IMF Research Bulletin, September 2004

IMF Research Bulletin, September 2004
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Total Pages: 16
Release: 2004-09-30
Genre:
ISBN: 9781451959796

The IMF Research Bulletin, a quarterly publication, selectively summarizes research and analytical work done by various departments at the IMF, and also provides a listing of research documents and other research-related activities, including conferences and seminars. The Bulletin is intended to serve as a summary guide to research done at the IMF on various topics, and to provide a better perspective on the analytical underpinnings of the IMF’s operational work.

IMF Research Bulletin, December 2004

IMF Research Bulletin, December 2004
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Total Pages: 12
Release: 2004-12-04
Genre:
ISBN: 9781451959826

The IMF Research Bulletin, a quarterly publication, selectively summarizes research and analytical work done by various departments at the IMF, and also provides a listing of research documents and other research-related activities, including conferences and seminars. The Bulletin is intended to serve as a summary guide to research done at the IMF on various topics, and to provide a better perspective on the analytical underpinnings of the IMF’s operational work.

IMF Research Bulletin, September 2010

IMF Research Bulletin, September 2010
Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 12
Release: 2010-09-30
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1455243140

This paper analyzes transmission of the great recession from advanced to emerging economies. The widespread impact of the global financial crisis of 2008–09 has spurred researchers to examine how the associated recession was transmitted from advanced to emerging economies. Recent IMF studies have found that precrisis vulnerabilities such as large current account deficits, rapid credit growth, and high levels of short-term debt were strongly associated with the magnitude of spillovers. Trade, bank lending, and financial markets served as key transmission channels.

IMF Research Bulletin

IMF Research Bulletin
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher:
Total Pages: 14
Release: 2013
Genre: Economic development
ISBN: 9781484335802

The Research Summaries in the September 2013 IMF Research Bulletin focus on?External Conditions and Debt Sustainability in Latin America? (Gustavo Adler and Sebastian Sosa) and?Monetary Policy Cyclicality in Emerging Markets? (Donal McGettigan, Kenji Moriyama, and Chad Steinberg). In the Q & A, Itai Aigur and Sunil Sharma discuss?Seven Questions on Macroprudential Policy Frameworks.? The Research Bulletin also includes an updated listing of recent IMF Working Papers, Staff Discussion Notes, and Recommended Readings from the IMF Bookstore, as well as information on a forthcoming conference. The IMF Economic Review?s new Impact Factor is also highlighted.

Trade Integration and Business Cycle Synchronization

Trade Integration and Business Cycle Synchronization
Author: Mr.Romain A Duval
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 46
Release: 2014-04-03
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1475523599

This paper reexamines the relationship between trade integration and business cycle synchronization (BCS) using new value-added trade data for 63 advanced and emerging economies during 1995–2012. In a panel framework, we identify a strong positive impact of trade intensity on BCS—conditional on various controls, global common shocks and country-pair heterogeneity—that is absent when gross trade data are used. That effect is bigger in crisis times, pointing to trade as an important crisis propagation mechanism. Bilateral intra-industry trade and trade specialization correlation also appear to increase co-movement, indicating that not only the intensity but also the type of trade matters. Finally, we show that dependence on Chinese final demand in value-added terms amplifies the international spillovers and synchronizing impact of growth shocks in China.

From “Hindu Growth” to Productivity Surge

From “Hindu Growth” to Productivity Surge
Author: Mr.Dani Rodrik
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 44
Release: 2004-05-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451850026

This paper explores the causes of India's productivity surge around 1980, more than a decade before serious economic reforms were initiated. Trade liberalization, expansionary demand, a favorable external environment, and improved agricultural performance did not play a role. We find evidence that the trigger may have been an attitudinal shift by the government in the early 1980s that unlike the reforms of the 1990s, was probusiness rather than promarket in character, favoring the interests of existing businesses rather than new entrants or consumers. A relatively small shift elicited a large productivity response, because India was far away from its income-possibility frontier. Registered manufacturing, which had been built up in previous decades, played an important role in determining which states took advantage of the changed environment.

Income Polarization in the United States

Income Polarization in the United States
Author: Ali Alichi
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 36
Release: 2016-06-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1475522568

The paper uses a combination of micro-level datasets to document the rise of income polarization—what some have referred to as the “hollowing out” of the income distribution—in the United States, since the 1970s. While in the initial decades more middle-income households moved up, rather than down, the income ladder, since the turn of the current century, most of polarization has been towards lower incomes. This result is striking and in contrast with findings of other recent contributions. In addition, the paper finds evidence that, after conditioning on income and household characteristics, the marginal propensity to consume from permanent changes in income has somewhat fallen in recent years. We assess the potential impacts of these trends on private consumption. During 1998-2013, the rise in income polarization and lower marginal propensity to consume have suppressed the level of real consumption at the aggregate level, by about 31⁄2 percent—equivalent to more than one year of consumption.