Intra Industry Information Transfers And The Post Earnings Announcement Drift
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Author | : Tunde Kovacs |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 49 |
Release | : 2015 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
This study examines the role of intra-industry information transfers in the analyst forecast-based post-earnings announcement drift. I find that subsequent same-industry-peer earnings announcements influence a firm's post-earnings announcement drift if these subsequent announcements confirm the firm's initial earnings surprise and the firm's industry exhibits ex-ante positive (common effect) intra-industry information transfers. The results suggest that underreaction to industry-specific information contributes to analyst forecast-based post-earnings announcement drift.
Author | : Brian Ferguson |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 46 |
Release | : 2015 |
Genre | : Stock exchanges |
ISBN | : |
Author | : Rebecca N. Hann |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 64 |
Release | : 2019 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
We examine whether there is intra-industry information transfer with respect to the second moment of returns around earnings announcements. Using implied volatility from option prices to proxy for uncertainty about firm fundamentals, we find a significantly positive association between changes in the implied volatility of each industry's first announcer and its peers around the first announcer's earnings announcement, suggesting that earnings announcements help resolve uncertainty about the value of not only the announcing firm but also its peers. This result holds after controlling for information transfer with respect to the first moment of returns. We further find that the extent of second-moment information transfer is stronger for long-duration options, when the announcer has higher earnings quality, reports positive earnings news, or is a bellwether firm and during periods of greater macroeconomic uncertainty. Our findings suggest that peers' earnings announcements represent an important disclosure that conveys timely information about industry uncertainty.
Author | : Francois Brochet |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 62 |
Release | : 2018 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
A long-standing literature documents the existence of intra-industry capital market co-movements around earnings releases, yet the dynamics of these information transfers remain largely unexplored. We provide evidence on both the sources and the channels of information transfers by separating two distinct events within the reporting window, and by exploring potential mechanisms of information flows. First, we examine the intra-industry information transfer associated with quarterly earnings conference calls, using intra-day data to decouple their effects from those of the associated earnings announcements. We document that the co-movement of absolute and signed stock returns over the conference call windows of announcing firms and their industry peers are statistically and economically larger than the co-movement over the corresponding earnings announcement windows. Turning to mechanisms, we find that shared analyst coverage, coverage by analysts providing industry recommendations, shared institutional ownership, and joint financial press mentions are each individually and incrementally associated with higher rate of information transfer over both the earnings announcement and conference call windows. Additional analyses reveal that information transfer occurs both to peers that have already announced and those that are yet to announce, and that peer mentions and macroeconomic discussions are both significant contributors to the conference call information transfers.
Author | : Jacob K. Thomas |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 50 |
Release | : 2007 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Prior research has documented that earnings announcements provide information not only about the announcing firm but also about other firms in the same industry. We document a stock market anomaly associated with this phenomenon of intra-industry information transfers by showing that the stock price movements of late announcers in response to earnings reported by early announcers are negatively correlated with the subsequent price responses of late announcers to their own earnings reports. Apparently, the stock market overestimates the intra-industry implications of early announcers' earnings for late announcers' earnings, and that overestimation is corrected when late announcers disclose their earnings.
Author | : Lumina Albert |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : |
Release | : 2015 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
We investigate the narratives accompanying earnings announcements made by industry-leading companies (leaders) to determine whether there are information transfers for narratives in the same way there are for earnings announcements. For a group of industry-leading firms with quarterly losses, we find evidence that when their CEO attributes the company's poor performance to external causes (defensive attributions) or issues negative industry forecasts, the market's reaction to industry followers is strongly more negative and more persistent than when the CEO issues internal attributions or positive industry forecasts. Our findings of a persistent price decline occur despite the subsequent release of positive earnings surprises by industry followers. Our results suggest that the market overreacts to the information in industry leaders' narratives and followers' stock prices suffer significant price declines that are only partially corrected. We characterize investors' behavior as an overreaction potentially due to their attentional constraints.
Author | : Michael Paul Schoderbek |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 276 |
Release | : 1992 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Author | : Elizabeth Demers |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 66 |
Release | : 2008 |
Genre | : Corporations |
ISBN | : |
This paper examines whether the "soft" information contained in the text of management's quarterly earnings press releases is incrementally informative over the company's reported "hard" earnings news. We use Diction, a textual-analysis program, to extract various dimensions of managerial net optimism from more than 20,000 corporate earnings announcements over the period 1998 to 2006 and document that unanticipated net optimism in managers' language affects announcement period abnormal returns and predicts post-earnings announcement drift. We find that it takes longer for the market to understand the implications of soft information than those of hard information. We also find that the market response varies by firm size, turnover, media and analyst coverage, and the extent to which the standard accounting model captures the underlying economics of the firm. We also show that the second moment of soft information, the level of certainty in the text, is an important determinant of contemporaneous idiosyncratic volatility, and it predicts future idiosyncratic volatility.
Author | : Tomas Tomcany |
Publisher | : LAP Lambert Academic Publishing |
Total Pages | : 92 |
Release | : 2010-11 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : 9783843367813 |
It is a well documented finding in finance theory that share prices drift in the direction of firms' unexpected earnings changes, a phenomenom known as post-earnings announcement drift, or earnings momentum. In this book, I study the stock prices' reaction to firms' quarterly earnings announcements. The book shows that the timeframe in which the drift occurs is related to the size of a firm and is limited in time after the earnings announcement. I further analyze the effect of the number of analysts covering a firm on the magnitude and persistance of post-earnings announcement drift. I document that recent analyst coverage predicts large drifts after the earnings announcements. I suggest several possible explanations, but the evidence seems most consistent with recent analyst coverage providing information about investor (or analyst) expectations regarding firm's future earnings. This book should be useful to professionals in Financial Economics, especially to those interested in Behavioral Finance in stock markets, but also to equity analysts, traders or investors interested in the stocks' response to earnings news.
Author | : Peter F. Pope |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 43 |
Release | : 2008 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
The predictability of abnormal returns based on information contained in past earnings announcements is a statistically and economically significant anomaly. Neither is it illusory, nor is it an artifact of the experimental design. It may be a result of market inefficiency. Our results cannot rule out this explanation. However, we find that the magnitude of the post-earnings announcement effect is correlated with factors that proxy for the ex ante probability of the firm surviving to be part of the earnings surprise sample, and with determinants of the bid-ask spread.