People's Republic of China-Hong Kong Special Administrative Region

People's Republic of China-Hong Kong Special Administrative Region
Author: International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 89
Release: 2019-12-31
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513525476

This 2019 Article IV Consultation with People’s Republic of China—Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (SAR) discusses that the economy is projected to start recovering next year, but the pace is expected to be gradual and both near- and medium-term risks have increased significantly, including from trade and technology tensions, ongoing social unrest, and structural challenges of insufficient housing supply and high income inequality. Hong Kong SAR is well placed to address both cyclical and structural challenges with its significant buffers thanks to its long history of prudent macroeconomic policies. Given that the fiscal framework permits deficits during economic downturns, government spending should be increased significantly in the areas of social safety nets, education/retraining, and infrastructure to cope with the cyclical downturn and address structural challenges of insufficient housing and high-income inequality. This should be complemented with measures to ensure fiscal sustainability and greater equity.

People’s Republic of China—Hong Kong Special Administrative Region: 2022 Article IV Consultation Discussions-Press Release; and Staff Report

People’s Republic of China—Hong Kong Special Administrative Region: 2022 Article IV Consultation Discussions-Press Release; and Staff Report
Author: International Monetary
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 81
Release: 2022-03-07
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

Hong Kong SAR’s economy is recovering strongly as ample policy space has allowed the enaction of swift and bold policy responses to address the unprecedented crisis emanating from multiple shocks, including notably the pandemic. But the recovery remains uneven, with private consumption lagging, owing, in part, to a zero- COVID tolerance approach. The financial sector has remained resilient supported by significant buffers, strong institutional frameworks, and a well-functioning Linked Exchange Rate System (LERS). Increasing financial linkages with Mainland China bring both opportunities and challenges for growth and financial stability.

People’s Republic of China—Macao Special Administrative Region: 2022 Article IV Consultation Discussions

People’s Republic of China—Macao Special Administrative Region: 2022 Article IV Consultation Discussions
Author: International Monetary
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 48
Release: 2022-04-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

Macao SAR’s recovery is expected to continue in 2022, but it will take several years before the economy returns to its pre-crisis level. Although strong fiscal support and the financial strength of Macao SAR’s casino groups cushioned employment and consumption, the sharp contraction in activity exposed Macao SAR’s vulnerability to external forces affecting the inflow of tourists. Short-term risks to the outlook include a re-intensification of the COVID-19 pandemic and an increase in Macao SAR’s financial sector stress. The heavy impact of the pandemic on Macao SAR’s growth highlights the need to diversify the economy beyond the gaming industry. The high exposure to climate-related shocks poses long-term concerns.

People’s Republic of China-Hong Kong Special Administrative Region

People’s Republic of China-Hong Kong Special Administrative Region
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 36
Release: 2002-05-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451816871

This 2002 Article IV Consultation for Hong Kong Special Administrative Region highlights that a recovery from the Asian crisis started in 1999, and GDP growth surged to 101⁄2 percent in 2000. However, before sustained growth could take hold, the global slowdown in 2001 dealt another blow to the economy, and real GDP growth dropped to almost zero. Although the renewed downturn was led by falling exports, domestic demand also slowed. The outlook for 2002 is for a moderate recovery, spurred by the expected rebound in global activity.

People’s Republic of China—Hong Kong Special Administrative Region

People’s Republic of China—Hong Kong Special Administrative Region
Author: International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 80
Release: 2023-05-31
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

After coping with another year of large COVID-related disruptions, economic activity is normalizing with the re-opening of the border, including with Mainland China. Strong fiscal policy support has helped the economy navigate through multiple shocks over the last few years, while strong institutional frameworks and financial buffers have allowed the financial system to remain resilient and continue to operate smoothly, including the Linked Exchange Rate System. The economy is facing macro-financial challenges amid rising interest rates, spillovers from strains in Mainland China’s real estate sector, adjustment in the local property market, and global economic slowdown.

People’s Republic of China

People’s Republic of China
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 42
Release: 2008-12-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451817002

This paper examines the People’s Republic of China’s Hong Kong Special Administrative Region’s 2008 Article IV Consultation. Growth has slowed in the first half of the year, as external conditions have worsened. Inflation remains elevated, driven by food prices and housing costs. The fallout from the global credit turmoil has spilled into local markets, with equity prices falling markedly and signs of stress in interbank markets. The authorities have responded with a range of measures to provide liquidity, stimulate domestic demand, and bolster confidence.

Foreign Exchange Intervention: A Dataset of Public Data and Proxies

Foreign Exchange Intervention: A Dataset of Public Data and Proxies
Author: Gustavo Adler
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 67
Release: 2021-02-19
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1513566679

Foreign exchange intervention (FXI) is a highly debated topic. Yet, comprehensive and comparable data on FXI is hard to find. This paper provides a new dataset of FXI covering a large number of countries over the period 2000-20 at monthly and quarterly frequencies. It includes publicly available data for about 40 countries and carefully constructed proxies for 122 countries. Proxies are focused on both spot and derivative transactions that alter the central bank’s foreign currency position and account for a wide range of central bank operations, including vis-à-vis residents, the first proxy to do so to our knowledge. The paper discusses the merits of the new proxy relative to coarser measures traditionally used like the change in reserves, and potential definitional differences with published data. The paper also presents stylized facts using our newly constructed FXI proxies.

People's Republic of China-Macao Special Administrative Region

People's Republic of China-Macao Special Administrative Region
Author: International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 53
Release: 2017-02-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 147557889X

This 2016 Article IV Consultation highlights that the real output for Macao Special Administrative Region (SAR) is expected to contract for a third consecutive year in 2016. However, external demand has begun to recover with gaming revenues posting six consecutive months of positive annual growth. In 2017, a low base will help increase growth above 2 percent despite continued weak domestic demand. Further out, Macao SAR is well-positioned to record sustainable growth in the mid-single digits. In addition to its still highly valuable gaming monopoly within China, Macao SAR is an established tourist destination with significant geographic proximity to Mainland China. Macao SAR is now also investing aggressively in non-gaming tourism and financial services.