House Price Developments And Fundamentals In The United States
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Author | : Ms.Nan Geng |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 24 |
Release | : 2018-07-13 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1484367626 |
House prices in many advanced economies have risen substantially in recent decades. But experience indicates that housing prices can diverge from their long-run equilibrium or sustainable levels, potentially followed by adjustments that impact macroeconomic and financial stability. Therefore there is a need to monitor house prices and assess whether they are sustainable. This paper focuses on fundamentals expected to drive long run trends in house prices, including institutional and structural factors. The scale of potential valuation gaps is gauged on the basis of a cross-country panel analysis of house prices in 20 OECD countries.
Author | : Paul de Vries |
Publisher | : IOS Press |
Total Pages | : 227 |
Release | : 2010 |
Genre | : Political Science |
ISBN | : 1607506653 |
This study discusses ways of measuring and explaining the development of house prices. The goal of the research underpinning this dissertation was to develop a methodological framework for studying these developments. This framework relates, first, to correcting for changes in the composition of dwellings and, second, to the fundamentals of the price development. Using the weighted repeat sales method and sale price appraisal ratio (SPAR) method, house price indexes were developed for the Netherlands. Both the Dutch land registry office and Statistics Netherlands publish the SPAR based house price index monthly. To explain and predict changes in prices, a house price model is presented. As suggested in literature on western housing markets, the Dutch house price developments can be explained by demand-oriented short-run term variables and a long-run term variable.
Author | : P. Arestis |
Publisher | : Springer |
Total Pages | : 283 |
Release | : 2009-11-18 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0230246982 |
Housing finance structures and Institutional and regulatory/fiscal aspects in housing have changed significantly in recent years. This book examines the development in housing markets in Europe and the US, and looks at ways to make housing more affordable and housing market developments more stable.
Author | : Vahram Stepanyan |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 17 |
Release | : 2010-04-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1455200638 |
This paper analyses the recent boom-bust cycle in the housing markets of selected Former Soviet Union (FSU) countries. The analysis is based on a newly constructed database on house prices in the FSU countries. Our estimations suggest that house price developments can largely be explained by the dynamics of fundamentals, such as GDP, remittances, and external financing. Overall, we find that deviations of house prices from their fundamentals have not been pronounced, suggesting that house price bubbles have not been formed in the FSU countries.
Author | : Khalid ElFayoumi |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 97 |
Release | : 2021-05-24 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 151357020X |
Many European economies have faced pressure from rental housing affordability that has widened social and economic divergence. While significant country and regional differences exist, this departmental paper finds that in many advanced European economies a large and rising share of low-income renters, the young, and those living in cities is overburdened. In several locations, middle-income groups also increasingly face rental affordability issues.
Author | : Graham Squires |
Publisher | : Routledge |
Total Pages | : 536 |
Release | : 2017-09-07 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1317428447 |
Real estate development shapes the way people live and work, playing a crucial role in determining our built environment. Around the world, real estate development reflects both universal human needs and region-specific requirements, and with the rise of globalization there is an increasing need to better understand the full complexity of global real estate development. This Companion provides comprehensive coverage of the major contemporary themes and issues in the field of real estate development research. Topics covered include: social and spatial impact markets and economics organization and management finance and investment environment and sustainability design land use policy and governance. A team of international experts across the fields of real estate, planning, geography, economics and architecture reflect the increasingly interdisciplinary nature of real estate studies, providing the book with a depth and breadth of original research. Following on from the success of the textbook International Approaches to Real Estate Development, the Routledge Companion to Real Estate Development provides the up-to-date research needed for a full and sophisticated understanding of the subject. It will be an invaluable resource to students, researchers and professionals wishing to study real estate development on an international scale.
Author | : Thomas Sowell |
Publisher | : Basic Books (AZ) |
Total Pages | : 194 |
Release | : 2009-05-12 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0465018807 |
Explains how we got into the current economic disaster that developed out of the economics and politics of the housing boom and bust. The "creative" financing of home mortgages and "creative" marketing of financial securities based on these mortgages to countries around the world, are part of the story of how a financial house of cards was built up--and then collapsed.
Author | : Mark P. Taylor |
Publisher | : Routledge |
Total Pages | : 341 |
Release | : 2014-01-02 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1317983351 |
The global financial crisis has sent shockwaves through the world’s economies, and its effects have been deep and wide-reaching. This book brings together a range of applied studies, covering a range of international and regional experience in the area of finance in the context of the global downturn. The volume includes an exploration of the impact of the crisis on capital markets, and how corporate stakeholders need to be more aware of the decision-making processes followed by corporate executives, as well as an analysis of the policy changes instituted by the Fed and their effects. Other issues covered include research into the approach of solvent banks to toxic assets, the determinants of US interest rate swap spreads during the crisis, a new approach for estimating Value-at-Risk, how distress and lack of active trading can result in systemic panic attacks, and the dynamic interactions between real house prices, consumption expenditure and output. Highlighting the global reach of the crisis, there is also coverage of recent changes in the cross-currency correlation structure, the costs attached to global banking financial integration, the interrelationships among global stock markets, inter-temporal interactions between stock return differential relative to the US and real exchange rate in the two most recent financial crises, and research into the recent slowdown in workers’ remittances. This book was published as a special issue of Applied Financial Economics.
Author | : Pascal Towbin |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 35 |
Release | : 2015-07-30 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1513596233 |
Between 1996 and 2006 the U.S. has experienced an unprecedented boom in house prices. As it has proven to be difficult to explain the large price increase by observable fundamentals, many observers have emphasized the role of speculation, i.e. expectations about future price developments. The argument is, however, often indirect: speculation is treated as a deviation from a benchmark. The present paper aims to identify house price expectation shocks directly. To that purpose, we estimate a VAR model for the U.S. and use sign restrictions to identify house price expectation, housing supply, housing demand, and mortgage rate shocks. House price expectation shocks are the most important driver of the boom and account for about 30 percent of the real house price increase. We also construct a model-based measure of exogenous changes in price expectations and show that this measure leads a survey-based measure of changes in house price expectations. Our main identification scheme leaves open whether expectation shifts are realistic or unrealistic. In extensions, we provide evidence that price expectation shifts during the boom were primarily unrealistic and were only marginally affected by realistic expectations about future fundamentals.
Author | : David Lorenz |
Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
Total Pages | : 217 |
Release | : 2017-11-08 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1119332591 |
A new framework for understanding the underpinnings of real estate property value and the role it plays in the larger economy Value in a Changing Built Environment examines the professional foundations on which the valuation exercise and the valuation profession rest. Written by noted experts in the field, the book addresses the often limited understanding of the concept of property value by explaining the intrinsic linkages between economic, environmental, social, and cultural measures and components of property value. The book offers a framework that paves the way towards a more holistic approach to property value. Value in a Changing Built Environment unwraps many of the traditional assumptions that have underpinned market participants’ decision making over the last few decades. The authors explore the concept that a blindfold application of valuation theories and approaches adopted from finance is unlikely to be able to cope with the nature of property as an economic and public good. This vital resource: Explains the criteria for making estimates of value that can be applied worldwide Offers an integrated approach to property value and the valuation processes Captures the often illusive intangibles such as environmental performance into valuation Addresses a market failure to account for wider criteria on building performance Value in a Changing Built Environment examines how real estate valuation plays a pivotal role in decision making and how can a new body of knowledge improve the practice in both business and social domains.