Decision Economics

Decision Economics
Author: Edgardo Bucciarelli
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2019
Genre: Artificial intelligence
ISBN: 9783319996998

The special session on Decision Economics (DECON) is a scientific forum held annually, which is focused on sharing ideas, projects, research results, models, and experiences associated with the complexity of behavioural decision processes and socio-economic phenomena. In 2018, DECON was held at Campus Tecnológico de la Fábrica de Armas, University of Castilla-La Mancha, Toledo, Spain, as part of the 15th International Conference on Distributed Computing and Artificial Intelligence. For the third consecutive year, this book have drawn inspiration from Herbert A. Simon's interdisciplinary legacy and, in particular, is devoted to designs, models, and techniques for boundedly rational decisions, involving several fields of study and expertise. It is worth noting that the recognition of relevant decision-making takes place in a range of critical subject areas and research fields, including economics, finance, information systems, small and international business management, operations, and production. Therefore, decision-making issues are of fundamental importance in all branches of economics addressed with different methodological approaches. As a matter of fact, the study of decision-making has become the focus of intense research efforts, both theoretical and applied, forming a veritable bridge between theory and practice as well as science and business organisations, whose pillars are based on insightful cutting-edge experimental, behavioural, and computational approaches on the one hand, and celebrating the value of science as well as the close relationship between economics and complexity on the other. In this respect, the international scientific community acknowledges Herbert A. Simon's research endeavours to understand the processes involved in economic decision-making and their implications for the advancement of economic professions. Within the field of decision-making, indeed, Simon has become a mainstay of bounded rationality and satisficing. His rejection of the standard (unrealistic) decision-making models adopted by neoclassical economists inspired social scientists worldwide with the purpose to develop research programmes aimed at studying decision-making empirically, experimentally, and computationally. The main achievements concern decision-making for individuals, firms, markets, governments, institutions, and, last but not least, science and research. This book of selected papers tackles these issues that Simon broached in a professional career spanning more than sixty years. The Editors of this book dedicated it to Herb.

Decision Economics. Designs, Models, and Techniques for Boundedly Rational Decisions

Decision Economics. Designs, Models, and Techniques for Boundedly Rational Decisions
Author: Edgardo Bucciarelli
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 179
Release: 2018-12-28
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 3319996983

The special session on Decision Economics (DECON) is a scientific forum held annually, which is focused on sharing ideas, projects, research results, models, and experiences associated with the complexity of behavioural decision processes and socio‐economic phenomena. In 2018, DECON was held at Campus Tecnológico de la Fábrica de Armas, University of Castilla-La Mancha, Toledo, Spain, as part of the 15th International Conference on Distributed Computing and Artificial Intelligence. For the third consecutive year, this book have drawn inspiration from Herbert A. Simon’s interdisciplinary legacy and, in particular, is devoted to designs, models, and techniques for boundedly rational decisions, involving several fields of study and expertise. It is worth noting that the recognition of relevant decision‐making takes place in a range of critical subject areas and research fields, including economics, finance, information systems, small and international business management, operations, and production. Therefore, decision‐making issues are of fundamental importance in all branches of economics addressed with different methodological approaches. As a matter of fact, the study of decision‐making has become the focus of intense research efforts, both theoretical and applied, forming a veritable bridge between theory and practice as well as science and business organisations, whose pillars are based on insightful cutting‐edge experimental, behavioural, and computational approaches on the one hand, and celebrating the value of science as well as the close relationship between economics and complexity on the other. In this respect, the international scientific community acknowledges Herbert A. Simon’s research endeavours to understand the processes involved in economic decision‐making and their implications for the advancement of economic professions. Within the field of decision‐making, indeed, Simon has become a mainstay of bounded rationality and satisficing. His rejection of the standard (unrealistic) decision‐making models adopted by neoclassical economists inspired social scientists worldwide with the purpose to develop research programmes aimed at studying decision‐making empirically, experimentally, and computationally. The main achievements concern decision‐making for individuals, firms, markets, governments, institutions, and, last but not least, science and research. This book of selected papers tackles these issues that Simon broached in a professional career spanning more than sixty years. The Editors of this book dedicated it to Herb.

Models of Bounded Rationality and Mechanism Design

Models of Bounded Rationality and Mechanism Design
Author: Jacob Glazer
Publisher: World Scientific Publishing Company
Total Pages: 153
Release: 2016-08-22
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9813141336

This book brings together the authors' joint papers from over a period of more than twenty years. The collection includes seven papers, each of which presents a novel and rigorous model in Economic Theory. All of the models are within the domain of implementation and mechanism design theories. These theories attempt to explain how incentive schemes and organizations can be designed with the goal of inducing agents to behave according to the designer's (principal's) objectives. Most of the literature assumes that agents are fully rational. In contrast, the authors inject into each model an element which conflicts with the standard notion of full rationality, demonstrating how such elements can dramatically change the mechanism design problem. Although all of the models presented in this volume touch on mechanism design issues, it is the formal modeling of bounded rationality that the authors are most interested in. A model of bounded rationality signifies a model that contains a procedural element of reasoning that is not consistent with full rationality. Rather than looking for a canonical model of bounded rationality, the articles introduce a variety of modeling devices that will capture procedural elements not previously considered, and which alter the analysis of the model. The book is a journey into the modeling of bounded rationality. It is a collection of modeling ideas rather than a general alternative theory of implementation.

Modeling Bounded Rationality

Modeling Bounded Rationality
Author: Ariel Rubinstein
Publisher: MIT Press
Total Pages: 226
Release: 1998
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780262681001

The notion of bounded rationality was initiated in the 1950s by Herbert Simon; only recently has it influenced mainstream economics. In this book, Ariel Rubinstein defines models of bounded rationality as those in which elements of the process of choice are explicitly embedded. The book focuses on the challenges of modeling bounded rationality, rather than on substantial economic implications. In the first part of the book, the author considers the modeling of choice. After discussing some psychological findings, he proceeds to the modeling of procedural rationality, knowledge, memory, the choice of what to know, and group decisions.In the second part, he discusses the fundamental difficulties of modeling bounded rationality in games. He begins with the modeling of a game with procedural rational players and then surveys repeated games with complexity considerations. He ends with a discussion of computability constraints in games. The final chapter includes a critique by Herbert Simon of the author's methodology and the author's response. The Zeuthen Lecture Book series is sponsored by the Institute of Economics at the University of Copenhagen.

Engineering Design at the Edge of Rationality

Engineering Design at the Edge of Rationality
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages: 269
Release: 2007
Genre:
ISBN:

In recent times, the engineering design community has accepted and established that product design is primarily a decision-making process. Decisions are made at different stages of the design process with varying amounts of information. The study of engineering design as a series of decisions is termed as Decision-Based Design (DBD) . The body of research pertaining to DBD, design decision modeling and decision support development is well established and ever-growing in both academia and industry. The fundamental assumption in all developed decision support tools and methodologies is that the decision maker makes rational choices. A rational choice is one where the decision maker selects the option that maximizes the yield on the preferred outcome. Decisions that do not subscribe to this accepted belief are termed as mistakes or irrational choices and discarded. The focus of this dissertation is investigating the assumption that engineers are capable and expected to make rational design decisions. This dissertation approaches the study of rationality in design decision making through two research issues. The first research issue pertains to achieving an understanding of how rationality and mistakes are defined. Since design decisions are made by engineers, the study of rationality in engineering requires some understanding of the human mind. Research in behavioral economics, psychology, and cognitive science involves understanding the human mind. This dissertation leans on the research in these fields and accepts the suggested notion of Bounded Rationality . Bounded rationality refers to the inability of human beings to accurately choose "rational" options as prescribed by decisions support models such as expected utility. Some of the causes of bounded rationality are the inability to process large amounts of information, lack of precise problem definitions, inability to distinguish between alternatives from a large set, developing simple mental heuristics for complex decision problems etc. These factors also apply to engineers making design decisions. The research in this dissertation uses the basis of bounded rationality to model engineering decisions and studies the impact of propagating these decisions within engineering design paradigms. The focus of the second research issue is on leveraging an understanding of rationality and mistakes in engineering design to develop approaches to improve existing design practices. Towards this end, this dissertation presents two approaches. The first approach incorporates decisions that exhibit bounded rationality within a decentralized design paradigm to achieve design solutions that are an improvement over traditionally obtained designs. The second approach seeks to reduce errors resulting from inaccurate information communication between designers through the use of Really Simple Syndication (RSS) feeds within a web- based environment. This allows for accurate, immediate and autonomous communication of latest design information. Through the process of this dissertation, the aspiration is to better understand the design decision making process, to identify the causes for erroneous decisions and to leverage this understanding to improve upon design practices. Decision making in product design is highly interdisciplinary involving large number of people from different educational, cultural and technical backgrounds. It is no surprise then that a dissertation on decision making, such as this one, spans several different research areas.

Models of Bounded Rationality: Empirically grounded economic reason

Models of Bounded Rationality: Empirically grounded economic reason
Author: Herbert Alexander Simon
Publisher: MIT Press
Total Pages: 486
Release: 1997
Genre: Decision making
ISBN: 9780262193726

Offering alternative models based on such concepts as satisficing (acceptance of viable choices that may not be the undiscoverable optimum) and bouded rationality (the limited extent to which rational calculation can direct human behaviour), Simon shows why more empirical research based on experiments and direct observation, rather than just statistical analysis of economic aggregates, is needed.

Bounded Rationality and Public Policy

Bounded Rationality and Public Policy
Author: Alistair Munro
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 330
Release: 2009-06-10
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1402094736

This book is about bounded rationality and public policy. It is written from the p- spective of someone trained in public economics who has encountered the enormous literature on experiments in decision-making and wonders what implications it has for the normative aspects of public policy. Though there are a few new results or models, to a large degree the book is synthetic in tone, bringing together disparate literatures and seeking some accommodation between them. It has had a long genesis. It began with a draft of a few chapters in 2000, but has expanded in scope and size as the literature on behavioural economics has grown. At some point I realised that the geometric growth of behavioural - search and the arithmetic growth of my writing were inconsistent with an am- tion to be exhaustive. As such therefore I have concentrated on particular areas of behavioural economics and bounded rationality. The resulting book is laid out as follows: Chapter 1 provides an overview of the rest of the book, goes through some basic de?nitions and identi?es themes.

Bounded Rationality and Economic Evolution

Bounded Rationality and Economic Evolution
Author: Clement Allan Tisdell
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Total Pages: 360
Release: 1996
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

Combining recent developments in learning and game theory, transaction costs and evolutionary economics, this work provides an integrated overview of implications for economic decision making and management of bounded rationality and its evolutionary consequences.

Bounded Rationality

Bounded Rationality
Author: Gerd Gigerenzer
Publisher: MIT Press
Total Pages: 404
Release: 2002-07-26
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780262571647

In a complex and uncertain world, humans and animals make decisions under the constraints of limited knowledge, resources, and time. Yet models of rational decision making in economics, cognitive science, biology, and other fields largely ignore these real constraints and instead assume agents with perfect information and unlimited time. About forty years ago, Herbert Simon challenged this view with his notion of "bounded rationality." Today, bounded rationality has become a fashionable term used for disparate views of reasoning. This book promotes bounded rationality as the key to understanding how real people make decisions. Using the concept of an "adaptive toolbox," a repertoire of fast and frugal rules for decision making under uncertainty, it attempts to impose more order and coherence on the idea of bounded rationality. The contributors view bounded rationality neither as optimization under constraints nor as the study of people's reasoning fallacies. The strategies in the adaptive toolbox dispense with optimization and, for the most part, with calculations of probabilities and utilities. The book extends the concept of bounded rationality from cognitive tools to emotions; it analyzes social norms, imitation, and other cultural tools as rational strategies; and it shows how smart heuristics can exploit the structure of environments.

Bounded Rationality in Economics and Finance

Bounded Rationality in Economics and Finance
Author: Christian Richter
Publisher: LIT Verlag Münster
Total Pages: 197
Release: 2008
Genre: Capital market
ISBN: 3825816141

The dominant hypothesis in mainstream economics is the assumption of prefect rationality. However, there are two dilemmas: Whenever this assumption was used empirical evidence turned out to be against it. Secondly, this assumption is far from reality, for example, because individuals usually do not possess all relevant information. Therefore, this volume addresses issues of bounded rationality in different areas. The first part investigates bounded rationality in financial markets, the second part investigates the effects of bounded rationality on industrial organizations and the third part deals with bounded rationality in price theory, environmental economics and public management.