Anticipatory Optimization for Dynamic Decision Making

Anticipatory Optimization for Dynamic Decision Making
Author: Stephan Meisel
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 192
Release: 2011-06-23
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 146140505X

The availability of today’s online information systems rapidly increases the relevance of dynamic decision making within a large number of operational contexts. Whenever a sequence of interdependent decisions occurs, making a single decision raises the need for anticipation of its future impact on the entire decision process. Anticipatory support is needed for a broad variety of dynamic and stochastic decision problems from different operational contexts such as finance, energy management, manufacturing and transportation. Example problems include asset allocation, feed-in of electricity produced by wind power as well as scheduling and routing. All these problems entail a sequence of decisions contributing to an overall goal and taking place in the course of a certain period of time. Each of the decisions is derived by solution of an optimization problem. As a consequence a stochastic and dynamic decision problem resolves into a series of optimization problems to be formulated and solved by anticipation of the remaining decision process. However, actually solving a dynamic decision problem by means of approximate dynamic programming still is a major scientific challenge. Most of the work done so far is devoted to problems allowing for formulation of the underlying optimization problems as linear programs. Problem domains like scheduling and routing, where linear programming typically does not produce a significant benefit for problem solving, have not been considered so far. Therefore, the industry demand for dynamic scheduling and routing is still predominantly satisfied by purely heuristic approaches to anticipatory decision making. Although this may work well for certain dynamic decision problems, these approaches lack transferability of findings to other, related problems. This book has serves two major purposes: ‐ It provides a comprehensive and unique view of anticipatory optimization for dynamic decision making. It fully integrates Markov decision processes, dynamic programming, data mining and optimization and introduces a new perspective on approximate dynamic programming. Moreover, the book identifies different degrees of anticipation, enabling an assessment of specific approaches to dynamic decision making. ‐ It shows for the first time how to successfully solve a dynamic vehicle routing problem by approximate dynamic programming. It elaborates on every building block required for this kind of approach to dynamic vehicle routing. Thereby the book has a pioneering character and is intended to provide a footing for the dynamic vehicle routing community.

Dynamic Decision Making in Chess

Dynamic Decision Making in Chess
Author: Boris GELFAND
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2017-08-02
Genre: Chess
ISBN: 9781784830120

In Dynamic Decision Making in Chess former World Championship Challenger Boris Gelfand continues his investigation into decision-making at the top level, discussing some of his best games as well as his worst slips, giving the reader a unique insight into the mind of a world-class grandmaster.

Dynamic Economic Decision Making

Dynamic Economic Decision Making
Author: John E. Silvia
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 400
Release: 2011-08-09
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0470920513

A comprehensive analysis of the macroeconomic and financial forces altering the economic landscape Financial decision-making requires one to anticipate how their decision will not only affect their business, but also the economic environment. Unfortunately, all too often, both private and public sector decision-makers view their decisions as one-off responses and fail to see their decisions within the context of an evolving decision-making framework. In Decision-Making in a Dynamic Economic Setting, John Silvia, Chief Economist of Wells Fargo and one of the top 5 economic forecasters according to Bloomberg News and USA Today, skillfully puts this discipline in perspective. Details realistic, decision-making approaches and applications under a broad set of economic scenarios Analyzes monetary policy and addresses the impact of financial regulations Examines business cycles and how to identify economic trends, how to deal with uncertainty and manage risk, the building blocks of growth, and strategies for innovation Decision-Making in a Dynamic Economic Setting details the real-world application of economic principles and financial strategy in making better business decisions.

Dynamic Perspectives on Managerial Decision Making

Dynamic Perspectives on Managerial Decision Making
Author: Herbert Dawid
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 518
Release: 2016-09-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3319391208

This volume collects research papers addressing topical issues in economics and management with a particular focus on dynamic models which allow to analyze and foster the decision making of firms in dynamic complex environments. The scope of the contributions ranges from daily operational challenges firms face to strategic choices in dynamic industry environments and the analysis of optimal growth paths. The volume also highlights recent methodological developments in the areas of dynamic optimization, dynamic games and meta-heuristics, which help to improve our understanding of (optimal) decision making in a fast evolving economy.

Data-Driven Decision Making and Dynamic Planning

Data-Driven Decision Making and Dynamic Planning
Author: Paul Preuss
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 143
Release: 2013-09-27
Genre: Education
ISBN: 1317924134

This book will help you understand how to integrate data-based decisions into the daily work of the school. It is a practical and relevant handbook for converting data into wise decision-making and planning. It will give you the skills to successfully make data-based decisions, measure student learning and program effectiveness, evaluate student progress, use data to improve instruction, integrate a "Dynamic Planning" process into the daily operation of your school.

The Human in Command

The Human in Command
Author: Carol McCann
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 439
Release: 2012-12-06
Genre: Psychology
ISBN: 1461542294

This book brings together experienced military leaders and researchers in the human sciences to offer current operational experience and scientific thought on the issue of military command, with the intention of raising awareness of the uniquely human aspects of military command. It includes chapters on the personal experiences of senior commanders, new concepts and treatises on command theory, and empirical findings from experimental studies in the field.

Interdisciplinary and International Perspectives on 3D Printing in Education

Interdisciplinary and International Perspectives on 3D Printing in Education
Author: Santos, Ieda M.
Publisher: IGI Global
Total Pages: 369
Release: 2018-11-23
Genre: Education
ISBN: 1522570195

Although 3D printing technologies are still a rarity in many classrooms and other educational settings, their far-reaching applications across a wide range of subjects make them a desirable instructional aid. Effective implementation of these technologies can engage learners through project-based learning and exploration of objects. Interdisciplinary and International Perspectives on 3D Printing in Education is a collection of advanced research that facilitates discussions on interdisciplinary fields and international perspectives, from kindergarten to higher education, to inform the uses of 3D printing in education from diverse and broad perspectives. Covering topics such as computer-aided software, learning theories, and educational policy, this book is ideally designed for educators, practitioners, instructional designers, and researchers.

Forward-Looking Decision Making

Forward-Looking Decision Making
Author: Robert E. Hall
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 152
Release: 2010-02-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1400835267

Individuals and families make key decisions that impact many aspects of financial stability and determine the future of the economy. These decisions involve balancing current sacrifice against future benefits. People have to decide how much to invest in health care, exercise, their diet, and insurance. They must decide how much debt to take on, and how much to save. And they make choices about jobs that determine employment and unemployment levels. Forward-Looking Decision Making is about modeling this individual or family-based decision making using an optimizing dynamic programming model. Robert Hall first reviews ideas about dynamic programs and introduces new ideas about numerical solutions and the representation of solved models as Markov processes. He surveys recent research on the parameters of preferences--the intertemporal elasticity of substitution, the Frisch elasticity of labor supply, and the Frisch cross-elasticity. He then examines dynamic programming models applied to health spending, long-term care insurance, employment, entrepreneurial risk-taking, and consumer debt. Linking theory with data and applying them to real-world problems, Forward-Looking Decision Making uses dynamic optimization programming models to shed light on individual behaviors and their economic implications.

The Routines of Decision Making

The Routines of Decision Making
Author: Tilmann Betsch
Publisher: Psychology Press
Total Pages: 423
Release: 2014-04-04
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1135622949

Experience is currently a hot theme in decision making. For a long time, decision research was almost exclusively focused on new decisions and neglected the importance of experience. It took the field until the 1990s for a new direction in research and theorizing to become visible in the literature. There are parallel movements happening in sociology, political science, social psychology, and business. The purpose of this edited book is to provide a balanced and representative overview of what is currently known about the dynamics of experienced-based decision making. The chapters are written by renowned experts in the field and provide the latest theoretical developments, integrative frameworks, and state-of-the-art reviews of research in the laboratory and in the field.

Scaling Force

Scaling Force
Author: Rory Miller
Publisher: Ymaa Publications
Total Pages: 342
Release: 2012
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 9781594392504

Provides a range of options, from skillfully doing nothing to applying deadly force, designed to prevent violence or, if that is not possible, to defend oneself against it as effectively as possible.