Asset Pricing Model with Heterogeneous Investment Horizons

Asset Pricing Model with Heterogeneous Investment Horizons
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2004
Genre:
ISBN:

In this paper we study the dynamics of a simple asset pricing model describing the trading activity of heterogeneous agents in a "stylized" market. The economy in the model contains two assets: a bond with risk-less return and a dividend paying stock. The price of the stock is determined through market clearing condition. Traders are speculators described as expected utility maximizers with heterogeneous beliefs about future stock price and with heterogeneous estimation of risk. In particular, we consider traders who base their investment decision on different time horizons and we analyze the effect of these differences on the price dynamics. Under suitable parameterization, the stock no-arbitrage "fundamental" price can emerge as a stable fixed point of the model dynamics. For different parameterizations, however, the market shows cyclical or chaotic price dynamics with speculative bubbles and crashes. We find that the sole heterogeneity of agents with respect to their time horizons is not enough to guarantee the instability of the fundamental price and the emergence of non-trivial price dynamics. However, if different groups of agents are characterized by different trading behaviors, the introduction of heterogeneous investment horizons can help to decrease the stability region of the "fundamental" fixed point. The role of time horizons turns out to be different for different trade behaviors and, in general, depends on the whole ecology of agents' beliefs. We demonstrate this effect discussing a case in which the increase of fundamentalists time horizons can lead to cyclical or chaotic price behavior, while the same increase for the chartists helps to stabilize the fundamental price. -- Asset pricing ; Heterogenous beliefs ; Investment horizons

Pricing Liquidity Risk with Heterogeneous Investment Horizons

Pricing Liquidity Risk with Heterogeneous Investment Horizons
Author: Alessandro Beber
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2011
Genre: Investments
ISBN:

We develop a liquidity-based asset pricing model featuring investors with heterogeneous investment horizons and stochastic transaction costs. In an equilibrium where all investors invest in all assets (integration), we find that the existence of investors with heterogeneous horizons, as opposed to homogeneous horizons, reduces the importance of liquidity risk relative to the standard CAPM market risk and generates a more complex effect of expected liquidity. In an equilibrium where short-term investors do not invest in some more illiquid assets (partial segmentation), our model generates an additional segmentation premium for these assets. We estimate the model for the cross-section of U.S. stocks using GMM and find that our heterogeneous-horizon asset pricing model fares better than a standard liquidity-adjusted CAPM. The segmented version of our model delivers the best cross-sectional fit and generates a substantial effect of expected liquidity on expected returns.

The Investment Horizon and Asset Pricing Models

The Investment Horizon and Asset Pricing Models
Author: Kathleen Walsh
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2015
Genre:
ISBN:

The Life Cycle Hypothesis suggests that the primary motivation for saving is to accumulate resources in order to fund retirement. This suggests that investors have heterogeneous investment horizons, yet many tests of the CAPM assume homogeneous horizons. This paper estimates a time varying heterogeneous investment horizon using over 200 years of demographic data. We test the CAPM and its assumption that the Equity Risk Premium is positive using our estimated investment horizon. We conclude that the CAPM is not violated when tested over a horizon that more accurately reflects investor behavior.

Multi-moment Asset Allocation and Pricing Models

Multi-moment Asset Allocation and Pricing Models
Author: Emmanuel Jurczenko
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 258
Release: 2006-10-02
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0470057998

While mainstream financial theories and applications assume that asset returns are normally distributed and individual preferences are quadratic, the overwhelming empirical evidence shows otherwise. Indeed, most of the asset returns exhibit “fat-tails” distributions and investors exhibit asymmetric preferences. These empirical findings lead to the development of a new area of research dedicated to the introduction of higher order moments in portfolio theory and asset pricing models. Multi-moment asset pricing is a revolutionary new way of modeling time series in finance which allows various degrees of long-term memory to be generated. It allows risk and prices of risk to vary through time enabling the accurate valuation of long-lived assets. This book presents the state-of-the art in multi-moment asset allocation and pricing models and provides many new developments in a single volume, collecting in a unified framework theoretical results and applications previously scattered throughout the financial literature. The topics covered in this comprehensive volume include: four-moment individual risk preferences, mathematics of the multi-moment efficient frontier, coherent asymmetric risks measures, hedge funds asset allocation under higher moments, time-varying specifications of (co)moments and multi-moment asset pricing models with homogeneous and heterogeneous agents. Written by leading academics, Multi-moment Asset Allocation and Pricing Models offers a unique opportunity to explore the latest findings in this new field of research.

A New Model of Capital Asset Prices

A New Model of Capital Asset Prices
Author: James W. Kolari
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 326
Release: 2021-03-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3030651975

This book proposes a new capital asset pricing model dubbed the ZCAPM that outperforms other popular models in empirical tests using US stock returns. The ZCAPM is derived from Fischer Black’s well-known zero-beta CAPM, itself a more general form of the famous capital asset pricing model (CAPM) by 1990 Nobel Laureate William Sharpe and others. It is widely accepted that the CAPM has failed in its theoretical relation between market beta risk and average stock returns, as numerous studies have shown that it does not work in the real world with empirical stock return data. The upshot of the CAPM’s failure is that many new factors have been proposed by researchers. However, the number of factors proposed by authors has steadily increased into the hundreds over the past three decades. This new ZCAPM is a path-breaking asset pricing model that is shown to outperform popular models currently in practice in finance across different test assets and time periods. Since asset pricing is central to the field of finance, it can be broadly employed across many areas, including investment analysis, cost of equity analyses, valuation, corporate decision making, pension portfolio management, etc. The ZCAPM represents a revolution in finance that proves the CAPM as conceived by Sharpe and others is alive and well in a new form, and will certainly be of interest to academics, researchers, students, and professionals of finance, investing, and economics.