Empirical Studies of the Efficient Market Hypothesis in Foreign Exchange and Financial Futures
Author | : Jerome L. Stein |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 62 |
Release | : 1982 |
Genre | : Efficient market theory |
ISBN | : |
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Author | : Jerome L. Stein |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 62 |
Release | : 1982 |
Genre | : Efficient market theory |
ISBN | : |
Author | : Andrew Ang |
Publisher | : Now Publishers Inc |
Total Pages | : 99 |
Release | : 2011 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1601984685 |
The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) asserts that, at all times, the price of a security reflects all available information about its fundamental value. The implication of the EMH for investors is that, to the extent that speculative trading is costly, speculation must be a loser's game. Hence, under the EMH, a passive strategy is bound eventually to beat a strategy that uses active management, where active management is characterized as trading that seeks to exploit mispriced assets relative to a risk-adjusted benchmark. The EMH has been refined over the past several decades to reflect the realism of the marketplace, including costly information, transactions costs, financing, agency costs, and other real-world frictions. The most recent expressions of the EMH thus allow a role for arbitrageurs in the market who may profit from their comparative advantages. These advantages may include specialized knowledge, lower trading costs, low management fees or agency costs, and a financing structure that allows the arbitrageur to undertake trades with long verification periods. The actions of these arbitrageurs cause liquid securities markets to be generally fairly efficient with respect to information, despite some notable anomalies.
Author | : Richard T. Baillie |
Publisher | : Cambridge University Press |
Total Pages | : 280 |
Release | : 1989 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9780521396905 |
The flotation of exchange rates in the early 1970s saw a significant increase in the importance of foreign exchange markets and in the interest shown in them. Apart from the consequent institutional changes, this period also witnessed a revolution in macroeconomic analysis and finance theory based on the concept of rational expectations. This book provides an integrated approach to recent developments in the understanding of foreign exchange markets. It begins by charting the institutional background and looks at the recent history of movements in some of the major exchange rates. The theoretical sections focus on the economic and finance theory of the asset market approach, the macroeconomic models developed from this approach, and on interest rate parity theory. The empirical chapters draw on the authors' own research from a high quality set of exchange rate and interest rate data. The statistical properties of exchange rates are analysed; the relationship between spot and forward rates is examined; and the modelling and impact of new information on the forward and spot relationship is considered. The final chapter is devoted to the estimation and testing of exchange rate models.
Author | : Wing-Keung Wong |
Publisher | : Mdpi AG |
Total Pages | : 232 |
Release | : 2022-02-17 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 9783036530802 |
The Efficient Market Hypothesis believes that it is impossible for an investor to outperform the market because all available information is already built into stock prices. However, some anomalies could persist in stock markets while some other anomalies could appear, disappear and re-appear again without any warning. A Special Issue on "Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets" will be devoted to advancements in the theoretical development of market efficiency and anomaly in the Stock Market, as well as applications in Stock Market efficiency and anomalies.
Author | : Meredith Beechey |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 30 |
Release | : 2000 |
Genre | : Australia |
ISBN | : |
The efficient market hypothesis states that asset prices in financial markets should reflect all available information; as a consequence, prices should always be consistent with 'fundamentals'. In this paper, we discuss the main ideas behind the efficient market hypothesis, and provide a guide as to which of its predictions seem to be borne out by empirical evidence, and which do not. In examining the empirical evidence, we concentrate on the stock and foreign exchange markets. The efficient market hypothesis is almost certainly the right place to start when thinking about asset price formation. The evidence suggests, however, that it cannot explain some important and worrying features of asset market behaviour. Most importantly for the wider goal of efficient resource allocation, financial market prices appear at times to be subject to substantial misalignments, which can persist for extended periods of time.
Author | : Burton G. Malkiel |
Publisher | : W. W. Norton & Company |
Total Pages | : 454 |
Release | : 2007-12-17 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0393330338 |
Updated with a new chapter that draws on behavioral finance, the field that studies the psychology of investment decisions, the bestselling guide to investing evaluates the full range of financial opportunities.
Author | : Jeffrey A. Frankel |
Publisher | : University of Chicago Press |
Total Pages | : 358 |
Release | : 2009-05-15 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0226260232 |
The foreign exchange market is the largest, fastest-growing financial market in the world. Yet conventional macroeconomic approaches do not explain why people trade foreign exchange. At the same time, they fail to explain the short-run determinants of the exchange rate. These nine innovative essays use a microstructure approach to analyze the workings of the foreign exchange market, with special emphasis on institutional aspects and the actual behavior of market participants. They examine the volume of transactions, heterogeneity of traders, the time of day and location of trading, the bid-ask spread, and the high level of exchange rate volatility that has puzzled many observers. They also consider the structure of the market, including such issues as nontransparency, asymmetric information, liquidity trading, the use of automated brokers, the relationship between spot and derivative markets, and the importance of systemic risk in the market. This timely volume will be essential reading for anyone interested in the economics of international finance.
Author | : Andrei Shleifer |
Publisher | : OUP Oxford |
Total Pages | : 308 |
Release | : 2000-03-09 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0191606898 |
The efficient markets hypothesis has been the central proposition in finance for nearly thirty years. It states that securities prices in financial markets must equal fundamental values, either because all investors are rational or because arbitrage eliminates pricing anomalies. This book describes an alternative approach to the study of financial markets: behavioral finance. This approach starts with an observation that the assumptions of investor rationality and perfect arbitrage are overwhelmingly contradicted by both psychological and institutional evidence. In actual financial markets, less than fully rational investors trade against arbitrageurs whose resources are limited by risk aversion, short horizons, and agency problems. The book presents and empirically evaluates models of such inefficient markets. Behavioral finance models both explain the available financial data better than does the efficient markets hypothesis and generate new empirical predictions. These models can account for such anomalies as the superior performance of value stocks, the closed end fund puzzle, the high returns on stocks included in market indices, the persistence of stock price bubbles, and even the collapse of several well-known hedge funds in 1998. By summarizing and expanding the research in behavioral finance, the book builds a new theoretical and empirical foundation for the economic analysis of real-world markets.
Author | : Hau Harald |
Publisher | : International Monetary Fund |
Total Pages | : 45 |
Release | : 2019-05-07 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 1498303773 |
New regulatory data reveal extensive price discrimination against non-financial clients in the FX derivatives market. The client at the 90th percentile pays an effective spread of 0.5%, while the bottom quarter incur transaction costs of less than 0.02%. Consistent with models of search frictions in over-the-counter markets, dealers charge higher spreads to less sophisticated clients. However, price discrimination is eliminated when clients trade through multi-dealer request-for-quote platforms. We also document that dealers extract rents from captive clients and market opacity, but only for contracts negotiated bilaterally with unsophisticated clients.
Author | : Frederic S. Mishkin |
Publisher | : University of Chicago Press |
Total Pages | : 184 |
Release | : 2007-11-01 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0226531929 |
A Rational Expectations Approach to Macroeconometrics pursues a rational expectations approach to the estimation of a class of models widely discussed in the macroeconomics and finance literature: those which emphasize the effects from unanticipated, rather than anticipated, movements in variables. In this volume, Fredrick S. Mishkin first theoretically develops and discusses a unified econometric treatment of these models and then shows how to estimate them with an annotated computer program.