Predictability
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| Author | : Pavol tekauer |
| Publisher | : John Benjamins Publishing |
| Total Pages | : 313 |
| Release | : 2005-03-18 |
| Genre | : Language Arts & Disciplines |
| ISBN | : 9027294569 |
This book aims to contribute to a growing interest amongst psycholinguists and morphologists in the mechanisms of meaning predictability. It presents a brand-new model of the meaning-prediction of novel, context-free naming units, relating the wordformation and wordinterpretation processes. Unlike previous studies, mostly focussed on N+N compounds, the scope of this book is much wider. It not only covers all types of complex words, but also discusses a whole range of predictability-boosting and -reducing conditions. Two measures are introduced, the Predictability Rate and the Objectified Predictability Rate, in order to compare the strength of predictable readings both within a word and relative to the most predictable readings of other coinages. Four extensive experiments indicate inter alia the equal predicting capacity of native and non-native speakers, the close interconnection between linguistic and extra-linguistic factors, the important role of prototypical semes, and the usual dominance of a single central reading.
| Author | : Dan Ariely |
| Publisher | : Harper Collins |
| Total Pages | : 310 |
| Release | : 2008-02 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 006135323X |
Intelligent, lively, humorous, and thoroughly engaging, "The Predictably Irrational" explains why people often make bad decisions and what can be done about it.
| Author | : Charalampos (Haris) Skokos |
| Publisher | : Springer |
| Total Pages | : 280 |
| Release | : 2016-03-04 |
| Genre | : Science |
| ISBN | : 3662484102 |
Distinguishing chaoticity from regularity in deterministic dynamical systems and specifying the subspace of the phase space in which instabilities are expected to occur is of utmost importance in as disparate areas as astronomy, particle physics and climate dynamics. To address these issues there exists a plethora of methods for chaos detection and predictability. The most commonly employed technique for investigating chaotic dynamics, i.e. the computation of Lyapunov exponents, however, may suffer a number of problems and drawbacks, for example when applied to noisy experimental data. In the last two decades, several novel methods have been developed for the fast and reliable determination of the regular or chaotic nature of orbits, aimed at overcoming the shortcomings of more traditional techniques. This set of lecture notes and tutorial reviews serves as an introduction to and overview of modern chaos detection and predictability techniques for graduate students and non-specialists. The book covers theoretical and computational aspects of traditional methods to calculate Lyapunov exponents, as well as of modern techniques like the Fast (FLI), the Orthogonal (OFLI) and the Relative (RLI) Lyapunov Indicators, the Mean Exponential Growth factor of Nearby Orbits (MEGNO), the Smaller (SALI) and the Generalized (GALI) Alignment Index and the ‘0-1’ test for chaos.
| Author | : Howard H. Stevenson |
| Publisher | : H B S Press |
| Total Pages | : 294 |
| Release | : 1998 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 9780875847979 |
Explains how to refine predictive skills, make decisions, measure risk, understand conflict, and improve human interactions
| Author | : Les McKeown |
| Publisher | : Greenleaf Book Group |
| Total Pages | : 226 |
| Release | : 2010 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 1608320316 |
Presents advice on ways to inspire confidence in management and achieve lasting success in an organization.
| Author | : National Research Council |
| Publisher | : National Academies Press |
| Total Pages | : 192 |
| Release | : 2010-10-08 |
| Genre | : Science |
| ISBN | : 030915183X |
More accurate forecasts of climate conditions over time periods of weeks to a few years could help people plan agricultural activities, mitigate drought, and manage energy resources, amongst other activities; however, current forecast systems have limited ability on these time- scales. Models for such climate forecasts must take into account complex interactions among the ocean, atmosphere, and land surface. Such processes can be difficult to represent realistically. To improve the quality of forecasts, this book makes recommendations about the development of the tools used in forecasting and about specific research goals for improving understanding of sources of predictability. To improve the accessibility of these forecasts to decision-makers and researchers, this book also suggests best practices to improve how forecasts are made and disseminated.
| Author | : Daniel S. Vacanti |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 314 |
| Release | : 2015-03-04 |
| Genre | : |
| ISBN | : 9780986436338 |
"When will it be done?" That is probably the first question your customers ask you once you start working on something for them. Think about how many times you have been asked that question. How many times have you ever actually been right? We can debate all we want whether this is a fair question to ask given the tremendous amount of uncertainty in knowledge work, but the truth of the matter is that our customers are going to inquire about completion time whether we like it or not. Which means we need to come up with an accurate way to answer them. The problem is that the forecasting tools that we currently utilize have made us ill-equipped to provide accurate answers to reasonable customer questions. Until now. Topics Include Why managing for flow is the best strategy for predictability-including an introduction to Little's Law and its implications for flow. A definition of the basic metrics of flow and how to properly visualize those metrics in analytics like Cumulative Flow Diagrams and Scatterplots. Why your process policies are the potentially the biggest reason that you are unpredictable.
| Author | : Giorgio C Buttazzo |
| Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
| Total Pages | : 281 |
| Release | : 2006-07-02 |
| Genre | : Computers |
| ISBN | : 0387281479 |
Hard real-time systems are very predictable, but not sufficiently flexible to adapt to dynamic situations. They are built under pessimistic assumptions to cope with worst-case scenarios, so they often waste resources. Soft real-time systems are built to reduce resource consumption, tolerate overloads and adapt to system changes. They are also more suited to novel applications of real-time technology, such as multimedia systems, monitoring apparatuses, telecommunication networks, mobile robotics, virtual reality, and interactive computer games. This unique monograph provides concrete methods for building flexible, predictable soft real-time systems, in order to optimize resources and reduce costs. It is an invaluable reference for developers, as well as researchers and students in Computer Science.
| Author | : Eugenia Kalnay |
| Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
| Total Pages | : 368 |
| Release | : 2003 |
| Genre | : Mathematics |
| ISBN | : 9780521796293 |
This book, first published in 2002, is a graduate-level text on numerical weather prediction, including atmospheric modeling, data assimilation and predictability.
| Author | : Tim Palmer |
| Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
| Total Pages | : 0 |
| Release | : 2014-07-10 |
| Genre | : Science |
| ISBN | : 9781107414853 |
The topic of predictability in weather and climate has advanced significantly in recent years, both in understanding the phenomena that affect weather and climate and in techniques used to model and forecast them. This book, first published in 2006, brings together some of the world's leading experts on predicting weather and climate. It addresses predictability from the theoretical to the practical, on timescales from days to decades. Topics such as the predictability of weather phenomena, coupled ocean-atmosphere systems and anthropogenic climate change are among those included. Ensemble systems for forecasting predictability are discussed extensively. Ed Lorenz, father of chaos theory, makes a contribution to theoretical analysis with a previously unpublished paper. This well-balanced volume will be a valuable resource for many years. High-calibre chapter authors and extensive subject coverage make it valuable to people with an interest in weather and climate forecasting and environmental science, from graduate students to researchers.
