A Time Series Approach to Option Pricing

A Time Series Approach to Option Pricing
Author: Christophe Chorro
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 202
Release: 2014-12-04
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3662450372

The current world financial scene indicates at an intertwined and interdependent relationship between financial market activity and economic health. This book explains how the economic messages delivered by the dynamic evolution of financial asset returns are strongly related to option prices. The Black Scholes framework is introduced and by underlining its shortcomings, an alternative approach is presented that has emerged over the past ten years of academic research, an approach that is much more grounded on a realistic statistical analysis of data rather than on ad hoc tractable continuous time option pricing models. The reader then learns what it takes to understand and implement these option pricing models based on time series analysis in a self-contained way. The discussion covers modeling choices available to the quantitative analyst, as well as the tools to decide upon a particular model based on the historical datasets of financial returns. The reader is then guided into numerical deduction of option prices from these models and illustrations with real examples are used to reflect the accuracy of the approach using datasets of options on equity indices.

Empirical Performance of Alternative Option Pricing Models

Empirical Performance of Alternative Option Pricing Models
Author: Zhiwu Chen
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2000
Genre:
ISBN:

Substantial progress has been made in extending the Black-Scholes model to incorporate such features as stochastic volatility, stochastic interest rates and jumps.On the empirical front, however, it is not yet known whether and by how much each generalized feature will improve option pricing and hedging performance. This paper fills this gap by first developing an implementable option model in closed form that allows volatility, interest rates and jumps to bestochastic and that is parsimonious in the number of parameters. The model includes many known ones as special cases. Delta-neutral and single-instrument minimum-variance hedging strategies are derived analytically. Using Samp;P 500 options, we examine a set of alternative models from three perspectives: (1) internal consistency of implied parameters/volatility with relevant time-series data, (2)out-of-sample pricing and (3) hedging performance. The models of focus include the benchmark Black-Scholes formula and the ones that respectively allow for (i) stochastic volatility, (ii) both stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rates, and (iii) stochastic volatility and jumps.Overall, incorporating both stochastic volatility and random jumps produces the best pricing performance and the most internally-consistent implied-volatility process. Its implied volatility does not quot;smilequot; across moneyness. But, for hedging, adding either jumps or stochastic interest rates does not seem to improve performance any further once stochastic volatility is taken into account.

Advanced Option Pricing Models

Advanced Option Pricing Models
Author: Jeffrey Owen Katz
Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional
Total Pages: 449
Release: 2005-03-21
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0071454705

Advanced Option Pricing Models details specific conditions under which current option pricing models fail to provide accurate price estimates and then shows option traders how to construct improved models for better pricing in a wider range of market conditions. Model-building steps cover options pricing under conditional or marginal distributions, using polynomial approximations and “curve fitting,” and compensating for mean reversion. The authors also develop effective prototype models that can be put to immediate use, with real-time examples of the models in action.

A Markup Approach to Option Pricing

A Markup Approach to Option Pricing
Author: Dao Xiong Teng
Publisher:
Total Pages: 49
Release: 2010
Genre: Options (Finance)
ISBN:

At the heart of the classical Black-Scholes option pricing model lies the no arbitrage pricing principal with the assumption of a complete market which renders options as redundant assets. It is widely accepted that the market prices of options are generally inconsistent with the pricing model. In the existing literature, most papers have attributed the inconsistencies to the unrealistic assumptions of the classical Black-Scholes model. This paper proposes that even if option prices do follow the Black-Scholes model perfectly, we should not expect the market prices to coincide with prices calculated from the model. We propose two simple alternative approaches to the model on market prices of options, keeping most of the major assumptions under the classical model. We also examine their efficacies in estimating future volatilities and their efficacies in providing a perfect hedge to a long position in various options. Empirical results show some evidence that supports the alternative approaches. Results also show that for certain classifications of options, the alternative models provide a better delta-neutral portfolio.

Empirical Option Pricing Models

Empirical Option Pricing Models
Author: David S. Bates
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2021
Genre: Economics
ISBN:

This paper is an overview of empirical options research, with primary emphasis on research into systematic stochastic volatility and jump risks relevant for pricing stock index options. The paper reviews evidence from time series analysis, option prices and option price evolution regarding those risks, and discusses required compensation.

Empirical Performance of Option Pricing Models with Stochastic Local Volatility

Empirical Performance of Option Pricing Models with Stochastic Local Volatility
Author: Greg Orosi
Publisher:
Total Pages: 16
Release: 2014
Genre:
ISBN:

We examine the empirical performance of several stochastic local volatility models that are the extensions of the Heston stochastic volatility model. Our results indicate that the stochastic volatility model with quadratic local volatility significantly outperforms the stochastic volatility model with CEV type local volatility. Moreover, we compare the performance of these models to several other benchmarks and find that the quadratic local volatility model compares well to the best performing option pricing models reported in the current literature for European-style S&P500 index options. Our results also indicate that the model with quadratic local volatility reproduces the characteristics of the implied volatility surface more accurately than the Heston model. Finally, we demonstrate that capturing the shape of the implied volatility surface is necessary to price binary options accurately.