability, and where there is a plentiful supply of historic data. By methods like this, financial economics could become a branch of science like any other. To buttress this approach, the widely accepted public policy objective of promoting real economy price stability could be widened to include financial price stability.

Macroeconomics

Macroeconomics
Author: Olivier Blanchard
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2021
Genre: Europe
ISBN: 9781292360911

This print textbook is available for students to rent for their classes. The Pearson print rental program provides students with affordable access to learning materials, so they come to class ready to succeed. For intermediate courses in economics. A unified view of the latest macroeconomic events In Macroeconomics, Blanchard presents an integrated, global view of macroeconomics, enabling students to see the connections between goods markets, financial markets, and labor markets worldwide. Organized into two parts, the text contains a core section that focuses on short-, medium-, and long-run markets and two major extensions that offer more in-depth coverage of the issues at hand. From the major economic crisis that engulfed the world in the late 2000s, to monetary policy in the US, to the problems of the Euro area, and growth in China, the text helps students make sense not only of current macroeconomic events but also of those that may unfold in the future. Integrated, detailed boxes in the 8th Edition have been updated to convey the life of macroeconomics today, reinforce lessons from the models, and help students employ and develop their analytical and evaluative skills. Also available with MyLab Economics By combining trusted author content with digital tools and a flexible platform, MyLab personalizes the learning experience and improves results for each student.

Guide to Financial Markets

Guide to Financial Markets
Author: Marc Levinson
Publisher: The Economist
Total Pages: 250
Release: 2018-07-24
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1541742516

The revised and updated 7th edition of this highly regarded book brings the reader right up to speed with the latest financial market developments, and provides a clear and incisive guide to a complex world that even those who work in it often find hard to understand. In chapters on the markets that deal with money, foreign exchange, equities, bonds, commodities, financial futures, options and other derivatives, the book examines why these markets exist, how they work, and who trades in them, and gives a run-down of the factors that affect prices and rates. Business history is littered with disasters that occurred because people involved their firms with financial instruments they didn't properly understand. If they had had this book they might have avoided their mistakes. For anyone wishing to understand financial markets, there is no better guide.