Electric Load Forecasting Scenario Design
Author | : Stanford University. Energy Modeling Forum |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 28 |
Release | : 1978 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
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Author | : Stanford University. Energy Modeling Forum |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 28 |
Release | : 1978 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Author | : S.A. Soliman |
Publisher | : Elsevier |
Total Pages | : 441 |
Release | : 2010-05-26 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0123815444 |
Succinct and understandable, this book is a step-by-step guide to the mathematics and construction of electrical load forecasting models. Written by one of the world’s foremost experts on the subject, Electrical Load Forecasting provides a brief discussion of algorithms, their advantages and disadvantages and when they are best utilized. The book begins with a good description of the basic theory and models needed to truly understand how the models are prepared so that they are not just blindly plugging and chugging numbers. This is followed by a clear and rigorous exposition of the statistical techniques and algorithms such as regression, neural networks, fuzzy logic, and expert systems. The book is also supported by an online computer program that allows readers to construct, validate, and run short and long term models. Step-by-step guide to model construction Construct, verify, and run short and long term models Accurately evaluate load shape and pricing Creat regional specific electrical load models
Author | : H. Lee Willis |
Publisher | : CRC Press |
Total Pages | : 724 |
Release | : 2002-08-09 |
Genre | : Technology & Engineering |
ISBN | : 0824743504 |
Containing 12 new chapters, this second edition offers increased coverage of weather correction and normalization of forecasts, anticipation of redevelopment, determining the validity of announced developments, and minimizing risk from over- or under-planning. It provides specific examples and detailed explanations of key points to consider for both standard and unusual utility forecasting situations, information on new algorithms and concepts in forecasting, a review of forecasting pitfalls and mistakes, case studies depicting challenging forecast environments, and load models illustrating various types of demand.
Author | : H. Lee Willis |
Publisher | : CRC Press |
Total Pages | : 770 |
Release | : 2002-08-09 |
Genre | : Technology & Engineering |
ISBN | : 9780203910764 |
Containing 12 new chapters, this second edition offers increased coverage of weather correction and normalization of forecasts, anticipation of redevelopment, determining the validity of announced developments, and minimizing risk from over- or under-planning. It provides specific examples and detailed explanations of key points to consider for both standard and unusual utility forecasting situations, information on new algorithms and concepts in forecasting, a review of forecasting pitfalls and mistakes, case studies depicting challenging forecast environments, and load models illustrating various types of demand.
Author | : Stanford University. Energy Modeling Forum |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 444 |
Release | : 1980 |
Genre | : Electric power |
ISBN | : |
Changes in energy markets over the last decade have made capacity planning by electric utilities increasingly difficult, but also increasingly important to producers and users of energy. In particular, long-range forecasts f the use of electricity have received greater scrutiny, forecasting prolems and methods have become more complex, and results have been subject to greater uncertainty and challenge than before. EPRI, in the Energy Modeling Forum, brought together a working group from utilities, research institutes, government agencies, universities and consulting firms to identify the issues that could have significant impacts on future electricity consumption.
Author | : Stanford University. Energy Modeling Forum |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 50 |
Release | : 1978 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Author | : Rafal Weron |
Publisher | : John Wiley & Sons |
Total Pages | : 192 |
Release | : 2007-01-30 |
Genre | : Business & Economics |
ISBN | : 0470059990 |
This book offers an in-depth and up-to-date review of different statistical tools that can be used to analyze and forecast the dynamics of two crucial for every energy company processes—electricity prices and loads. It provides coverage of seasonal decomposition, mean reversion, heavy-tailed distributions, exponential smoothing, spike preprocessing, autoregressive time series including models with exogenous variables and heteroskedastic (GARCH) components, regime-switching models, interval forecasts, jump-diffusion models, derivatives pricing and the market price of risk. Modeling and Forecasting Electricity Loads and Prices is packaged with a CD containing both the data and detailed examples of implementation of different techniques in Matlab, with additional examples in SAS. A reader can retrace all the intermediate steps of a practical implementation of a model and test his understanding of the method and correctness of the computer code using the same input data. The book will be of particular interest to the quants employed by the utilities, independent power generators and marketers, energy trading desks of the hedge funds and financial institutions, and the executives attending courses designed to help them to brush up on their technical skills. The text will be also of use to graduate students in electrical engineering, econometrics and finance wanting to get a grip on advanced statistical tools applied in this hot area. In fact, there are sixteen Case Studies in the book making it a self-contained tutorial to electricity load and price modeling and forecasting.
Author | : Stanford University. Energy Modeling Forum |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 8 |
Release | : 1978 |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : |
Author | : Maria Jacob |
Publisher | : Springer Nature |
Total Pages | : 108 |
Release | : 2019-09-25 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : 303028669X |
The overarching aim of this open access book is to present self-contained theory and algorithms for investigation and prediction of electric demand peaks. A cross-section of popular demand forecasting algorithms from statistics, machine learning and mathematics is presented, followed by extreme value theory techniques with examples. In order to achieve carbon targets, good forecasts of peaks are essential. For instance, shifting demand or charging battery depends on correct demand predictions in time. Majority of forecasting algorithms historically were focused on average load prediction. In order to model the peaks, methods from extreme value theory are applied. This allows us to study extremes without making any assumption on the central parts of demand distribution and to predict beyond the range of available data. While applied on individual loads, the techniques described in this book can be extended naturally to substations, or to commercial settings. Extreme value theory techniques presented can be also used across other disciplines, for example for predicting heavy rainfalls, wind speed, solar radiation and extreme weather events. The book is intended for students, academics, engineers and professionals that are interested in short term load prediction, energy data analytics, battery control, demand side response and data science in general.
Author | : Anestis Antoniadis |
Publisher | : Springer Nature |
Total Pages | : 232 |
Release | : |
Genre | : |
ISBN | : 3031603397 |