Covid Transmission Modeling
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Author | : Fred Brauer |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 415 |
Release | : 2008-04-30 |
Genre | : Medical |
ISBN | : 3540789103 |
Based on lecture notes of two summer schools with a mixed audience from mathematical sciences, epidemiology and public health, this volume offers a comprehensive introduction to basic ideas and techniques in modeling infectious diseases, for the comparison of strategies to plan for an anticipated epidemic or pandemic, and to deal with a disease outbreak in real time. It covers detailed case studies for diseases including pandemic influenza, West Nile virus, and childhood diseases. Models for other diseases including Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome, fox rabies, and sexually transmitted infections are included as applications. Its chapters are coherent and complementary independent units. In order to accustom students to look at the current literature and to experience different perspectives, no attempt has been made to achieve united writing style or unified notation. Notes on some mathematical background (calculus, matrix algebra, differential equations, and probability) have been prepared and may be downloaded at the web site of the Centre for Disease Modeling (www.cdm.yorku.ca).
Author | : Matt J. Keeling |
Publisher | : Princeton University Press |
Total Pages | : 385 |
Release | : 2011-09-19 |
Genre | : Science |
ISBN | : 1400841038 |
For epidemiologists, evolutionary biologists, and health-care professionals, real-time and predictive modeling of infectious disease is of growing importance. This book provides a timely and comprehensive introduction to the modeling of infectious diseases in humans and animals, focusing on recent developments as well as more traditional approaches. Matt Keeling and Pejman Rohani move from modeling with simple differential equations to more recent, complex models, where spatial structure, seasonal "forcing," or stochasticity influence the dynamics, and where computer simulation needs to be used to generate theory. In each of the eight chapters, they deal with a specific modeling approach or set of techniques designed to capture a particular biological factor. They illustrate the methodology used with examples from recent research literature on human and infectious disease modeling, showing how such techniques can be used in practice. Diseases considered include BSE, foot-and-mouth, HIV, measles, rubella, smallpox, and West Nile virus, among others. Particular attention is given throughout the book to the development of practical models, useful both as predictive tools and as a means to understand fundamental epidemiological processes. To emphasize this approach, the last chapter is dedicated to modeling and understanding the control of diseases through vaccination, quarantine, or culling. Comprehensive, practical introduction to infectious disease modeling Builds from simple to complex predictive models Models and methodology fully supported by examples drawn from research literature Practical models aid students' understanding of fundamental epidemiological processes For many of the models presented, the authors provide accompanying programs written in Java, C, Fortran, and MATLAB In-depth treatment of role of modeling in understanding disease control
Author | : Adam Kucharski |
Publisher | : Profile Books |
Total Pages | : 302 |
Release | : 2020-02-13 |
Genre | : Medical |
ISBN | : 1782834303 |
An Observer Book of the Year A Times Science Book of the Year A New Statesman Book of the Year A Financial Times Science Book of the Year 'Astonishingly bold' Daily Mail 'It is hard to imagine a more timely book ... much of the modern world will make more sense having read it.' The Times We live in a world that's more interconnected than ever before. Our lives are shaped by outbreaks - of disease, of misinformation, even of violence - that appear, spread and fade away with bewildering speed. To understand them, we need to learn the hidden laws that govern them. From 'superspreaders' who might spark a pandemic or bring down a financial system to the social dynamics that make loneliness catch on, The Rules of Contagion offers compelling insights into human behaviour and explains how we can get better at predicting what happens next. Along the way, Adam Kucharski explores how innovations spread through friendship networks, what links computer viruses with folk stories - and why the most useful predictions aren't necessarily the ones that come true. Now revised and updated with content on Covid-19.
Author | : William E Schiesser |
Publisher | : World Scientific |
Total Pages | : 109 |
Release | : 2020-06-16 |
Genre | : Medical |
ISBN | : 9811222894 |
The book is intended for readers who are interested in learning about the use of computer-based modelling of the COVID-19 disease. It provides a basic introduction to a five-ordinary differential equation (ODE) model by providing a complete statement of the model, including a detailed discussion of the ODEs, initial conditions and parameters, followed by a line-by-line explanation of a set of R routines (R is a quality, scientific programming system readily available from the Internet). The reader can access and execute these routines without having to first study numerical algorithms and computer coding (programming) and can perform numerical experimentation with the model on modest computers.
Author | : S. Prabha |
Publisher | : CRC Press |
Total Pages | : 144 |
Release | : 2021-09-02 |
Genre | : Medical |
ISBN | : 1000439372 |
The aim of this book is to present new computational techniques and methodologies for the analysis of the clinical, epidemiological and public health aspects of SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 pandemic. The book presents the use of soft computing techniques such as machine learning algorithms for analysis of the epidemiological aspects of the SARS-CoV-2. This book clearly explains novel computational image processing algorithms for the detection of COVID-19 lesions in lung CT and X-ray images. It explores various computational methods for computerized analysis of the SARS-CoV-2 infection including severity assessment. The book provides a detailed description of the algorithms which can potentially aid in mass screening of SARS-CoV-2 infected cases. Finally the book also explains the conventional epidemiological models and machine learning techniques for the prediction of the course of the COVID-19 epidemic. It also provides real life examples through case studies. The book is intended for biomedical engineers, mathematicians, postgraduate students; researchers; medical scientists working on identifying and tracking infectious diseases.
Author | : Igor Nesteruk |
Publisher | : Springer Nature |
Total Pages | : 172 |
Release | : 2021-02-10 |
Genre | : Science |
ISBN | : 9813364165 |
This book highlights the estimate of epidemic characteristics for different countries/regions in the world with the use of known SIR (susceptible-infected-removed) model for the dynamics of the epidemic, the known exact solution of the linear differential equations and statistical approach developed before. The COVID-19 pandemic is of great interest to researchers due to its high mortality and a negative impact to the world economy. Correct simulation of the pandemic dynamics needs complicated mathematical models and many efforts for unknown parameters identification. The simple method of detection of the new pandemic wave is proposed and SIR model generalized. The hidden periods, epidemic durations, final numbers of cases, the effective reproduction numbers and probabilities of meeting an infected person are presented for countries like USA, Germany, UK, the Republic of Korea, Italy, Spain, France, the Republic of Moldova, Ukraine, and for the world. The presented information is useful to regulate the quarantine activities and to predict the medical and economic consequences of different/future pandemics.
Author | : M. Elizabeth Halloran |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 390 |
Release | : 2009-10-27 |
Genre | : Medical |
ISBN | : 0387686363 |
As well as being a reference for the design, analysis, and interpretation of vaccine studies, the text covers all design and analysis stages, from vaccine development to post-licensure surveillance, presenting likelihood, frequentists, and Bayesian approaches.
Author | : J. P. LaSalle |
Publisher | : SIAM |
Total Pages | : 81 |
Release | : 1976-01-01 |
Genre | : Difference equations |
ISBN | : 9781611970432 |
An introduction to aspects of the theory of dynamial systems based on extensions of Liapunov's direct method. The main ideas and structure for the theory are presented for difference equations and for the analogous theory for ordinary differential equations and retarded functional differential equations. The latest results on invariance properties for non-autonomous time-varying systems processes are presented for difference and differential equations.
Author | : Simon A. Levin |
Publisher | : Springer Science & Business Media |
Total Pages | : 498 |
Release | : 2012-12-06 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : 3642613179 |
The Second Autumn Course on Mathematical Ecology was held at the Intern ational Centre for Theoretical Physics in Trieste, Italy in November and December of 1986. During the four year period that had elapsed since the First Autumn Course on Mathematical Ecology, sufficient progress had been made in applied mathemat ical ecology to merit tilting the balance maintained between theoretical aspects and applications in the 1982 Course toward applications. The course format, while similar to that of the first Autumn Course on Mathematical Ecology, consequently focused upon applications of mathematical ecology. Current areas of application are almost as diverse as the spectrum covered by ecology. The topiys of this book reflect this diversity and were chosen because of perceived interest and utility to developing countries. Topical lectures began with foundational material mostly derived from Math ematical Ecology: An Introduction (a compilation of the lectures of the 1982 course published by Springer-Verlag in this series, Volume 17) and, when possible, progressed to the frontiers of research. In addition to the course lectures, workshops were arranged for small groups to supplement and enhance the learning experience. Other perspectives were provided through presentations by course participants and speakers at the associated Research Conference. Many of the research papers are in a companion volume, Mathematical Ecology: Proceedings Trieste 1986, published by World Scientific Press in 1988. This book is structured primarily by application area. Part II provides an introduction to mathematical and statistical applications in resource management.
Author | : Fred Brauer |
Publisher | : Springer Nature |
Total Pages | : 628 |
Release | : 2019-10-10 |
Genre | : Mathematics |
ISBN | : 1493998285 |
The book is a comprehensive, self-contained introduction to the mathematical modeling and analysis of disease transmission models. It includes (i) an introduction to the main concepts of compartmental models including models with heterogeneous mixing of individuals and models for vector-transmitted diseases, (ii) a detailed analysis of models for important specific diseases, including tuberculosis, HIV/AIDS, influenza, Ebola virus disease, malaria, dengue fever and the Zika virus, (iii) an introduction to more advanced mathematical topics, including age structure, spatial structure, and mobility, and (iv) some challenges and opportunities for the future. There are exercises of varying degrees of difficulty, and projects leading to new research directions. For the benefit of public health professionals whose contact with mathematics may not be recent, there is an appendix covering the necessary mathematical background. There are indications which sections require a strong mathematical background so that the book can be useful for both mathematical modelers and public health professionals.