How Much are the Central and Eastern European Countries (CEEC) Aligned with the Euro Area?

How Much are the Central and Eastern European Countries (CEEC) Aligned with the Euro Area?
Author: Tobias Dümmler
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 66
Release: 2008-05
Genre:
ISBN: 3638929361

Seminar paper from the year 2007 in the subject Economics - Monetary theory and policy, grade: 2,0, University of Frankfurt (Main) (Schwerpunkt Geld- und Wahrung), course: Seminar topics in monetary economics, 25 entries in the bibliography, language: English, abstract: The intention of this paper is to discuss the alignment of the Central and Eastern European Countries (CEEC) with the euro area. We tried to choose our alignment criteria in a way that is always referring to the consequences for a common monetary policy and the effects on transmission. Nevertheless, we have to emphasize that our intention is to give an overview how much the CEEC are aligned with the euro area; unfortunately we would oversize this paper by discussing the consequences of the observed developments for a common monetary policy in detail. We proceed as follows: First, we refer to the so-called Maastricht Criteria because they are a guideline for the decision whether a new member state is prepared to join the euro area and use the Euro as an official currency or not. We report graphs and figures of time series to illustrate developments. The results serve as a good starting point for deeper analyses and suggest some evidence for an alignment process that has taken place over the last years across the CEEC. Second, in order to gain a wider impression of the current state of alignment, we try to approach from another direction: We are making reference to the theory of optimum currency areas which will be briefly discussed. In the light of this approach, we continue with studying the alignment and present other criteria which seem to be appropriate - beside inflation rates, we focus on GDP, private consumption and unemployment - and are able to deliver important clues for our discussion. We provide some descriptive analyses including cross-correlation analyses of the time series we dealt with in this chapter. Unfortunately, there are developments in the time series we cannot explain sufficien

How much are the Central and Eastern European Countries (CEEC) aligned with the Euro area?

How much are the Central and Eastern European Countries (CEEC) aligned with the Euro area?
Author: Tobias Dümmler
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 58
Release: 2008-04-04
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3638032051

Seminar paper from the year 2007 in the subject Economics - Monetary theory and policy, grade: 2,0, University of Frankfurt (Main) (Schwerpunkt Geld- und Währung), course: Seminar topics in monetary economics, 25 entries in the bibliography, language: English, abstract: The intention of this paper is to discuss the alignment of the Central and Eastern European Countries (CEEC) with the euro area. We tried to choose our alignment criteria in a way that is always referring to the consequences for a common monetary policy and the effects on transmission. Nevertheless, we have to emphasize that our intention is to give an overview how much the CEEC are aligned with the euro area; unfortunately we would oversize this paper by discussing the consequences of the observed developments for a common monetary policy in detail. We proceed as follows: First, we refer to the so-called Maastricht Criteria because they are a guideline for the decision whether a new member state is prepared to join the euro area and use the Euro as an official currency or not. We report graphs and figures of time series to illustrate developments. The results serve as a good starting point for deeper analyses and suggest some evidence for an alignment process that has taken place over the last years across the CEEC. Second, in order to gain a wider impression of the current state of alignment, we try to approach from another direction: We are making reference to the theory of optimum currency areas which will be briefly discussed. In the light of this approach, we continue with studying the alignment and present other criteria which seem to be appropriate – beside inflation rates, we focus on GDP, private consumption and unemployment – and are able to deliver important clues for our discussion. We provide some descriptive analyses including cross-correlation analyses of the time series we dealt with in this chapter. Unfortunately, there are developments in the time series we cannot explain sufficiently with our analyses done up to this point. For that reason we distinguish the GDP time series into the trend component and the cyclical behaviour for our observed countries as well as for the euro area. This is done by using a HP-filter implemented in Matlab. Afterwards, we are able to compare trend growth rates of the CEEC with the euro area and we can then do a correlation analysis of the cyclical components of the time series. Based on these findings, we briefly give an overview about some important articles dealing with the CEEC alignment and a comparison of the effects of the transmisthe European Union.

Central and Eastern Europe

Central and Eastern Europe
Author: International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2015
Genre: Banks and banking
ISBN: 9781484322130

KEY ISSUES 2014 marked the tenth anniversary of accession to the EU of the first group of Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries. The first NMS Policy Forum was launched in the fall of 2014 as a platform for discussing policy frameworks and issues relevant for non-euro area NMS. It brought together representatives of the six CEE countries that are EU members but are not yet in the euro area - Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Romania (NMS-6), as well as the ECB, the European Commission and the IMF. Discussions focused on four themes: Euro adoption: A once sizeable c.

Meta-Analysis of the Business Cycle Correlation between the Euro Area and the Ceecs

Meta-Analysis of the Business Cycle Correlation between the Euro Area and the Ceecs
Author: Jarko Fidrmuc
Publisher:
Total Pages: 32
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN:

We review the literature on business cycle correlation between the euro area and the Central and Eastern European countries (CEECs), a topic that has gained attention as the newest EU members approach monetary union. Our meta-analysis of 35 identified publications suggests some CEECs already have comparably high correlation with the euro area business cycle. We find that estimation methodologies can have a significant effect on correlation coefficients. While CEEC central bankers tend to be more conservative in their estimates than academics or eurosystem researchers, we find no evidence of a geographical bias in the studies.

EU Accession of Central and Eastern Europe

EU Accession of Central and Eastern Europe
Author: Luca Barbone
Publisher:
Total Pages: 44
Release: 2016
Genre:
ISBN:

The countries of Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) have much to gain from implementing policies that increase investment, support the development of human capital, and promote the legal, regulatory, and policy framework needed for market mechanisms to function. The faster they implement such changes, the faster they will bridge the income gap between them and the countries of the European Union - and the more likely their chances of successful integration.Joining the European Union (EU) is perhaps the key political and economic objective of Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries as they approach the 21st century. But how successful the CEE countries are in achieving this goal depends not only on how well and quickly they adapt their legal and regulatory systems to EU requirements but on how well and quickly they bridge the wide income gaps between CEE and EU countries.Using a model and cross-section data to develop estimates, Barbone and Zalduendo investigate how appropriate structural policies adopted before and after accession to the EU can help CEE countries bridge this income gap.They have much to gain from implementing policies that increase investment, support the development of human capital, and promote the legal, regulatory, and policy framework needed for market mechanisms to function.The faster they implement such changes, the faster they will bridge the income gap between them and the EU countries - and the more likely their accession to the EU will be successful.This paper - a product of Country Department II, Europe and Central Asia - is part of a larger effort in the department to examine issues related to accession to EU by Central and Eastern European countries. Luca Barbone may be contacted at [email protected].

Central and Eastern European Economies

Central and Eastern European Economies
Author: Marcus Goncalves
Publisher: Business Expert Press
Total Pages: 132
Release: 2016-07-25
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1631575538

Nearly seven decades ago, six countries in Western Europe (Belgium, France, West Germany, Italy, Luxembourg, and the Netherlands) decided to take economic cooperation to the next level. The vision of the EU founding states, epitomized by the Schuman Declaration in 1950, was to tie their economies so closely together that war would become impossible. Robert Schuman, author of the plan, believed Europe could not be made all at once, or according to a single plan. It would have to be built through concrete achievements which first create a de facto solidarity. The countries within the “European Community” benefited enormously from free trade and common economic policies, in particular structural funds designed to foster convergence by funding infrastructure and investments in poorer regions. This book examines how similar transitions and integration into the European Union are experienced in individual central and eastern European states through the use of country scans in the regional blocks of CEE, SEE, and CIS.

Central and Eastern Europe

Central and Eastern Europe
Author: International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 40
Release: 2015-04-07
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1475546955

KEY ISSUES 2014 marked the tenth anniversary of accession to the EU of the first group of Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries. The first NMS Policy Forum was launched in the fall of 2014 as a platform for discussing policy frameworks and issues relevant for non-euro area NMS. It brought together representatives of the six CEE countries that are EU members but are not yet in the euro area - Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Romania (NMS-6), as well as the ECB, the European Commission and the IMF. Discussions focused on four themes: Euro adoption: A once sizeable country risk premium associated with joining the euro area has mostly vanished, as the euro crisis has exposed flaws in the euro area’s institutional framework. Further, the crisis has illustrated both risks and benefits from adoption: monetary autonomy has proven helpful for absorbing shocks, while foreign currency mismatches—that can be much reduced with euro adoption—have shown to be a key vulnerability. Flexible labor markets, fiscal and macro-prudential policy space, and income convergence are prerequisites for successful adoption. Opting into the Banking Union (BU) before euro adoption: The lack of equal (or fully equivalent) treatment of the BU members and non-euro area opt-ins—regarding their role in the Single Supervisory Mechanism (SSM), as well as access to common liquidity and fiscal backstops—makes opting into the BU before euro adoption less attractive. Countries that would benefit most from early opt-in are those that see the BU as a way to enhance the quality and credibility of bank supervision or to gain access to larger industry-funded common backstops. The EU’s fiscal framework and pension reform: In the wake of the crisis, many NMS abolished second pillar pension funds. Further reforms to the EU’s fiscal framework are warranted to remove disincentives for setting up and maintaining second pension pillars and, more generally, for structural reforms. Making the most of the EU single market and EU Services Directive: Structural reforms to strengthen human capital, skills match, labor market efficiency, and foreign investment environment will help NMS to reap full benefits from EU integration. Further liberalization of trade in services will likely benefit the NMS-6 more than other EU members.

Emigration and Its Economic Impact on Eastern Europe

Emigration and Its Economic Impact on Eastern Europe
Author: Mr.Ruben V Atoyan
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 48
Release: 2016-07-20
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 1475576366

This paper analyses the impact of large and persistent emigration from Eastern European countries over the past 25 years on these countries’ growth and income convergence to advanced Europe. While emigration has likely benefited migrants themselves, the receiving countries and the EU as a whole, its impact on sending countries’ economies has been largely negative. The analysis suggests that labor outflows, particularly of skilled workers, lowered productivity growth, pushed up wages, and slowed growth and income convergence. At the same time, while remittance inflows supported financial deepening, consumption and investment in some countries, they also reduced incentives to work and led to exchange rate appreciations, eroding competiveness. The departure of the young also added to the fiscal pressures of already aging populations in Eastern Europe. The paper concludes with policy recommendations for sending countries to mitigate the negative impact of emigration on their economies, and the EU-wide initiatives that could support these efforts.

China's Relations with Central and Eastern Europe

China's Relations with Central and Eastern Europe
Author: Weiqing Song
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 238
Release: 2018
Genre: China
ISBN: 9780415786867

As China rises as an economic and an international power, new relationships are being forged with all areas of the world including Central and Eastern Europe. This book explores how this relationship is developing. It considers how China's links with Central and Eastern Europe fit in to China's overall international relations strategies. It looks at economic and trade ties, diplomatic initiatives and the role of the European Union, and examines China's bilateral relations with the different states of the region. These relationships are particularly interesting because before the end of communism in Eastern Europe China had many direct links with the countries of the region.

The Oxford Handbook of Populism

The Oxford Handbook of Populism
Author: Cristóbal Rovira Kaltwasser
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Total Pages: 737
Release: 2017
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 0198803567

The Oxford Handbook of Populism presents the state of the art of research on populism from the perspective of Political Science. The book features work from the leading experts in the field, and synthesizes the main strands of research in four compact sections: concepts, issues, regions, and normative debates. Due to its breath, The Oxford Handbook of Populism is an invaluable resource for those interested in the study of populism, but also forexperts in each of the topics discussed, who will benefit from accounts of current discussions and research gaps, as well as a map of new directions in the study of populism.