Persistence and Volatility in Short-Term Interest Rates

Persistence and Volatility in Short-Term Interest Rates
Author: Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2005
Genre:
ISBN:

It is important for monetary policy makers to know how closely money market rates follow the policy rates they set. This paper looks at the volatility and persistence of divergences between short-term market interest rates away from policy rates. This may also offer insights into the effectiveness of various approaches that central banks employ to smooth interest rate volatility, such as requiring minimum reserves. Using data for Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom, we find that in all three countries there are significant temporary divergences, although the average divergence is close to zero.

What Moves Interest Rates? Ex-Ante Determinants of Interest Rate Volatility

What Moves Interest Rates? Ex-Ante Determinants of Interest Rate Volatility
Author: Louis H. Ederington
Publisher:
Total Pages: 45
Release: 2008
Genre:
ISBN:

For short, long, and medium term interest rates, we explore the extent to which future interest rate volatility is predictable based on: 1) recent past volatility, 2) knowledge of when the FOMC will meet, when Treasury auctions will take place, and when important macroeconomic statistics will be released, 3) knowledge of day-of-the-week patterns, and 4) interest rate levels. We find that three of these information sets are consistently important and that conditional volatility varies considerably over time. While macroeconomic announcements, Treasury auctions, and monetary policy actions all impact interest rates, macroeconomic announcements are most important. Announcement patterns are largely responsible for day-of-the-week effects but not for the observed GARCH effects. The impact of monetary policy actions is quite different before and after February 1994 when the FOMC began releasing statements at the end of its meetings. Both volatility persistence and asymmetry are quite different for long and short rates.

International Finance and Financial Services

International Finance and Financial Services
Author: Kristian L. Hagen
Publisher: Nova Publishers
Total Pages: 278
Release: 2008
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781600217562

International finance is the branch of economics that studies the dynamics of exchange rates, foreign investment, and how these affect international trade. Financial services is a term used to refer to the services provided by the finance industry. Financial services is also the term used to describe organisations that deal with the management of money and includes merchant banks, credit card companies, consumer finance companies, government sponsored enterprises, and stock brokerages. Financial services is the largest industry (or industry category) in the world, in terms of earnings. This book presents important analyses in these interaction fields.

Financial Institutions and Services

Financial Institutions and Services
Author: Robert S. Uh
Publisher: Nova Publishers
Total Pages: 294
Release: 2006
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781594546228

Book & Computer Disk. This book examines international aspects of financial institutions as well as their economic performance and development. Emphasis is placed on transition economics as well as Developing Countries. Issues within the scope of this new book include: financial reporting, efficiency of financial institutions, Middle-East financial institutions, money market liquidity, economic performance, risk capital allocation, financial market soundness, instability, devaluations, capital flight and related issues, including governance.

Retail Bank Interest Rate Pass-Through

Retail Bank Interest Rate Pass-Through
Author: Marco A Espinosa-Vega
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 37
Release: 2003-05-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451853629

This paper investigates empirically the pass-through of money market interest rates to retail banking interest rates in Chile, the United States, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, and five European countries. Overall, Chile's pass-through does not appear atypical. Based on a standard error-correction model, we find that, as in most countries considered, Chile's measured pass-through is incomplete. But Chile's pass-through is also faster than in many other countries considered and is comparable to that in the United States. While we find no significant evidence of asymmetry in Chile's pass-through across states of the interest rate or monetary policy cycle, we do find some evidence of parameter instability, around the time of the Asian and Russian crises. However, we do not find evidence that the switch to a more flexible exchange rate regime in 1999 and the "nominalization" of Chile's interest rate targets in 2001 have affected significantly the pass-through process.

Dollar and Yen

Dollar and Yen
Author: Ronald I. McKinnon
Publisher: MIT Press
Total Pages: 288
Release: 1997
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780262133357

Dollar and Yen analyzes the friction between the United States and Japan from the viewpoint of exchange rate economics. From the mid-1950s to the early 1990s, Japan grew faster than any other major industrial economy, displacing the United States in dominance of worldwide manufacturing markets. In the 1970s and 1980s, many books appeared linking the apparent decline of the United States in the world economy to unfair Japanese practices that closed the Japanese market to a wide range of foreign goods. Dollar and Yen analyzes the friction between the United States and Japan from the viewpoint of exchange rate economics. The authors argue against the prevailing view that the trade imbalance should be corrected by dollar depreciation, saying that adjustment through the exchange rate is both ineffective and costly. Stepping outside the traditional dichotomy between international trade and international finance, they link the yen's tremendous appreciation from 1971 to mid-1995 to mercantile pressure from the United States arising from trade tensions between the two countries. Although sometimes resisted by the Bank of Japan, this yen appreciation nevertheless forced unwanted deflation on the Japanese economy after 1985--resulting in two major recessions (endaka fukyos). The authors argue for relaxing commercial tensions between the two countries, and for limiting future economic downturns, by combining a commercial compact for mutual trade liberalization with a monetary accord for stabilizing the yen-dollar exchange rate.

Monetary Policy and Issues

Monetary Policy and Issues
Author: Lauren C. Williams
Publisher: Nova Publishers
Total Pages: 182
Release: 2006
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781594546679

In the 1970's, many countries were plagued by persistently high inflation rates, which were thought to cause a significant loss in economic efficiency. Since persistent inflation is considered to be ultimately the result of monetary policy, many countries in the 1990s sought institutional reforms to their central banks to prevent a return to the 1970s experience. A popular reform was to move from giving central banks multiple policy goals to a single mandate of price stability. The single mandate was accompanied by the introduction of an inflation target, in which central banks aim to keep inflation within a pre-defined numerical range. The logic behind these reforms was a belief among proponents that it would remove the political temptation to 'pump up' the economy in the short run at the expense of long-run price stability, and a belief that 'fine tuning' monetary policy in response to every change in economic conditions, was of little value. This book develops quantitative measurements to analyse the success of inflation targeting abroad by comparing both the performance of targeters to non-targeters and the performance of countries before and after targeting was adopted.

Stochastic Volatility

Stochastic Volatility
Author: Neil Shephard
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
Total Pages: 534
Release: 2005
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0199257205

Stochastic volatility is the main concept used in the fields of financial economics and mathematical finance to deal with time-varying volatility in financial markets. This work brings together some of the main papers that have influenced this field, andshows that the development of this subject has been highly multidisciplinary.