Truth Decay

Truth Decay
Author: Kavanagh
Publisher: Rand Corporation
Total Pages: 326
Release: 2018-01-16
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 1977400132

Political and civil discourse in the United States is characterized by “Truth Decay,” defined as increasing disagreement about facts, a blurring of the line between opinion and fact, an increase in the relative volume of opinion compared with fact, and lowered trust in formerly respected sources of factual information. This report explores the causes and wide-ranging consequences of Truth Decay and proposes strategies for further action.

Hard Facts, Dangerous Half-Truths, and Total Nonsense

Hard Facts, Dangerous Half-Truths, and Total Nonsense
Author: Jeffrey Pfeffer
Publisher: Harvard Business Press
Total Pages: 288
Release: 2006-02-14
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1422154580

The best organizations have the best talent. . . Financial incentives drive company performance. . . Firms must change or die. Popular axioms like these drive business decisions every day. Yet too much common management “wisdom” isn’t wise at all—but, instead, flawed knowledge based on “best practices” that are actually poor, incomplete, or outright obsolete. Worse, legions of managers use this dubious knowledge to make decisions that are hazardous to organizational health. Jeffrey Pfeffer and Robert I. Sutton show how companies can bolster performance and trump the competition through evidence-based management, an approach to decision-making and action that is driven by hard facts rather than half-truths or hype. This book guides managers in using this approach to dismantle six widely held—but ultimately flawed—management beliefs in core areas including leadership, strategy, change, talent, financial incentives, and work-life balance. The authors show managers how to find and apply the best practices for their companies, rather than blindly copy what seems to have worked elsewhere. This practical and candid book challenges leaders to commit to evidence-based management as a way of organizational life—and shows how to finally turn this common sense into common practice.

Decision Support Using Nonparametric Statistics

Decision Support Using Nonparametric Statistics
Author: Warren Beatty
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 132
Release: 2018-01-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3319682644

This concise volume covers nonparametric statistics topics that most are most likely to be seen and used from a practical decision support perspective. While many degree programs require a course in parametric statistics, these methods are often inadequate for real-world decision making in business environments. Much of the data collected today by business executives (for example, customer satisfaction opinions) requires nonparametric statistics for valid analysis, and this book provides the reader with a set of tools that can be used to validly analyze all data, regardless of type. Through numerous examples and exercises, this book explains why nonparametric statistics will lead to better decisions and how they are used to reach a decision, with a wide array of business applications. Online resources include exercise data, spreadsheets, and solutions.

Facts and Evidence

Facts and Evidence
Author: Baosheng Zhang
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 321
Release: 2021-01-04
Genre: Law
ISBN: 9811596395

This book presents an in-depth discussion on two concepts from the field of philosophy and law, in order to improve our understanding of the relation between “fact” and “evidence” in judicial process. Since fact-finding is a difficult task for judges, proof by evidence has been devised to help them access the truth. However, in the process of judicial fact-finding, there is always a gap between fact and truth. This book covers a wide range of topics, from reflections on the concept of “fact,” “evidence” and “fact-finding” in the field of philosophy and law to individual case studies. As such it is a useful reference resource on the continuing research on the judicial proof process for students and scholars.

Fast Facts: Medical Statistics

Fast Facts: Medical Statistics
Author: R. Kay
Publisher: Karger Medical and Scientific Publishers
Total Pages: 110
Release: 2020-07-17
Genre: Medical
ISBN: 1912776685

Using real examples from oncology trials, but keeping it simple, this concise resource explains the basic principles of medical statistics so that you can better appraise clinical trial results. Key concepts covered in this book include: • hypothesis testing • Kaplan–Meier curves and other graphic representations of data • calculating the power of a study • the stopping rules for efficacy and futility. ' Fast Facts: Medical Statistics' is aimed at all clinicians, clinical scientists, medical writers and regulatory personnel who need a better understanding of the statistical terms and methods used in the planning of studies and the analysis of clinical trial data. If you have ever wanted to know what a type I error is, how an odds ratio is calculated or what a forest plot is really all about, then this is the book for you. Contents: • Statistical inference • Analysis of time-to-event endpoints • Power and sample size • Multiplicity • Interim analysis • Modeling • Graphical methods

The World Factbook 2003

The World Factbook 2003
Author: United States. Central Intelligence Agency
Publisher: Potomac Books
Total Pages: 712
Release: 2003
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 9781574886412

By intelligence officials for intelligent people

The Matter of Facts

The Matter of Facts
Author: Gareth Leng
Publisher: MIT Press
Total Pages: 377
Release: 2020-03-18
Genre: Science
ISBN: 026235828X

How biases, the desire for a good narrative, reliance on citation metrics, and other problems undermine confidence in modern science. Modern science is built on experimental evidence, yet scientists are often very selective in deciding what evidence to use and tend to disagree about how to interpret it. In The Matter of Facts, Gareth and Rhodri Leng explore how scientists produce and use evidence. They do so to contextualize an array of problems confronting modern science that have raised concerns about its reliability: the widespread use of inappropriate statistical tests, a shortage of replication studies, and a bias in both publishing and citing “positive” results. Before these problems can be addressed meaningfully, the authors argue, we must understand what makes science work and what leads it astray. The myth of science is that scientists constantly challenge their own thinking. But in reality, all scientists are in the business of persuading other scientists of the importance of their own ideas, and they do so by combining reason with rhetoric. Often, they look for evidence that will support their ideas, not for evidence that might contradict them; often, they present evidence in a way that makes it appear to be supportive; and often, they ignore inconvenient evidence. In a series of essays focusing on controversies, disputes, and discoveries, the authors vividly portray science as a human activity, driven by passion as well as by reason. By analyzing the fluidity of scientific concepts and the dynamic and unpredictable development of scientific fields, the authors paint a picture of modern science and the pressures it faces.

Model-Oriented Design of Experiments

Model-Oriented Design of Experiments
Author: Valerii V. Fedorov
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 120
Release: 2012-12-06
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1461207037

Here, the authors explain the basic ideas so as to generate interest in modern problems of experimental design. The topics discussed include designs for inference based on nonlinear models, designs for models with random parameters and stochastic processes, designs for model discrimination and incorrectly specified (contaminated) models, as well as examples of designs in functional spaces. Since the authors avoid technical details, the book assumes only a moderate background in calculus, matrix algebra, and statistics. However, at many places, hints are given as to how readers may enhance and adopt the basic ideas for advanced problems or applications. This allows the book to be used for courses at different levels, as well as serving as a useful reference for graduate students and researchers in statistics and engineering.

A History of the Modern Fact

A History of the Modern Fact
Author: Mary Poovey
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Total Pages: 446
Release: 2009-11-30
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 0226675181

How did the fact become modernity's most favored unit of knowledge? How did description come to seem separable from theory in the precursors of economics and the social sciences? Mary Poovey explores these questions in A History of the Modern Fact, ranging across an astonishing array of texts and ideas from the publication of the first British manual on double-entry bookkeeping in 1588 to the institutionalization of statistics in the 1830s. She shows how the production of systematic knowledge from descriptions of observed particulars influenced government, how numerical representation became the privileged vehicle for generating useful facts, and how belief—whether figured as credit, credibility, or credulity—remained essential to the production of knowledge. Illuminating the epistemological conditions that have made modern social and economic knowledge possible, A History of the Modern Fact provides important contributions to the history of political thought, economics, science, and philosophy, as well as to literary and cultural criticism.

The Half-Life of Facts

The Half-Life of Facts
Author: Samuel Arbesman
Publisher: Penguin
Total Pages: 258
Release: 2013-08-27
Genre: Philosophy
ISBN: 159184651X

New insights from the science of science Facts change all the time. Smoking has gone from doctor recommended to deadly. We used to think the Earth was the center of the universe and that the brontosaurus was a real dinosaur. In short, what we know about the world is constantly changing. Samuel Arbesman shows us how knowledge in most fields evolves systematically and predictably, and how this evolution unfolds in a fascinating way that can have a powerful impact on our lives. He takes us through a wide variety of fields, including those that change quickly, over the course of a few years, or over the span of centuries.