Market Timing with Moving Averages

Market Timing with Moving Averages
Author: Valeriy Zakamulin
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 300
Release: 2017-11-17
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 331960970X

This book provides a comprehensive guide to market timing using moving averages. Part I explores the foundations of market timing rules, presenting a methodology for examining how the value of a trading indicator is computed. Using this methodology the author then applies the computation of trading indicators to a variety of market timing rules to analyse the commonalities and differences between the rules. Part II goes on to present a comprehensive analysis of the empirical performance of trading rules based on moving averages.

Market Timing and Moving Averages

Market Timing and Moving Averages
Author: P. Glabadanidis
Publisher: Palgrave Macmillan
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2015-07-16
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781137364685

There is a prevailing view among researchers and practitioners that abnormal risk-adjusted returns are an anomaly of financial market inefficiency. This outlook is misleading, since such returns only shed light on the imperfect models commonly used to measure and benchmark investment performance. In particular, using static asset pricing models to judge the performance of a dynamic investment strategy leads to flawed inferences when predicting market indicators. Market Timing and Moving Averages investigates the performance of moving average price indicators as a tactical asset allocation strategy. Glabadanidis provides a rationale for analyzing and testing the market timing and predictive power of any indicator based on past average prices and trading volume. He argues that certain trading strategies are best implemented as a dynamic asset allocation without selling short, in turn achieving the effect of an imperfect at-the-money protective put option. This work contains an empirical analysis of the performance of various versions of trading strategies based on simple moving averages.

New Market Timing Techniques

New Market Timing Techniques
Author: Thomas R. DeMark
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 372
Release: 1997-07-17
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780471149781

Thomas DeMark, einer der Meister technischer Indikatoren, betritt mit diesem Buch Neuland und verfeinert den popularsten und prazisesten seiner Indikatoren, wobei er besonderen Wert auf Echtzeitanwendungen legt. Bisher unveroffentlichte Angaben zum neuen Indikator 'TD Combo' geben Ihnen ein wertvolles Hilfsmittel fur den Markt in die Hand.

Time the Markets

Time the Markets
Author: Charles D. Kirkpatrick
Publisher: FT Press
Total Pages: 209
Release: 2012
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0132931931

In Time the Markets, award-winning technical analyst Charles D. Kirkpatrick applies technical analysis to key economic indicators and shows how to use them to identify market shifts, avoid loss, and become a more profitable long-term investor. Drawing on many years of publicly available data, Kirkpatrick demonstrates how to uncover powerful buy and sell signals and shows how to incorporate corporate, industry, monetary, sentiment, and market data into reliable timing indicators that can help you recognize impending stock and bond market dangers--and get out of the way. Relying primarily on proven technical analysis methods, Kirkpatrick incorporates trading system methods that have proven successful in market timing, including trend and momentum analysis, use of protective and trailing stops, and periodicity. Reflecting the latest insights into behavioral finance, he shares important new insight into measuring marketplace momentum and sentiment--helping long-term investors identify and evade the marketplace irrationalities that often cause capital loss.

Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis
Author: Gerald Appel
Publisher: Ft Press
Total Pages: 241
Release: 2005
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780131479029

Unlike most technical analysis books, Gerald Appel's Practical Power Tools! offers step-by-step instructions virtually any investor can use to achieve breakthrough success in the market. Appel illuminates a wide range of strategies and timing models, demystifying even advanced technical analysis the first time. Among the models he covers: NASDAQ/NYSE Relative Strength, 3-5 Year Treasury Notes, Triple Momentum, Seasonality, Breadth-Thrust Impulse, and models based on the revolutionary MACD techniques he personally invented. Appel covers momentum and trend of price movement, time and calendar cycles, predictive chart patterns, relative strength, analysis of internal vs. external markets, market breadth, moving averages, trading channels, overbought/oversold indicators, Trin, VIX, major term buy signals, major term sell signals, moving average trading channels, stock market synergy, and much more. He presents techniques for short-, intermediate-, and long-term investors, and even for mutual fund investors.

Mastering Market Timing

Mastering Market Timing
Author: Richard A. Dickson
Publisher: Pearson Education
Total Pages: 266
Release: 2011-06-29
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0132613433

For generations, technical market analysts have relied on the Wyckoff method for understanding price/volume interactions–a breakthrough technique created by Richard D. Wyckoff, one of the most influential traders in stock market history. More recently, many technical analysts have also applied the Lowry Analysis, an exceptionally powerful approach to understanding the forces of supply and demand that are the starting point for all macro-analysis. ¿ Now, for the first time, two leaders at Lowry Research discuss how to combine these methods. Drawing on more than 45 years of experience as technical analysts, Richard A. Dickson and Tracy Knudsen introduce a uniquely powerful, objective, and quantifiable approach to applying traditional price/volume analysis. By understanding their techniques, investors can gain insights unavailable through other technical methodologies, and uncover subtle indications of emerging trend shifts before other methods can reveal them.

Revisiting the Profitability of Market Timing with Moving Averages

Revisiting the Profitability of Market Timing with Moving Averages
Author: Valeriy Zakamulin
Publisher:
Total Pages: 10
Release: 2016
Genre:
ISBN:

In a recent empirical study by Glabadanidis ("Market Timing With Moving Averages" (2015), International Review of Finance, Volume 15, Number 13, Pages 387-425; the paper is also available on the SSRN and has been downloaded more than 7,500 times) the author reports striking evidence of extraordinary good performance of the moving average trading strategy. In this paper we demonstrate that "too good to be true" reported performance of the moving average strategy is due to simulating the trading with look-ahead bias. We perform the simulations without look-ahead bias and report the true performance of the moving average strategy. We find that at best the performance of the moving average strategy is only marginally better than that of the corresponding buy-and-hold strategy. In statistical terms, the performance of the moving average strategy is indistinguishable from the performance of the buy-and-hold strategy. This paper is supplied with R code that allows every interested reader to reproduce the reported results.

Timing Solutions for Swing Traders

Timing Solutions for Swing Traders
Author: Robert M. Lee
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 226
Release: 2012-10-16
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1118339177

A unique new approach to trading based on financial analysis and financial astrology Timing Solutions for Swing Traders: Successful Trading Using Technical Analysis and Financial Astrology is a remarkable new book that introduces a revolutionary approach to non-day trading that combines the four basic dimensions of trend analysis—price patterns, volume, price momentum, and price moving averages—with a little financial astrology. Focusing on the essentials of technical analysis, the book is filled with examples of reliable indicators and formulas that traders can use to help develop their own styles of trading, specially tailored to their individual needs and interests. Filled with real-life market examples to help you understand how to use the matrix of moving averages, how to apply different sets of time frame moving averages to form a trading decision, and how to determine the intermediate state of the market using the Queuing Theory (QMAC)—which dissects the interplay of long-term moving averages and helps anticipate major support and resistance levels—this book is packed with the information you need to maximize your trading potential. A dedicated trading guide for non-day traders Incorporates examples and formulas to bring ideas to life Presents an innovative new approach to trading that draws on the four core dimensions—price patterns, volume, price momentum, and price moving averages—for analyzing trends Innovative and practical, Timing Solutions for Swing Traders is a hands-on guide to applying a remarkable new approach to trading.