Nonlinear Time Series

Nonlinear Time Series
Author: Randal Douc
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 548
Release: 2014-01-06
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1466502347

This text emphasizes nonlinear models for a course in time series analysis. After introducing stochastic processes, Markov chains, Poisson processes, and ARMA models, the authors cover functional autoregressive, ARCH, threshold AR, and discrete time series models as well as several complementary approaches. They discuss the main limit theorems for Markov chains, useful inequalities, statistical techniques to infer model parameters, and GLMs. Moving on to HMM models, the book examines filtering and smoothing, parametric and nonparametric inference, advanced particle filtering, and numerical methods for inference.

Nonlinear Time Series Analysis

Nonlinear Time Series Analysis
Author: Holger Kantz
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 390
Release: 2004
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 9780521529020

The paradigm of deterministic chaos has influenced thinking in many fields of science. Chaotic systems show rich and surprising mathematical structures. In the applied sciences, deterministic chaos provides a striking explanation for irregular behaviour and anomalies in systems which do not seem to be inherently stochastic. The most direct link between chaos theory and the real world is the analysis of time series from real systems in terms of nonlinear dynamics. Experimental technique and data analysis have seen such dramatic progress that, by now, most fundamental properties of nonlinear dynamical systems have been observed in the laboratory. Great efforts are being made to exploit ideas from chaos theory wherever the data displays more structure than can be captured by traditional methods. Problems of this kind are typical in biology and physiology but also in geophysics, economics, and many other sciences.

Time Series Analysis: Forecasting & Control, 3/E

Time Series Analysis: Forecasting & Control, 3/E
Author:
Publisher: Pearson Education India
Total Pages: 620
Release: 1994-09
Genre:
ISBN: 9788131716335

This is a complete revision of a classic, seminal, and authoritative text that has been the model for most books on the topic written since 1970. It explores the building of stochastic (statistical) models for time series and their use in important areas of application -forecasting, model specification, estimation, and checking, transfer function modeling of dynamic relationships, modeling the effects of intervention events, and process control.

Time Series Analysis and Applications to Geophysical Systems

Time Series Analysis and Applications to Geophysical Systems
Author: David Brillinger
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 262
Release: 2012-12-06
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1461229626

Part of a two volume set based on a recent IMA program of the same name. The goal of the program and these books is to develop a community of statistical and other scientists kept up-to-date on developments in this quickly evolving and interdisciplinary field. Consequently, these books present recent material by distinguished researchers. Topics discussed in Part I include nonlinear and non- Gaussian models and processes (higher order moments and spectra, nonlinear systems, applications in astronomy, geophysics, engineering, and simulation) and the interaction of time series analysis and statistics (information model identification, categorical valued time series, nonparametric and semiparametric methods). Self-similar processes and long-range dependence (time series with long memory, fractals, 1/f noise, stable noise) and time series research common to engineers and economists (modeling of multivariate and possibly non-stationary time series, state space and adaptive methods) are discussed in Part II.

Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting

Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting
Author: Peter J. Brockwell
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 429
Release: 2013-03-14
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1475725264

Some of the key mathematical results are stated without proof in order to make the underlying theory acccessible to a wider audience. The book assumes a knowledge only of basic calculus, matrix algebra, and elementary statistics. The emphasis is on methods and the analysis of data sets. The logic and tools of model-building for stationary and non-stationary time series are developed in detail and numerous exercises, many of which make use of the included computer package, provide the reader with ample opportunity to develop skills in this area. The core of the book covers stationary processes, ARMA and ARIMA processes, multivariate time series and state-space models, with an optional chapter on spectral analysis. Additional topics include harmonic regression, the Burg and Hannan-Rissanen algorithms, unit roots, regression with ARMA errors, structural models, the EM algorithm, generalized state-space models with applications to time series of count data, exponential smoothing, the Holt-Winters and ARAR forecasting algorithms, transfer function models and intervention analysis. Brief introducitons are also given to cointegration and to non-linear, continuous-time and long-memory models. The time series package included in the back of the book is a slightly modified version of the package ITSM, published separately as ITSM for Windows, by Springer-Verlag, 1994. It does not handle such large data sets as ITSM for Windows, but like the latter, runs on IBM-PC compatible computers under either DOS or Windows (version 3.1 or later). The programs are all menu-driven so that the reader can immediately apply the techniques in the book to time series data, with a minimal investment of time in the computational and algorithmic aspects of the analysis.

Time Series Analysis and Applications to Geophysical Systems

Time Series Analysis and Applications to Geophysical Systems
Author: Enders Anthony Robinson
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 282
Release: 2004-09-17
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 9780387223117

Time series methods are essential tools in the analysis of many geophysical systems. This volume, which consists of papers presented by a select, international group of statistical and geophysical experts at a Workshop on Time Series Analysis and Applications to Geophysical Systems at the Institute for Mathematics and its Applications (IMA) at the University of Minnesota from November 12-15, 2001 as part of the IMA's Thematic Year on Mathematics in the Geosciences, explores the application of recent advances in time series methodology to a host of important problems ranging from climate change to seismology. The works in the volume deal with theoretical and methodological issues as well as real geophysical applications, and are written with both statistical and geophysical audiences in mind. Important contributions to time series modeling, estimation, prediction, and deconvolution are presented. The results are applied to a wide range of geophysical applications including the investigation and prediction of climatic variations, the interpretation of seismic signals, the estimation of flooding risk, the description of permeability in Chinese oil fields, and the modeling of NOx decomposition from thermal power plants.

Time Series Analysis Univariate and Multivariate Methods

Time Series Analysis Univariate and Multivariate Methods
Author: William W. S. Wei
Publisher: Pearson
Total Pages: 648
Release: 2018-03-14
Genre: Time-series analysis
ISBN: 9780134995366

With its broad coverage of methodology, this comprehensive book is a useful learning and reference tool for those in applied sciences where analysis and research of time series is useful. Its plentiful examples show the operational details and purpose of a variety of univariate and multivariate time series methods. Numerous figures, tables and real-life time series data sets illustrate the models and methods useful for analyzing, modeling, and forecasting data collected sequentially in time. The text also offers a balanced treatment between theory and applications. Time Series Analysis is a thorough introduction to both time-domain and frequency-domain analyses of univariate and multivariate time series methods, with coverage of the most recently developed techniques in the field.

Adaptive Learning Methods for Nonlinear System Modeling

Adaptive Learning Methods for Nonlinear System Modeling
Author: Danilo Comminiello
Publisher: Butterworth-Heinemann
Total Pages: 390
Release: 2018-06-11
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 0128129778

Adaptive Learning Methods for Nonlinear System Modeling presents some of the recent advances on adaptive algorithms and machine learning methods designed for nonlinear system modeling and identification. Real-life problems always entail a certain degree of nonlinearity, which makes linear models a non-optimal choice. This book mainly focuses on those methodologies for nonlinear modeling that involve any adaptive learning approaches to process data coming from an unknown nonlinear system. By learning from available data, such methods aim at estimating the nonlinearity introduced by the unknown system. In particular, the methods presented in this book are based on online learning approaches, which process the data example-by-example and allow to model even complex nonlinearities, e.g., showing time-varying and dynamic behaviors. Possible fields of applications of such algorithms includes distributed sensor networks, wireless communications, channel identification, predictive maintenance, wind prediction, network security, vehicular networks, active noise control, information forensics and security, tracking control in mobile robots, power systems, and nonlinear modeling in big data, among many others. This book serves as a crucial resource for researchers, PhD and post-graduate students working in the areas of machine learning, signal processing, adaptive filtering, nonlinear control, system identification, cooperative systems, computational intelligence. This book may be also of interest to the industry market and practitioners working with a wide variety of nonlinear systems. - Presents the key trends and future perspectives in the field of nonlinear signal processing and adaptive learning. - Introduces novel solutions and improvements over the state-of-the-art methods in the very exciting area of online and adaptive nonlinear identification. - Helps readers understand important methods that are effective in nonlinear system modelling, suggesting the right methodology to address particular issues.