Large-scale Macro-econometric Models

Large-scale Macro-econometric Models
Author: Jan Kmenta
Publisher: North-Holland
Total Pages: 484
Release: 1981
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

Forecasting economic variables; Advancement of economic knowledge and the size of macro-econometric models; Construction of macro-econometric models; Evaluation of macro-econometric models.

A History of Macroeconometric Model-building

A History of Macroeconometric Model-building
Author: Ronald G. Bodkin
Publisher: Aldershot, Hants, England : E. Elgar
Total Pages: 600
Release: 1991
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

This major book presents, for the first time, an authoritative history of developments in macroeconometric modelling since the 1930s. It focuses in particular on the construction of mathematico-statistical models of entire economies, estimated from national accounts and other macroeconomic data. International and comparative in scope, the book contains chapters prepared by specialists from the different countries concerned. This landmark book is indispensable to an understanding of the history and development of large scale econometric models of modern economies.

The Econometrics of Macroeconomic Modelling

The Econometrics of Macroeconomic Modelling
Author: Gunnar Bårdsen
Publisher: Oxford University Press on Demand
Total Pages: 338
Release: 2005
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780199246496

Macroeconometric models, in many ways the flagships of the economist's profession in the 1960s, came under increasing attack from both theoretical economist and practitioners in the late 1970s. Critics referred to their lack of microeconomic theoretical foundations, ad hoc models of expectations, lack of identification, neglect of dynamics and non-stationarity, and poor forecasting properties. By the start of the 1990s, the status of macroeconometric models had declined markedly, and hadfallen completely out of, and with, academic economics. Nevertheless, unlike the dinosaurs to which they often have been likened, macroeconometric models have never completely disappeared from the scene. This book describes how and why the discipline of macroeconometric modelling continues to play a role for economic policymaking by adapting to changing demands, in response, for instance, to new policy regimes like inflation targeting. Model builders have adopted new insights from economic theory and taken advantage of the methodological and conceptual advances within time series econometrics over the last twenty years. The modelling of wages and prices takes a central part in the book as the authors interpret and evaluate the last forty years of international research experience in the light of the Norwegian 'main course' model of inflation in a small open economy. The preferred model is a dynamic model of incomplete competition, which is evaluated against alternatives as diverse as the Phillips curve, Nickell-Layard wage curves, the New Keynesian Phillips curve, and monetary inflation models on data from the Euro area, the UK, and Norway. The wage price core model is built into a small econometric model for Norway to analyse the transmission mechanism and to evaluate monetary policy rules. The final chapter explores the main sources of forecast failure likely to occur in a practical modelling situation, using the large-scale nodel RIMINI and the inflation models of earlier chapters as case studies.

Estimating How the Macroeconomy Works

Estimating How the Macroeconomy Works
Author: Ray C. FAIR
Publisher: Harvard University Press
Total Pages: 314
Release: 2009-06-30
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0674036638

Macroeconomics tries to describe and explain the economywide movement of prices, output, and unemployment. The field has been sharply divided among various schools, including Keynesian, monetarist, new classical, and others. It has also been split between theorists and empiricists. Ray Fair is a resolute empiricist, developing and refining methods for testing theories and models. The field cannot advance without the discipline of testing how well the models approximate the data. Using a multicountry econometric model, he examines several important questions, including what causes inflation, how monetary authorities behave and what are their stabilization limits, how large is the wealth effect on aggregate consumption, whether European monetary policy has been too restrictive, and how large are the stabilization costs to Europe of adopting the euro. He finds, among other things, little evidence for the rational expectations hypothesis and for the so-called non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU) hypothesis. He also shows that the U.S. economy in the last half of the 1990s was not a new age economy.

Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models

Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models
Author: P. Fisher
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 215
Release: 2013-04-17
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9401580022

It is commonly believed that macroeconomic models are not useful for policy analysis because they do not take proper account of agents' expectations. Over the last decade, mainstream macroeconomic models in the UK and elsewhere have taken on board the `Rational Expectations Revolution' by explicitly incorporating expectations of the future. In principle, one can perform the same technical exercises on a forward expectations model as on a conventional model -- and more! Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models deals with the numerical methods necessary to carry out policy analysis and forecasting with these models. These methods are often passed on by word of mouth or confined to obscure journals. Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models brings them together with applications which are interesting in their own right. There is no comparable textbook in the literature. The specific subjects include: (i) solving for model consistent expectations; (ii) the choice of terminal condition and time horizon; (iii) experimental design: i.e., the effect of temporary vs permanent, anticipated vs. unanticipated shocks; deterministic vs. stochastic, dynamic vs. static simulation; (iv) the role of exchange rate; (v) optimal control and inflation-output tradeoffs. The models used are those of the Liverpool Research Group in Macroeconomics, the London Business School and the National Institute of Economic and Social Research.

Macroeconomic Modelling

Macroeconomic Modelling
Author: S.G. Hall
Publisher: Elsevier
Total Pages: 432
Release: 2014-06-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1483295478

This book arose out of research carried out by the authors in the period 1983-1987 whilst at the National Institute of Economic and Social Research. A number of things combined to impart the basic thrust of the research: partly the developments in formulating and estimating rational expectations models, and partly actual developments in the UK economy itself.An application of recent developments in dynamic modelling to a complete macroeconometric model of the UK is presented. Rational expectations modelling, co-integration and disequilibrium modelling are covered. The book also develops computational procedures for obtaining efficient solutions to large-scale models, and illustrates model solutions assuming rational expectations and stochastic simulations. Finally, sections on the analysis of models using optimal control methods illustrate applications of a large-scale econometric model. This section also discusses policy applications, including the derivation of time-consistent policies in the presence of rational expectations, giving quantified illustrations.

Econometric Modelling

Econometric Modelling
Author: Sean Holly
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 324
Release: 2000-09-14
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780521650694

The latest techniques used in modelling the economy with policy analysis and applications.

Macroeconomic Model

Macroeconomic Model
Author: Fouad Sabry
Publisher: One Billion Knowledgeable
Total Pages: 297
Release: 2024-04-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

What is Macroeconomic Model A macroeconomic model is an analytical tool designed to describe the operation of the problems of economy of a country or a region. These models are usually designed to examine the comparative statics and dynamics of aggregate quantities such as the total amount of goods and services produced, total income earned, the level of employment of productive resources, and the level of prices. How you will benefit (I) Insights, and validations about the following topics: Chapter 1: Macroeconomic model Chapter 2: Macroeconomics Chapter 3: Rational expectations Chapter 4: New Keynesian economics Chapter 5: Monopoly profit Chapter 6: Fiscal policy Chapter 7: Phillips curve Chapter 8: Nominal rigidity Chapter 9: Lucas critique Chapter 10: Representative agent Chapter 11: Economic model Chapter 12: Computational economics Chapter 13: Demand for money Chapter 14: Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium Chapter 15: Microfoundations Chapter 16: Neoclassical synthesis Chapter 17: History of macroeconomic thought Chapter 18: Jacques Drèze Chapter 19: Large-scale macroeconometric model Chapter 20: Heterogeneity in economics Chapter 21: Moral hazard (II) Answering the public top questions about macroeconomic model. (III) Real world examples for the usage of macroeconomic model in many fields. Who this book is for Professionals, undergraduate and graduate students, enthusiasts, hobbyists, and those who want to go beyond basic knowledge or information for any kind of Macroeconomic Model.