Currency Conflicts on the International Scene

Currency Conflicts on the International Scene
Author: John Driffill
Publisher: Emirates Center for Strategic Studies and Research
Total Pages: 13
Release: 2012-07-12
Genre: Antiques & Collectibles
ISBN: 9948145127

There has been discussion of ‘currency wars’ for a number of years. The longest-running recent issue has been the persistent US current account deficit and the matching surpluses elsewhere in the world, particularly China. These ‘global imbalances’ surfaced before 2000, and look set to continue for many years more, with little sign of the US deficit or Chinese surplus closing, despite some movement in the real exchange rate. The issue is wider than this. In 2011 Japan took steps to limit the rise of the yen. There was concerted action by several central banks after the major earthquake in north-east Japan on 11th March 2011, and late in October 2011 Japan took unilateral action to prevent the Yen from rising further. In September 2011, the Swiss Central Bank imposed a ceiling on the value of the Swiss franc and a number of emerging economies whose exchange rates float freely, or relatively freely, and whose capital markets are fairly open, have complained that their currencies have become overvalued because international capital, looking for returns, has flowed into their economies. Brazil has taken steps to limit the rise of the Real. Other South American countries, including Chile and Peru, have been intervening in the last year to prevent what they see as excessive appreciation. Global imbalances and currency wars are the subject of frequent analysis by the International Monetary Fund and they attract a great deal of attention in the financial press. Currency conflicts cover two different phenomena: one is disagreement about the level of a managed or pegged exchange rate, like the Chinese Yuan; another is the inappropriate level to which floating exchange rates are driven by market forces, as in the case of the Brazilian Real, the Japanese Yen, and the Swiss Franc. A different analysis of how exchange rates come about is required for each case. It reflects the fact that the international monetary system comprises a variety of different ways of determining exchange rates and carrying out monetary policy. Some countries float, some peg, and others are in between. The current international monetary system is not really a ‘system’ in the sense that the Gold Standard or the Bretton Woods regime was a system. Instead, it is an ad hoc, patchwork affair. This paper reviews the causes and consequences of these currency conflicts, the way they are likely to develop in the coming years, and some possible solutions.

Currency Conflict and Trade Policy

Currency Conflict and Trade Policy
Author: C. Fred Bergsten
Publisher: Columbia University Press
Total Pages: 392
Release: 2017-06-27
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0881327255

Conflicts over currency valuations are a recurrent feature of the modern global economy. To strengthen their international competitiveness, many countries resort to buying foreign currencies to make their exports cheaper and their imports more expensive. In the first decade of the 21st century, for example, China's currency manipulation practices were so flagrant that they produced a backlash in the United States and other trading partners, prompting threats of retaliation. How damaging is the practice of currency manipulation—and how extensive is the problem? This book by C. Fred Bergsten and Joseph E. Gagnon—two leading experts on trade, investment, and the effects of currency manipulation—traces the history, causes, and effects of currency manipulation and analyzes a range of policy responses that the United States could adopt. The book is an indispensable guide to a complex and serious problem and what might be done to solve it.

Currency Wars

Currency Wars
Author: James Rickards
Publisher: Penguin
Total Pages: 318
Release: 2012-08-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1591845564

In 1971, President Nixon imposed national price controls and took the United States off the gold standard, an extreme measure intended to end an ongoing currency war that had destroyed faith in the U.S. dollar. Today we are engaged in a new currency war, and this time the consequences will be far worse than those that confronted Nixon. Currency wars are one of the most destructive and feared outcomes in international economics. At best, they offer the sorry spectacle of countries' stealing growth from their trading partners. At worst, they degenerate into sequential bouts of inflation, recession, retaliation, and sometimes actual violence. Left unchecked, the next currency war could lead to a crisis worse than the panic of 2008. Currency wars have happened before-twice in the last century alone-and they always end badly. Time and again, paper currencies have collapsed, assets have been frozen, gold has been confiscated, and capital controls have been imposed. And the next crash is overdue. Recent headlines about the debasement of the dollar, bailouts in Greece and Ireland, and Chinese currency manipulation are all indicators of the growing conflict. As James Rickards argues in Currency Wars, this is more than just a concern for economists and investors. The United States is facing serious threats to its national security, from clandestine gold purchases by China to the hidden agendas of sovereign wealth funds. Greater than any single threat is the very real danger of the collapse of the dollar itself. Baffling to many observers is the rank failure of economists to foresee or prevent the economic catastrophes of recent years. Not only have their theories failed to prevent calamity, they are making the currency wars worse. The U. S. Federal Reserve has engaged in the greatest gamble in the history of finance, a sustained effort to stimulate the economy by printing money on a trillion-dollar scale. Its solutions present hidden new dangers while resolving none of the current dilemmas. While the outcome of the new currency war is not yet certain, some version of the worst-case scenario is almost inevitable if U.S. and world economic leaders fail to learn from the mistakes of their predecessors. Rickards untangles the web of failed paradigms, wishful thinking, and arrogance driving current public policy and points the way toward a more informed and effective course of action.

The Death of Money

The Death of Money
Author: James Rickards
Publisher: Penguin
Total Pages: 370
Release: 2014-04-08
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1101637242

The next financial collapse will resemble nothing in history. . . . Deciding upon the best course to follow will require comprehending a minefield of risks, while poised at a crossroads, pondering the death of the dollar. The U.S. dollar has been the global reserve currency since the end of World War II. If the dollar fails, the entire international monetary system will fail with it. But optimists have always said, in essence, that confidence in the dollar will never truly be shaken, no matter how high our national debt or how dysfunctional our government. In the last few years, however, the risks have become too big to ignore. While Washington is gridlocked, our biggest rivals—China, Russia, and the oil-producing nations of the Middle East—are doing everything possible to end U.S. monetary hegemony. The potential results: Financial warfare. Deflation. Hyperinflation. Market collapse. Chaos. James Rickards, the acclaimed author of Currency Wars, shows why money itself is now at risk and what we can all do to protect ourselves. He explains the power of converting unreliable investments into real wealth: gold, land, fine art, and other long-term stores of value.

Foreign Currency Claims in the Conflict of Laws

Foreign Currency Claims in the Conflict of Laws
Author: Vaughan Black
Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing
Total Pages: 262
Release: 2010-04-13
Genre: Law
ISBN: 1847315747

Problems in assessment of damages remain among the most contentious aspects of private law disputes. The assessment exercise becomes particularly difficult when one of the parties asks that damages be assessed in some foreign currency or claims that, even though damages should be assessed in the currency of the forum, foreign exchange losses should form a head of loss. The 1975 decision of the House of Lords in Miliangos v George Frank (Textiles) Ltd was revolutionary in that it permitted English courts to award judgment in a foreign currency. Miliangos has been influential throughout the common law world and courts in the commonwealth and the United States now contemplate awarding damages in currencies other than their own. However, that modernisation has hardly eliminated the problems in this area. When may a judge assess damages in a currency other than that of the forum? If a court elects to assess damages in its own currency, what conversion date should it select in converting from a foreign currency that was relevant to the obligations between the parties? In an age of fluctuating currencies questions of this nature present judges with choices involving significant financial implications. This book takes a comparative look at how common law courts have addressed damages claims when foreign currencies are involved, and at statutory responses to that issue. It describes the practices of UK, Commonwealth and American courts in this field and draws both on principles of private international law and of damages assessment to analyse current practice. This title is included in Bloomsbury Professional's International Arbitration online service.

Global Trends 2040

Global Trends 2040
Author: National Intelligence Council
Publisher: Cosimo Reports
Total Pages: 158
Release: 2021-03
Genre:
ISBN: 9781646794973

"The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.

History of Money

History of Money
Author: Glyn Davies
Publisher: University of Wales Press
Total Pages: 1069
Release: 2010-09-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1783162767

An account of the central importance of money in the ordinary business of the life of different people throughout the ages from ancient times to the present day. It includes the Barings crisis and the report by the Bank of England on Barings Bank; information on the state of Japanese banking; and, the changes in the financial scene in the US.

Gold Wars

Gold Wars
Author: Ferdinand Lips
Publisher: Fame (Foundation for the Advancement of
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2001
Genre: Bimetallism
ISBN: 9780971038004

Gold Wars deals with gold's history, and especially the abandonment of gold-as-money under the modern welfare/warfare state. It shows how governments, fearing the affinity of free people for gold, fight it, thereby helping to destroy countries and the gold-mining industry.

France and the Breakdown of the Bretton Woods International Monetary System

France and the Breakdown of the Bretton Woods International Monetary System
Author: Ms.Dominique Simard
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 58
Release: 1994-10-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451935366

The IMF Working Papers series is designed to make IMF staff research available to a wide audience. Almost 300 Working Papers are released each year, covering a wide range of theoretical and analytical topics, including balance of payments, monetary and fiscal issues, global liquidity, and national and international economic developments.

Currency Internationalization: Global Experiences and Implications for the Renminbi

Currency Internationalization: Global Experiences and Implications for the Renminbi
Author: W. Peng
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 261
Release: 2009-11-30
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0230245781

This is the first book to collect academic studies examining issues related to the potential internationalization of the Renminbi. It considers policy implications, documents the rising regional importance of the Renminbi and discusses key issues in the increasing use of the Renminbi in international trade and finance.