Methods for Decision Making in an Uncertain Environment

Methods for Decision Making in an Uncertain Environment
Author: Jaime Gil Aluja
Publisher: World Scientific
Total Pages: 471
Release: 2012
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9814415774

This book contains a selection of the papers presented at the XVII SIGEF Congress. It presents fuzzy logic, neural networks and other intelligent techniques applied to economic and business problems. This book is very useful for researchers and graduate students aiming to introduce themselves to the field of quantitative techniques for overcoming uncertain environments. The contributors are experienced scholars of different countries who offer real world applications of these mathematical techniques.

Credit Rating Modelling by Neural Networks

Credit Rating Modelling by Neural Networks
Author: Petr Hájek
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2010
Genre: Credit analysis
ISBN: 9781616686796

This book presents the modelling possibilities of neural networks on a complex real-world problem, i.e. credit rating process modelling. Current approaches in credit rating modelling are introduced, as well as the incorporation of previous findings on corporate and municipal credit rating modelling. Based on this analysis, the model is designed to classify US companies and municipalities into credit rating classes. The model includes data pre-processing, the selection process of input variables, and the design of various neural networks' structures for classification.

Rule Extraction from Support Vector Machines

Rule Extraction from Support Vector Machines
Author: Joachim Diederich
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 267
Release: 2007-12-27
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 3540753907

Support vector machines (SVMs) are one of the most active research areas in machine learning. SVMs have shown good performance in a number of applications, including text and image classification. However, the learning capability of SVMs comes at a cost – an inherent inability to explain in a comprehensible form, the process by which a learning result was reached. Hence, the situation is similar to neural networks, where the apparent lack of an explanation capability has led to various approaches aiming at extracting symbolic rules from neural networks. For SVMs to gain a wider degree of acceptance in fields such as medical diagnosis and security sensitive areas, it is desirable to offer an explanation capability. User explanation is often a legal requirement, because it is necessary to explain how a decision was reached or why it was made. This book provides an overview of the field and introduces a number of different approaches to extracting rules from support vector machines developed by key researchers. In addition, successful applications are outlined and future research opportunities are discussed. The book is an important reference for researchers and graduate students, and since it provides an introduction to the topic, it will be important in the classroom as well. Because of the significance of both SVMs and user explanation, the book is of relevance to data mining practitioners and data analysts.

FinTech in Financial Inclusion: Machine Learning Applications in Assessing Credit Risk

FinTech in Financial Inclusion: Machine Learning Applications in Assessing Credit Risk
Author: Majid Bazarbash
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 34
Release: 2019-05-17
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1498314422

Recent advances in digital technology and big data have allowed FinTech (financial technology) lending to emerge as a potentially promising solution to reduce the cost of credit and increase financial inclusion. However, machine learning (ML) methods that lie at the heart of FinTech credit have remained largely a black box for the nontechnical audience. This paper contributes to the literature by discussing potential strengths and weaknesses of ML-based credit assessment through (1) presenting core ideas and the most common techniques in ML for the nontechnical audience; and (2) discussing the fundamental challenges in credit risk analysis. FinTech credit has the potential to enhance financial inclusion and outperform traditional credit scoring by (1) leveraging nontraditional data sources to improve the assessment of the borrower’s track record; (2) appraising collateral value; (3) forecasting income prospects; and (4) predicting changes in general conditions. However, because of the central role of data in ML-based analysis, data relevance should be ensured, especially in situations when a deep structural change occurs, when borrowers could counterfeit certain indicators, and when agency problems arising from information asymmetry could not be resolved. To avoid digital financial exclusion and redlining, variables that trigger discrimination should not be used to assess credit rating.

Managerial Perspectives on Intelligent Big Data Analytics

Managerial Perspectives on Intelligent Big Data Analytics
Author: Sun, Zhaohao
Publisher: IGI Global
Total Pages: 357
Release: 2019-02-22
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 1522572783

Big data, analytics, and artificial intelligence are revolutionizing work, management, and lifestyles and are becoming disruptive technologies for healthcare, e-commerce, and web services. However, many fundamental, technological, and managerial issues for developing and applying intelligent big data analytics in these fields have yet to be addressed. Managerial Perspectives on Intelligent Big Data Analytics is a collection of innovative research that discusses the integration and application of artificial intelligence, business intelligence, digital transformation, and intelligent big data analytics from a perspective of computing, service, and management. While highlighting topics including e-commerce, machine learning, and fuzzy logic, this book is ideally designed for students, government officials, data scientists, managers, consultants, analysts, IT specialists, academicians, researchers, and industry professionals in fields that include big data, artificial intelligence, computing, and commerce.

Credit Intelligence & Modelling

Credit Intelligence & Modelling
Author: Raymond A. Anderson
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Total Pages: 934
Release: 2022
Genre: Credit analysis
ISBN: 0192844199

Credit Intelligence and Modelling provides an indispensable explanation of the statistical models and methods used when assessing credit risk and automating decisions. Over eight modules, the book covers consumer and business lending in both the developed and developing worlds, providing the frameworks for both theory and practice. It first explores an introduction to credit risk assessment and predictive modelling, micro-histories of credit and credit scoring, as well as the processes used throughout the credit risk management cycle. Mathematical and statistical tools used to develop and assess predictive models are then considered, in addition to project management and data assembly, data preparation from sampling to reject inference, and finally model training through to implementation. Although the focus is credit risk, especially in the retail consumer and small-business segments, many concepts are common across disciplines, whether for academic research or practical use. The book assumes little prior knowledge, thus making it an indispensable desktop reference for students and practitioners alike. Credit Intelligence and Modelling expands on the success of The Credit Scoring Toolkit to cover credit rating and intelligence agencies, and the data and tools used as part of the process.

Neural Networks in Finance

Neural Networks in Finance
Author: Paul D. McNelis
Publisher: Academic Press
Total Pages: 262
Release: 2005-01-05
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0124859674

This book explores the intuitive appeal of neural networks and the genetic algorithm in finance. It demonstrates how neural networks used in combination with evolutionary computation outperform classical econometric methods for accuracy in forecasting, classification and dimensionality reduction. McNelis utilizes a variety of examples, from forecasting automobile production and corporate bond spread, to inflation and deflation processes in Hong Kong and Japan, to credit card default in Germany to bank failures in Texas, to cap-floor volatilities in New York and Hong Kong. * Offers a balanced, critical review of the neural network methods and genetic algorithms used in finance * Includes numerous examples and applications * Numerical illustrations use MATLAB code and the book is accompanied by a website

Data Science for Economics and Finance

Data Science for Economics and Finance
Author: Sergio Consoli
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 357
Release: 2021
Genre: Application software
ISBN: 3030668916

This open access book covers the use of data science, including advanced machine learning, big data analytics, Semantic Web technologies, natural language processing, social media analysis, time series analysis, among others, for applications in economics and finance. In addition, it shows some successful applications of advanced data science solutions used to extract new knowledge from data in order to improve economic forecasting models. The book starts with an introduction on the use of data science technologies in economics and finance and is followed by thirteen chapters showing success stories of the application of specific data science methodologies, touching on particular topics related to novel big data sources and technologies for economic analysis (e.g. social media and news); big data models leveraging on supervised/unsupervised (deep) machine learning; natural language processing to build economic and financial indicators; and forecasting and nowcasting of economic variables through time series analysis. This book is relevant to all stakeholders involved in digital and data-intensive research in economics and finance, helping them to understand the main opportunities and challenges, become familiar with the latest methodological findings, and learn how to use and evaluate the performances of novel tools and frameworks. It primarily targets data scientists and business analysts exploiting data science technologies, and it will also be a useful resource to research students in disciplines and courses related to these topics. Overall, readers will learn modern and effective data science solutions to create tangible innovations for economic and financial applications.

Credit Scoring and Its Applications, Second Edition

Credit Scoring and Its Applications, Second Edition
Author: Lyn Thomas
Publisher: SIAM
Total Pages: 380
Release: 2017-08-16
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1611974569

Credit Scoring and Its Applications is recognized as the bible of credit scoring. It contains a comprehensive review of the objectives, methods, and practical implementation of credit and behavioral scoring. The authors review principles of the statistical and operations research methods used in building scorecards, as well as the advantages and disadvantages of each approach. The book contains a description of practical problems encountered in building, using, and monitoring scorecards and examines some of the country-specific issues in bankruptcy, equal opportunities, and privacy legislation. It contains a discussion of economic theories of consumers' use of credit, and readers will gain an understanding of what lending institutions seek to achieve by using credit scoring and the changes in their objectives. New to the second edition are lessons that can be learned for operations research model building from the global financial crisis, current applications of scoring, discussions on the Basel Accords and their requirements for scoring, new methods for scorecard building and new expanded sections on ways of measuring scorecard performance. And survival analysis for credit scoring. Other unique features include methods of monitoring scorecards and deciding when to update them, as well as different applications of scoring, including direct marketing, profit scoring, tax inspection, prisoner release, and payment of fines.

Credit Scoring, Response Modeling, and Insurance Rating

Credit Scoring, Response Modeling, and Insurance Rating
Author: S. Finlay
Publisher: Springer
Total Pages: 315
Release: 2012-06-26
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1137031697

A guide on how Predictive Analytics is applied and widely used by organizations such as banks, insurance providers, supermarkets and governments to drive the decisions they make about their customers, demonstrating who to target with a promotional offer, who to give a credit card to and the premium someone should pay for home insurance.