Black Swan Antithesis

Black Swan Antithesis
Author: James Peters
Publisher: Black Swan Planet
Total Pages: 308
Release: 2018-10-31
Genre: Fiction
ISBN: 9781718188600

Raka Varoule survived the events of Black Swan Planet to find Earth has changed considerably while he was away. Is Maven Blackheart still alive? Does Marco still wear assless chaps? Find out in Black Swan Antithesis!"Black Swan Antithesis is the hilarious follow-up novel to Black Swan Planet. You'll laugh out loud and love the action!"

The Black Swan

The Black Swan
Author: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Publisher: Random House Digital, Inc.
Total Pages: 388
Release: 2009-10-13
Genre: Forecasting
ISBN: 0812979184

In the author's point of view, a black swan is an improbable event with three principal characteristics - It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the 'impossible'.

The Black Swan

The Black Swan
Author: Eric Lybeck
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 92
Release: 2017-07-05
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1351352989

One of the primary qualities of good creative thinking is an intellectual freedom to think outside of the box. Good creative thinkers resist orthodox ideas, take new lines of enquiry, and generally come at problems from the kinds of angles almost no one else could. And, what is more, when the ideas of creative thinkers are convincing, they can reshape an entire topic, and change the orthodoxy for good. Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s 2007 bestseller The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable is precisely such a book: an entertaining, polemical, creative attack on how people in general, and economic experts in particular view the possibility of catastrophic events. Taleb writes with rare creative verve for someone who is also an expert in mathematics, finance, and epistemology (the philosophy of knowledge), and he martials all his skills to turn standard reasoning inside out. His central point is that far from being unimportant, extremely rare events are frequently the most important ones of all: it is highly improbable, but highly consequential occurrences – what he calls Black Swans – that have shaped history most. As a result, Taleb concludes, improbability is not a reason to act as if a possible event does not matter. Rather, it should inspire the opposite reaction.

The Black Swan

The Black Swan
Author: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Publisher:
Total Pages: 366
Release: 2007
Genre: Chance
ISBN: 9780713999952

Startling, Profound And Universal, The Black Swan Will Change The Way You Look At The World. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Bestselling Author Of Fooled By Randomness, Black Swans Underlie Almost Everything, From The Rise Of Religions, To Events In Our Own Personal Lives. A Black Swan Is A Highly Improbable Event With Three Principle Characteristics: Its Unpredictability; Its Massive Impact; And, After It Has Happened, Our Desire To Make It Appear Less Random And More Predictable Than It Was. The Astonishing Success Of Google Was A Black Swan; So Was 9/11. Why Do We Not Acknowledge The Phenomenon Of Black Swans? Why Are We Unable To Estimate Risk: Falling Vulnerable To The Impulse To Simplify, Narrate And Categorize, Rather Than Opening Ourselves Up To The &Lsquo;Impossible&Rsquo;? For Years, Taleb Has Studied How We Fool Ourselves Into Thinking We Know More Than We Actually Do, Restricting Our Knowledge To The Irrelevant And Inconsequential, So That Large Events Continue To Surprise Us An Shape Our World. We May Even Be Hard-Wired To Learn Specifics When We Should Be Focused On Generalities. Now In This Revelatory Book, He Explains Everything We Know About What We Don&Rsquo;T Know. Taleb Is A Vastly Entertaining Writer, With Wit, Irreverence, And Unusual Stories To Tell. He Has A Polymathic Command Of Subjects Ranging From Cognitive Science To Business To Probability Theory. The Black Swan Is A Landmark Book-It Might Even Be A Black Swan.

Antifragile

Antifragile
Author: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Publisher: Random House Trade Paperbacks
Total Pages: 546
Release: 2014-01-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0812979680

Antifragile is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes. Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the bestselling author of The Black Swan and one of the foremost thinkers of our time, reveals how to thrive in an uncertain world. Just as human bones get stronger when subjected to stress and tension, and rumors or riots intensify when someone tries to repress them, many things in life benefit from stress, disorder, volatility, and turmoil. What Taleb has identified and calls “antifragile” is that category of things that not only gain from chaos but need it in order to survive and flourish. In The Black Swan, Taleb showed us that highly improbable and unpredictable events underlie almost everything about our world. In Antifragile, Taleb stands uncertainty on its head, making it desirable, even necessary, and proposes that things be built in an antifragile manner. The antifragile is beyond the resilient or robust. The resilient resists shocks and stays the same; the antifragile gets better and better. Furthermore, the antifragile is immune to prediction errors and protected from adverse events. Why is the city-state better than the nation-state, why is debt bad for you, and why is what we call “efficient” not efficient at all? Why do government responses and social policies protect the strong and hurt the weak? Why should you write your resignation letter before even starting on the job? How did the sinking of the Titanic save lives? The book spans innovation by trial and error, life decisions, politics, urban planning, war, personal finance, economic systems, and medicine. And throughout, in addition to the street wisdom of Fat Tony of Brooklyn, the voices and recipes of ancient wisdom, from Roman, Greek, Semitic, and medieval sources, are loud and clear. Antifragile is a blueprint for living in a Black Swan world. Erudite, witty, and iconoclastic, Taleb’s message is revolutionary: The antifragile, and only the antifragile, will make it. Praise for Antifragile “Ambitious and thought-provoking . . . highly entertaining.”—The Economist “A bold book explaining how and why we should embrace uncertainty, randomness, and error . . . It may just change our lives.”—Newsweek

Movements of Interweaving

Movements of Interweaving
Author: Gabriele Brandstetter
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 564
Release: 2018-08-06
Genre: Performing Arts
ISBN: 1351128442

Movements of Interweaving is a rich collection of essays exploring the concept of interweaving performance cultures in the realms of movement, dance, and corporeality. Focusing on dance performances as well as on scenarios of cultural movements on a global scale, it not only challenges the concept of intercultural dance performances, but through its innovative approach also calls attention to the specific qualities of "interweaving" as a form of movement itself. Divided into four sections, this volume features an international team of scholars together developing a new critical perspective on the cultural practices of movement, travel and migration in and beyond dance.

Critique on Black Swan and Nicholas Taleb

Critique on Black Swan and Nicholas Taleb
Author: IntroBooks Team
Publisher: IntroBooks
Total Pages: 33
Release:
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN:

Nassim Nicholas Taleb is a Lebanese born American literateur, scholar, essayist, trade-cum-risk analyst, statistician and so on. His multi-faceted talent and the ability to wander freely amongst diverse faculty of subjects have made him a force to reckon with in the gamut of global intellectual society. Most of Taleb's works are related to the dilemma of volatility, probability and uncertainty. Nicholas Taleb was born in Amioun (Lebanon) in the year 1960. He is an author of international fame and has served as an academician in several universities and is currently positioned as a distinguished professor of Risk Engineering at the New York University (Tandon School of Engineering). He has authored so many books to devour. The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, Fooled by Randomness, The Bed of Procrustes, Dynamic Hedging to name a few (combinedly called Incerto) are termed as Taleb’s most outstanding creations in the contemporary literary world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb has had devoted a good 21 years as a risk-taker (quantitative trader) before becoming a wanderer and researcher in spheres of mathematics, philosophy and largely potential problems with chance and probability. Over and above being impressed as a trader, Taleb has also written over 50 academic articles in multiple subjects as a sequel to Incerto. The topics covered are from physics, philosophy, statistics, economics, ethics, quantitative finance and international affairs. The central idea in all these creations has centered on the notion of risk and probability with an undercurrent of randomness.

Surviving and Thriving in Uncertainty

Surviving and Thriving in Uncertainty
Author: Frederick Funston
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 368
Release: 2010-06-03
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0470617489

A new book to help senior executives and boards get smart about risk management The ability of businesses to survive and thrive often requires unconventional thinking and calculated risk taking. The key is to make the right decisions—even under the most risky, uncertain, and turbulent conditions. In the new book, Surviving and Thriving in Uncertainty: Creating the Risk Intelligent Enterprise, authors Rick Funston and Steve Wagner suggest that effective risk taking is needed in order to innovate, stay competitive, and drive value creation. Based on their combined decades of experience as practitioners, consultants, and advisors to numerous business professionals throughout the world, Funston and Wagner discuss the adoption of 10 essential and practical skills, which will improve agility, resilience, and realize benefits: Challenging basic business assumptions can help identify "Black Swans" and provide first-mover advantage Defining the corporate risk appetite and risk tolerances can help reduce the risk of ruin. Anticipating potential causes of failure can improve chances of survival and success through improved preparedness. Factoring in velocity and momentum can improve speed of response and recovery. Verifying sources and the reliability of information can improve insights for decision making and thus decision quality. Taking a longer-term perspective can aid in identifying the potential unintended consequences of short-term decisions.

The Great Mental Models, Volume 1

The Great Mental Models, Volume 1
Author: Shane Parrish
Publisher: Penguin
Total Pages: 209
Release: 2024-10-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0593719972

Discover the essential thinking tools you’ve been missing with The Great Mental Models series by Shane Parrish, New York Times bestselling author and the mind behind the acclaimed Farnam Street blog and “The Knowledge Project” podcast. This first book in the series is your guide to learning the crucial thinking tools nobody ever taught you. Time and time again, great thinkers such as Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett have credited their success to mental models–representations of how something works that can scale onto other fields. Mastering a small number of mental models enables you to rapidly grasp new information, identify patterns others miss, and avoid the common mistakes that hold people back. The Great Mental Models: Volume 1, General Thinking Concepts shows you how making a few tiny changes in the way you think can deliver big results. Drawing on examples from history, business, art, and science, this book details nine of the most versatile, all-purpose mental models you can use right away to improve your decision making and productivity. This book will teach you how to: Avoid blind spots when looking at problems. Find non-obvious solutions. Anticipate and achieve desired outcomes. Play to your strengths, avoid your weaknesses, … and more. The Great Mental Models series demystifies once elusive concepts and illuminates rich knowledge that traditional education overlooks. This series is the most comprehensive and accessible guide on using mental models to better understand our world, solve problems, and gain an advantage.