Investigating the Value of Time and Value of Reliability for Managed Lanes

Investigating the Value of Time and Value of Reliability for Managed Lanes
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages: 79
Release: 2015
Genre: Express highways
ISBN:

This report presents a comprehensive study in Value of Time (VOT) and Value of Reliability (VOR) analysis in the context of managed lane (ML) facilities. Combined Revealed Preference (RP) and Stated Preference (SP) data were used to understand travelers' choice behavior regarding the usage of MLs. The data were obtained from the South Florida Expressway Stated Preference Survey conducted by the Resource Systems Group, Inc. (RSG), which gathered information from automobile drivers of South Florida who had recently made a trip on I-75, I-95, or SR 826 corridors. Various modeling and analysis approaches were employed to further reveal user heterogeneity in VOT and VOR.

Comprehensive Assessment of Managed Lane Performance and Characteristics

Comprehensive Assessment of Managed Lane Performance and Characteristics
Author: Chih-Lin Chung
Publisher:
Total Pages: 193
Release: 2010
Genre:
ISBN: 9781124011042

Managed lanes, specifically for high occupancy vehicle (HOV) and high occupancy and toll (HOT) lanes, face such undiscovered issues as their performance regarding speed dispersion, equilibrium relationships with general purpose (GP) lanes in terms of speed and level of service, and joint effects of managed lane policies like eligibility, access control, and pricing. The goal of this dissertation is to provide theoretical and practical procedures of managed lane operation assessment under four modules. The first module correlates speed dispersion with the fundamental traffic flow parameters. It reveals that coefficients of variation of speed for HOV and GP lanes are exponential with occupancy, negative exponential with space mean speed, and two-phase linear to flow. The second module proposes two speed equilibrium schemes for HOV and GP lanes. The schemes present distinct speed pairs by congestion level, but speed of HOV lanes is identically ensured no less than GP lanes. The second module also develops an HOT scheme that adopts value of time and value of reliability to formulate HOT tolls with respect to speed of GP lanes. The third module identifies lane management and congestion hot spots by contrasting the level of service of managed lanes and GP lanes in deterministic and stochastic ways. The case study indicates that lane management hot spots are spatially and temporally dynamic, and a non-hot spot less likely turns to congestion without being a lane management hot spot as transition, or vise versa. The last module develops two macroscopic approaches to screening the policy combination set of managed lanes. The optimal/non-inferior policies for non-eliminated combinations are verified by multi-objective binary integer linear programming.

Understanding the Behavior of Travelers Using Managed Lanes

Understanding the Behavior of Travelers Using Managed Lanes
Author: Prem Chand Devarasetty
Publisher:
Total Pages: 168
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN:

This research examined if travelers are paying for travel on managed lanes (MLs) as they indicated that they would in a 2008 survey. The other objectives of this research included estimating travelers' value of travel time savings (VTTS) and their value of travel time reliability (VOR), and examining the multiple survey designs used in a 2008 survey to identify which survey design better predicted ML traveler behavior. To achieve the objectives, an Internet-based follow-up stated preference (SP) survey of Houston's Katy Freeway travelers was conducted in 2010. Three survey design methodologies--Db-efficient, random level generation, and adaptive random--were tested in this survey. A total of 3,325 responses were gathered from the survey, and of those, 869 responses were from those who likely also responded to the previous 2008 survey. Mixed logit models were developed for those 869 previous survey respondents to estimate and compare the VTTS to the 2008 survey estimates. It was found that the 2008 survey estimates of the VTTS were very close to the 2010 survey estimates. In addition, separate mixed logit models were developed from the responses obtained from the three different design strategies in the 2010 survey. The implied mean VTTS varied across the design-specific models. Only the Db-efficient design was able to estimate a VOR. Based on this and several other metrics, the Db-efficient design outperformed the other designs. A mixed logit model including all the responses from all three designs was also developed; the implied mean VTTS was estimated as 65 percent ($22/hr) of the mean hourly wage rate, and the implied mean VOR was estimated as 108 percent ($37/hr) of the mean hourly wage rate. Data on actual usage of the MLs were also collected. Based on actual usage, the average VTTS was calculated as $51/hr. However, the $51/hr travelers are paying likely also includes the value travelers place on travel time reliability of the MLs. The total (VTTS+VOR) amount estimated from the all-inclusive model from the survey was $59/hr, which is close to the value estimated from the actual usage. The Db-efficient design estimated this total as $50/hr. This research also shows that travelers have a difficulty in estimating the time they save while using a ML. They greatly overestimate the amount of time saved. It may well be that even though travelers are saving a small amount of time they value that time savings (and avoiding congestion) much higher -- possibly similar to their amount of perceived travel time savings. The initial findings from this study, reported here, are consistent with the hypothesis that travelers are paying for their travel on MLs, much as they said that they would in our previous survey. This supports the use of data on intended behavior in policy analysis. The electronic version of this dissertation is accessible from http://hdl.handle.net/1969.1/148178

Value of Reliability

Value of Reliability
Author: Carlos Carrion
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2011
Genre:
ISBN:

In the Minneapolis-St. Paul region (Twin Cities), the Minnesota Department of Transportation (Mn- DOT) converted the Interstate 394 High Occupancy Vehicle (HOV) lanes to High Occupancy Toll (HOT) lanes (or MnPASS Express Lanes). These lanes allow single occupancy vehicles (SOV) to access the HOV lanes by paying a fee. This fee is adjusted according to a dynamic pricing system that varies with the current demand. This paper estimates the value placed by the travelers on the HOT lanes because of improvements in travel time reliability. This value depends on how the travelers regard a route with predictable travel times (or small travel time variability) in comparison to another with unpredictable travel times (or high travel time variability). For this purpose, commuters are recruited and equipped with Global Positioning System (GPS) devices and instructed to commute for two weeks on each of three plausible alternatives between their home in the western suburbs of Minneapolis eastbound to work in downtown or the University of Minnesota: I-394 HOT lanes, I-394 General Purpose lanes (untolled), and signalized arterials close to the I-394 corridor. They are then given the opportunity to travel on their preferred route after experiencing each alternative. This revealed preference data is then analyzed using mixed logit route choice models. Three measures of reliability are explored and incorporated in the estimation of the models: standard deviation (a classical measure in the research literature); shortened right range (typically found in departure time choice models); and interquartile range (75th - 25th percentile). Each of these measures represents distinct ways about how travelers deal with different sections of reliability. In all the models, it was found that reliability was valued highly (and statistically significantly), but differently according to how it was defined. The estimated value of reliability in each of the models indicates that commuters are willing to pay a fee for a reliable route depending on how they value their reliability savings.

Examining Decision-making Surrounding the Use of Managed Lanes by Katy Freeway Travelers

Examining Decision-making Surrounding the Use of Managed Lanes by Katy Freeway Travelers
Author: Chao Huang
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

Most previous research that models travelers' behavior in using managed lanes (MLs) versus a toll-free route has derived the individual's route-choice decision using a utility maximization approach. More recent models incorporating risk are based on expected utility theory (EUT). However, violations of some key assumptions of the EUT have led to the development of nonexpected utility theories, among which prospect theory (PT) has been one the most widely examined. This study examined if PT is superior to EUT when predicting route/mode choice and understanding travelers' behavior in the case of MLs by embedding PT proposed value function and probability weighting functions in the utility estimation. From both EUT and PT approaches, this study used survey data from 2012 to predict the mode choices that include MLs and toll-free alternatives, and provided estimates of the value that travelers are willing to pay (WTP) for travel time savings on MLs. The responses from the survey were examined using advanced discrete choice modeling techniques. Significant and interesting general findings resemble those in previous studies that use PT, including the fact that individuals weight probabilities. Two survey design methodologies, Db-efficient and adaptive random, were tested in this survey. Estimates from the EUT and PT approaches, as well as from previous studies on Katy Freeway travelers, are compared. The results of this study indicate that Katy Freeway travelers are more risk averse when in a situation of being late for work than they are with potential savings in travel time, and they, on average, demonstrate a sense of optimism when the chances of facing a longer travel time are high. PT based models, particularly the model embedding with probability weighting, outperforms EUT based models in terms of the predicative power. On average, models with probability weighting resulted in more than 65 percent of all mode choices correctly predicted, while conventional EUT models predict about 35 percent of choices correctly among four alternatives. Compared to previously available route choice studies, the relatively low willingness to pay (WTP) measures ($8 to $14/hour) calculated in this study from the PT models may deserve further investigation. Empirical findings from this study would help the policy makers set up appropriate project goals and toll rates to meet the increasing traffic demand of Katy Freeway travelers. The patronage of toll facility and MLs largely depends on the potential benefits (more reliable travel time and/or travel time savings) offered by such a facility. How the travelers actually perceive the potential benefits may have a significant influence on the use of MLs. This is about the belief that the travelers have on the facility. In lieu of the significant improvement in predicative power of the models embedding probability weighting functions and because of the stochastic nature of travel times, in future survey efforts it might be helpful to collect information regarding Katy Freeway travelers' actual belief on the benefits from using the MLs, and compare their 'belief' with the actual probability of reliable travel time and savings. Such comparison might help verify the accuracy of the probability weighting functions obtained in this study. The electronic version of this dissertation is accessible from http://hdl.handle.net/1969.1/152505

Value of Travel Time

Value of Travel Time
Author: Mark Whitman Burris
Publisher:
Total Pages: 6
Release: 2016
Genre: Managed lanes (Traffic engineering)
ISBN:

Researchers at the Texas A&M Transportation Institute (TTI) recently conducted a study that attempted to generate new, more accurate value of time savings (VOT) estimates with revealed preference (RP) methods using data collected from the Katy Freeway managed lanes in Houston. The facility's four managed lanes (two in each direction) run along the inside of the general-purpose lanes and are separated from the general-purpose lanes by special striping and plastic barriers. For most of the day, high-occupancy vehicles with two or more occupants can access the managed lanes for free and potentially bypass congestion. People traveling alone (as a single-occupant vehicle) can also access the managed lanes but must pay a toll. The TTI research team used data from 2012 to 2014 and developed a data set of over 100 million trips taken along the Katy Freeway general-purpose and managed lanes. Of these, 7 million trips involved the payment of a toll on the managed lanes. Thus, the data set included millions of travel decisions that involved either taking the toll-free general-purpose lanes or paying a toll to use the managed lanes in anticipation of saving travel time. The study used data from vehicles travelling I-10 with toll transponders. Personally identifiable information was not collected or kept..

Value of Travel Time Reliability in Transportation Decision Making

Value of Travel Time Reliability in Transportation Decision Making
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages: 138
Release: 2015
Genre: Transportation
ISBN: 9780309274326

TRB's second Strategic Highway Research Program (SHRP 2) Report S2-L35B-RW-1: Value of Travel Time Reliability in Transportation Decision Making: Proof of Concept--Maryland addresses how an agency can include a value of travel time reliability in a benefit-cost analysis when making congestion reduction-related project investment decisions.