Managing Abundance to Avoid a Bust in Latin America

Managing Abundance to Avoid a Bust in Latin America
Author: Mr.Martin D Kaufman
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 29
Release: 2011-04-07
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1463926553

Staff Discussion Notes showcase the latest policy-related analysis and research being developed by individual IMF staff and are published to elicit comment and to further debate. These papers are generally brief and written in nontechnical language, and so are aimed at a broad audience interested in economic policy issues. This Web-only series replaced Staff Position Notes in January 2011.

Central America, Panama, and the Dominican Republic

Central America, Panama, and the Dominican Republic
Author: Mr.Marco Pinon
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 280
Release: 2012-06-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1475572018

Central America, Panama, and the Dominican Republic coped well with the global financial crisis of 2008-09. The impact was generally less severe and shorter lived than in previous episodes, the balance of payments adjustment was orderly, and the stability of the financial system was not compromised. This resilience can be attributed to a large extent to the strengthening of the fiscal frameworks, monetary management, and financial reforms conducted in the years preceding the global crisis. Nevertheless, the region faces considerable challenges for the period ahead, including the need to raise medium term growth above historical levels and protect macroeconomic and financial stability. This book argues that meeting these challenges will have to come from within, in light of the anticipated modest demand growth from trade partners. Raising growth in the region will depend on the adoption of structural reforms that generate substantial productivity gains. Rebuilding fiscal space and securing debt sustainability will hinge on efforts to increase tax revenue and reorienting spending to social and investment priorities. In the non-officially dollarized economies, it will also be essential to strengthen the monetary policy frameworks to keep inflation low and increase exchange rate flexibility, and improve financial regulation and supervision.

Developments in Financial Supervision and the Use of Macroprudential Measures in Central America

Developments in Financial Supervision and the Use of Macroprudential Measures in Central America
Author: Mr.Fernando L Delgado
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 29
Release: 2011-12-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1463927851

Improvements in financial regulation and supervision in the Central American region (CAPDR) have strengthened financial stability. Prudential instruments with potential macroeconomic effects have been introduced. Nonetheless, compared with the larger Latin American and selected industrial countries, there is still important scope for CAPDR to enhance financial supervision and regulation. Based on two surveys, and the analysis of the Basel Core Principles, the paper determines that some weaknesses exist in risk-based supervision, and that macroprudential measures have scarcely been deployed.

Cyclical Fiscal Rules for Oil-Exporting Countries

Cyclical Fiscal Rules for Oil-Exporting Countries
Author: Stephen Snudden
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 45
Release: 2013-11-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1475513380

Structural budget-balance rules with countercyclical elements appear well suited to stabilize the macroeconomic volatility of oil-exporting countries and have been used successfully by other commodity exporters. Using a global DSGE model, the efficient design of such rules is found to depend on the source of oil price fluctuations and the oil exporters’ structural characteristics. The output-inflation tradeoff is of particular concern for oil exporters relative to non-oil exporters due to the pass through of oil prices into headline inflation. Fiscal rules are best when coordinated with inflation targeting monetary policy, but are still desirable for fixed exchange rate regimes.

Chile

Chile
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 54
Release: 2011-08-24
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1463902247

In recent years, the IMF has released a growing number of reports and other documents covering economic and financial developments and trends in member countries. Each report, prepared by a staff team after discussions with government officials, is published at the option of the member country.

IMF Research Bulletin, June 2011

IMF Research Bulletin, June 2011
Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 12
Release: 2011-06-07
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1463902913

June 2011: The Q&A in this issue features seven questions on the global trade collapse of 2008-09 (by Rudolfs Bems); the research summaries are "The Impact of the Great Recession on Emerging Markets" (by Ricardo Llaudes, Ferhan Salman, and Mali Chivakul) and "The Missing Link between Dutch Disease, Appreciation, and Growth (by Nicolás E. Magud and Sebastián Sosa). The issue also lists the contents of the June 2011 issue of the IMF Economic Review, Volume 59 Number 2; visiting scholars at the IMF during April-June 2011; and recent IMF Working Papers and Staff Discussion Notes.

Capital Inflows, Exchange Rate Flexibility, and Credit Booms

Capital Inflows, Exchange Rate Flexibility, and Credit Booms
Author: Mr.Nicolas E. Magud
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 24
Release: 2012-02-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1463936427

The prospects of expansionary monetary policies in the advanced countries for the foreseeable future have renewed the debate over policy options to cope with large capital inflows that are, at least partly, driven by low interest rates in the financial centers. Historically, capital flow bonanzas have often fueled sharp credit expansions in advanced and emerging market economies alike. Focusing primarily on emerging markets, we analyze the impact of exchange rate flexibility on credit markets during periods of large capital inflows. We show that bank credit grows more rapidly and its composition tilts to foreign currency in economies with less flexible exchange rate regimes, and that these results are not explained entirely by the fact that the latter attract more capital inflows than economies with more flexible regimes. Our findings thus suggest countries with less flexible exchange rate regimes may stand to benefit the most from regulatory policies that reduce banks' incentives to tap external markets and to lend/borrow in foreign currency; these policies include marginal reserve requirements on foreign lending, currency-dependent liquidity requirements, and higher capital requirement and/or dynamic provisioning on foreign exchange loans.

Foreign Exchange Intervention

Foreign Exchange Intervention
Author: Gustavo Adler
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 30
Release: 2011-07-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1462301215

This paper examines foreign exchange intervention practices and their effectiveness using a new qualitative and quantitative database for a panel of 15 economies covering 2004 - 10, with special focus on Latin America. Qualitatively, it examines institutional aspects such as declared motives, instruments employed, the use of rules versus discretion, and the degree of transparency. Quantitatively, it assesses the effectiveness of sterilized interventions in influencing the exchange rate using a two-stage IV-panel data approach to overcome endogeneity bias. Results suggest that interventions slow the pace of appreciation, but the effects decrease rapidly with the degree of capital account openness. At the same time, interventions are more effective in the context of already ?overvalued' exchange rates.

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011, Western Hemisphere

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011, Western Hemisphere
Author: International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 93
Release: 2011-11-03
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1616351306

Despite the recent deterioration in the global economic environment, projections for the region involve only a modest worsening of the outlook. The October 2011 Regional Economic Outlook: Western Hemisphere cautions, however, that there are severe downside risks. A sharp slowdown in Asia, for example in response to a recession in advanced economies, could impact commodity prices, with negative effects on Latin American commodity exporters. With global monetary policy likely to remain accommodative, capital flows could exacerbate overheating and amplify vulnerabilities in emerging markets. Countries with strong real linkages to the United States face a somewhat weaker outlook and should give priority to reducing public debt. Although much of the Caribbean is recovering from a prolonged recession, the outlook remains constrained by high public debt and weak tourism flows. This issue finds that policies can play an important role in mitigating the economic impact of terms-of-trade shocks, and underscores the need to rebuild policy buffers.

Economic Growth in Latin America and the Impact of the Global Financial Crisis

Economic Growth in Latin America and the Impact of the Global Financial Crisis
Author: Garita, Mauricio
Publisher: IGI Global
Total Pages: 260
Release: 2017-12-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 152254982X

As the global financial crisis has touched the entire world, it is important for entrepreneurs, government officials, and researchers to reflect on its long-lasting effects to the economy. Economic Growth in Latin America and the Impact of the Global Financial Crisis is a pivotal reference source containing the latest academic research on risk, economic growth and information security in the Latin American economy. Including coverage among a variety of applicable viewpoints and subjects such as telecommunication, subprime lending, and public education, this book is an ideal reference source for government officials, researchers, academics, and upper-level students seeking innovative research on entrepreneurship and the European debt crisis.