Modelling House Prices

Modelling House Prices
Author: Marko Hannonen
Publisher: Suomen E-painos Oy
Total Pages: 50
Release:
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 9526613678

This booklet is a final complement to the series of investigations (”A Field Theory of House Prices”, ISBN 978-952-6613-36-9 and ”Nonstandard House Price Theory”, ISBN 978-952-6613-66-6) on the fundamental nature of house prices, which is, strictly speaking, a mathematical question. As in the earlier e-books on the scientific essence of house prices by the author, this booklet analyses house prices using the concept of a vector field. The fundamental idea underlying this e-book is that housing demand, housing supply and house prices can be investigated not as scalar functions but as genuine vector fields.

The Housing Boom and Bust

The Housing Boom and Bust
Author: Thomas Sowell
Publisher: Basic Books (AZ)
Total Pages: 194
Release: 2009-05-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0465018807

Explains how we got into the current economic disaster that developed out of the economics and politics of the housing boom and bust. The "creative" financing of home mortgages and "creative" marketing of financial securities based on these mortgages to countries around the world, are part of the story of how a financial house of cards was built up--and then collapsed.

Charting a Sustainable Future of ASEAN in Business and Social Sciences

Charting a Sustainable Future of ASEAN in Business and Social Sciences
Author: Naginder Kaur
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 541
Release: 2020-07-23
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 981153859X

This volume showcases selected conference papers addressing the sustainable future of ASEAN from the perspectives of business and social science disciplines. In addressing the 17 Sustainable Developments Goals (SDGs) envisioned by the United Nations in the domains of environment, health and well-being, posing potential means of reducing inequalities globally, the authors target specific issues and challenges confronting the fast-growing region of ASEAN and present suggestions for co-operation and commitment from governments, non-governmental organisations (NGOs) and society at large, in line with the ASEAN Vision 2020. Papers are selected from the 3rd International Conference on the Future of ASEAN (ICoFA) 2019, organised by Universiti Teknologi MARA in Malaysia, whose conference theme “Charting the Sustainable Future of ASEAN” enables intellectual discourse on sustainability issues from business and the social sciences, as well as science and technology. The selection of papers is published in two volumes, comprising scholarly and practical insights into sustainability in ASEAN. This first volume of papers from business and social science scholars will be of interest to researchers and policymakers interested in sustainability developments in the ASEAN region.

House Price Methodology

House Price Methodology
Author: Marko Hannonen
Publisher: Suomen E-painos Oy
Total Pages: 51
Release:
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 9526613767

This booklet discusses some major methodological issues relating to the construction of house price models on a macro level. There is no single method that always produces the optimal results; the choice of a particular approach, method, theory, model and technique is context-dependent. This is especially true in housing markets, where a multitude of different submarkets exist. The methodology chosen should be based on sound theory, from which the basic concepts of analysis can be derived. This booklet discusses the use of potential models, which can be constructed using a general field theory, and which act as a theoretical foundation for further analysis. If we use potential models for house price analysis we can discover additional features from the data set that other approaches would simply miss. This e-book presents a pragmatic overview of key methodological concerns with the emphasis on the use of potential models. Theoretical methodological questions are left unanswered, and are not even presented in this text, since they have little relevancy to real-world modelling questions.

Fundamental Drivers of House Prices in Advanced Economies

Fundamental Drivers of House Prices in Advanced Economies
Author: Ms.Nan Geng
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 24
Release: 2018-07-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484367626

House prices in many advanced economies have risen substantially in recent decades. But experience indicates that housing prices can diverge from their long-run equilibrium or sustainable levels, potentially followed by adjustments that impact macroeconomic and financial stability. Therefore there is a need to monitor house prices and assess whether they are sustainable. This paper focuses on fundamentals expected to drive long run trends in house prices, including institutional and structural factors. The scale of potential valuation gaps is gauged on the basis of a cross-country panel analysis of house prices in 20 OECD countries.

House Price Synchronization and Financial Openness: A Dynamic Factor Model Approach

House Price Synchronization and Financial Openness: A Dynamic Factor Model Approach
Author: Mitsuru Katagiri
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 29
Release: 2018-10-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484379578

This paper investigates the developments in house price synchronization across countries by a dynamic factor model using a country- and city-level dataset, and examines what drives the synchronization. The empirical results indicate that: (i) the degree of synchronization has been rising since the 1970s, and (ii) a large heterogeneity in the degree of synchronization exists across countries and cities. A panel and cross-sectional regression analysis show that the heterogeneity of synchronization is partly accounted for by the progress in financial and trade openness. Also, the city-level analysis implies that the international synchronization is mainly driven by the city-level connectivity between large and international cities.

Fundamental Drivers of House Prices in Advanced Economies

Fundamental Drivers of House Prices in Advanced Economies
Author: Ms.Nan Geng
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 24
Release: 2018-07-18
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1484369122

House prices in many advanced economies have risen substantially in recent decades. But experience indicates that housing prices can diverge from their long-run equilibrium or sustainable levels, potentially followed by adjustments that impact macroeconomic and financial stability. Therefore there is a need to monitor house prices and assess whether they are sustainable. This paper focuses on fundamentals expected to drive long run trends in house prices, including institutional and structural factors. The scale of potential valuation gaps is gauged on the basis of a cross-country panel analysis of house prices in 20 OECD countries.

Monetary and Macroprudential Policy Rules in a Model with House Price Booms

Monetary and Macroprudential Policy Rules in a Model with House Price Booms
Author: Mr.Pau Rabanal
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 38
Release: 2009-11-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451873980

We argue that a stronger emphasis on macrofinancial risk could provide stabilization benefits. Simulations results suggest that strong monetary reactions to accelerator mechanisms that push up credit growth and asset prices could help macroeconomic stability. In addition, using a macroprudential instrument designed specifically to dampen credit market cycles would also be useful. But invariant and rigid policy responses raise the risk of policy errors that could lower, not raise, macroeconomic stability. Hence, discretion would be required.

Modelling Spatial Housing Markets

Modelling Spatial Housing Markets
Author: Geoffrey Meen
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 286
Release: 2001-02-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780792373070

Spatial fixity is one of the characteristics that distinguishes housing from most other goods and services in the economy. In general, housing cannot be moved from one part of the country to another in response to shortages or excesses in particular areas. The modelling of housing markets and the interlinkages between markets at different spatial levels - international, national, regional and urban - are the main themes of this book. A second major theme is disaggregation, not only in terms of space, but also between households. The book argues that aggregate time-series models of housing markets of the type widely used in Britain and also in other countries in the past have become less relevant in a world of increasing income dispersion. Typically, aggregate relationships will break down, except under special conditions. We can no longer assume that traditional location or tenure patterns, for example, will continue in the future. The book has four main components. First, it discusses trends in housing markets both internationally and within nations. Second, the book develops theoretical housing models at each spatial scale, starting with national models, moving down to the regional level and, then, to urban models. Third, the book provides empirical estimates of the models and, finally, the models are used for policy analysis. Analysis ranges over a wide variety of topics, including explanations for differing international house price trends, the causes of housing cycles, the role of credit markets, regional housing market interactions and the role of housing in urban/suburban population drift.