Monetary Policy And House Prices
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The Housing Boom and Bust
Author | : Thomas Sowell |
Publisher | : Basic Books (AZ) |
Total Pages | : 194 |
Release | : 2009-05-12 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0465018807 |
Explains how we got into the current economic disaster that developed out of the economics and politics of the housing boom and bust. The "creative" financing of home mortgages and "creative" marketing of financial securities based on these mortgages to countries around the world, are part of the story of how a financial house of cards was built up--and then collapsed.
Monetary and Macroprudential Policy Rules in a Model with House Price Booms
Author | : Mr.Pau Rabanal |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 38 |
Release | : 2009-11-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1451873980 |
We argue that a stronger emphasis on macrofinancial risk could provide stabilization benefits. Simulations results suggest that strong monetary reactions to accelerator mechanisms that push up credit growth and asset prices could help macroeconomic stability. In addition, using a macroprudential instrument designed specifically to dampen credit market cycles would also be useful. But invariant and rigid policy responses raise the risk of policy errors that could lower, not raise, macroeconomic stability. Hence, discretion would be required.
Predicting Downside Risks to House Prices and Macro-Financial Stability
Author | : Andrea Deghi |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 47 |
Release | : 2020-01-17 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1513525832 |
This paper predicts downside risks to future real house price growth (house-prices-at-risk or HaR) in 32 advanced and emerging market economies. Through a macro-model and predictive quantile regressions, we show that current house price overvaluation, excessive credit growth, and tighter financial conditions jointly forecast higher house-prices-at-risk up to three years ahead. House-prices-at-risk help predict future growth at-risk and financial crises. We also investigate and propose policy solutions for preventing the identified risks. We find that overall, a tightening of macroprudential policy is the most effective at curbing downside risks to house prices, whereas a loosening of conventional monetary policy reduces downside risks only in advanced economies and only in the short-term.
Hot Property
Author | : Rob Nijskens |
Publisher | : Springer |
Total Pages | : 220 |
Release | : 2019-06-14 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 3030116743 |
This open access book discusses booming housing markets in cities around the globe, and the resulting challenges for policymakers and central banks. Cities are booming everywhere, leading to a growing demand for urban housing. In many cities this demand is out-pacing supply, which causes house prices to soar and increases the pressure on rental markets. These developments are posing major challenges for policymakers, central banks and other authorities responsible for ensuring financial stability, and economic well-being in general.This volume collects views from high-level policymakers and researchers, providing essential insights into these challenges, their impact on society, the economy and financial stability, and possible policy responses. The respective chapters address issues such as the popularity of cities, the question of a credit-fueled housing bubble, the role of housing supply frictions and potential policy solutions. Given its scope, the book offers a revealing read and valuable guide for everyone involved in practical policymaking for housing markets, mortgage credit and financial stability.
Fundamental Drivers of House Prices in Advanced Economies
Author | : Ms.Nan Geng |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 24 |
Release | : 2018-07-13 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1484367626 |
House prices in many advanced economies have risen substantially in recent decades. But experience indicates that housing prices can diverge from their long-run equilibrium or sustainable levels, potentially followed by adjustments that impact macroeconomic and financial stability. Therefore there is a need to monitor house prices and assess whether they are sustainable. This paper focuses on fundamentals expected to drive long run trends in house prices, including institutional and structural factors. The scale of potential valuation gaps is gauged on the basis of a cross-country panel analysis of house prices in 20 OECD countries.
The Political Economy of Japanese Monetary Policy
Author | : Thomas F. Cargill |
Publisher | : MIT Press |
Total Pages | : 260 |
Release | : 2003-01-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9780262262071 |
The contributions in this book provide a unique view of its emergence and growth in a number of different national settings in an area of the Third World where the industry is most advanced. In The Political Economy of Japanese Monetary Policy, Cargill, Hutchison, and Ito investigate the formulation and execution of monetary and financial policies in Japan within a broad technical, political, and institutional context.Their emphasis is on the period since the collapse of the Bretton Woods system of fixed exchange rates in the early 1970s, and on the effects of policies and institutions in shaping the modern Japanese economy. The authors present basic themes and recent developments, as well as their own research findings.They also review and integrate the large literature in the area. They consider theoretical arguments and empirical evidence for each topic discussed. Topics covered include Japan's low inflation record (despite the central bank's lack of formal independence from the government); politically motivated business cycles and the timing of elections; exchange rate policy and international policy coordination; the historical development of central banking; Japan's "bubble economy" of the 1980s; and the causes, magnitude, and regulatory responses to Japan's banking and financial crisis of the 1990s.
Housing in the Economy
Author | : |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 60 |
Release | : 1956 |
Genre | : Housing |
ISBN | : |
"With a statistical appendix excerpted from the ... annual report" (varies slightly).
The Central Bank and the Financial System
Author | : Charles Albert Eric Goodhart |
Publisher | : MIT Press |
Total Pages | : 560 |
Release | : 1995 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9780262071673 |
As economic advisor to the Bank of England for many years, C. A. E. Goodhart is uniquely positioned to assess the role of the central bank in the modern financial system. This book brings together twenty-one of his previously published articles dealing with the changing functions of central banks over time, recent efforts to maintain price stability, and debates over specific financial regulation proposals in the UK. Although the current day-to-day operations of central banks are subject to continuous comment and frequent criticism, their structural role within the economic system as a whole has generally been accepted without much question, despite several attempts by economists in recent decades to challenge the value of the institution. C. A. E. Goodhart brings his knowledge of both the theoretical arguments and the actual working of central banks to bear in these essays. Part I looks at the general purposes and functions of central banks within the financial system and their evolution over time. Part II concentrates on the current objectives and operations of central banks, and the maintenance of price stability in particular. Part III analyzes the broader issues of financial regulation.
Global House Price Fluctuations
Author | : Mr.Hideaki Hirata |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 47 |
Release | : 2013-02-06 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1475591608 |
We examine the properties of house price fluctuations across 18 advanced economies over the past 40 years. We ask two specific questions: First, how synchronized are housing cycles across these countries? Second, what are the main shocks driving movements in global house prices? To address these questions, we first estimate the global components in house prices and various macroeconomic and financial variables. We then evaluate the roles played by a variety of global shocks, including shocks to interest rates, monetary policy, productivity, credit, and uncertainty, in explaining house price fluctuations using a wide range of FAVAR models. We find that house prices are synchronized across countries, and the degree of synchronization has increased over time. Global interest rate shocks tend to have a significant negative effect on global house prices whereas global monetary policy shocks per se do not appear to have a sizeable impact. Interestingly, uncertainty shocks seem to be important in explaining fluctuations in global house prices.