Essays on Feeder Cattle Market Dynamics

Essays on Feeder Cattle Market Dynamics
Author: Ajewole Martins Kayode
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2019
Genre:
ISBN:

The United State has experienced a downward trend in cattle and calves marketing over the last decade. The gross income from cattle sales has been in the opposite direction of inventory recorded during this period. With changes in the cattle income over the years, it is expected that the market will be changing over time. This dissertation contains three related essays on feeder cattle market dynamics. The first essay explores spatial arbitrage opportunities in the feeder cattle markets across the United States. The second essay examines the time variation in the feeder cattle spatial market connectedness. The third essay examine the impact of the 2005 energy policy on the feeder cattle markets through a time-varying analysis. The objective of the first essay is to determine the frequency of price differences in spatial feeder cattle markets offer profitable arbitrage? The study further investigates factors determining spatial arbitrage opportunities between pairs of markets. Arbitrage opportunities are at the lowest during the winter in the higher weight categories. The higher the number of cattle head the higher the size of arbitrage opportunities available between spatial markets. This study is the first to use a time-varying transaction cost in the feeder cattle market spatial analysis. The arbitrage information here will serve as a guideline for potential investors in the feeder cattle market. The major study limitation is that livestock is not a truly homogenous product, and there are always at least minor differences in animal prices within a market. The second essay examines the degree of connectedness of the feeder cattle markets in the United States over time. Spillover index measure are applied to capture the impact of price shocks within selected feeder cattle markets on market connectedness. The essay further evaluates the influence of spatiotemporal factors that may impact the degree of market connectedness over the same period, and the impact of drought on periodic price transmission between markets. This is the first study to apply a time-varying approach to study feeder cattle market linkages at the auction level and factors influencing the variation in market connectedness. Seven major auction markets across five states are selected, three markets within the state of Kansas and four markets outside Kansas. There is variation in the level of market connectedness over the study period. Long term drought severity accounts for some of the dynamics in the feeder cattle market. The third essay examines the time path and magnitude of volatility translation across major agricultural commodities and energy markets and compares the causal relationships between pre-ethanol boom and post-ethanol boom periods. Results reveal strong evidence for time variation in the implied volatility spillover between the feeder cattle market and the energy market. Despite a high correlation between crude oil and feeder cattle volatilities in the post-ethanol boom period, the linkage between the two commodities' volatilities is only for a short term.

The Economic Analysis of Corn Grain Optimization and Price Variation for Cattle on Feed in Texas

The Economic Analysis of Corn Grain Optimization and Price Variation for Cattle on Feed in Texas
Author: Braelyn Moltz
Publisher:
Total Pages: 122
Release: 2019
Genre: Agricultural prices
ISBN:

Cattle placed on feed is a practice to maximize the amount of meat produced before being sent to slaughter, which has become a major agricultural industry. These facilities rely on different feed inputs to build the most cost-effective rations possible to increase the average daily gain of the cattle, which can significantly impact the profit. The three primary sources of profit risk when placing cattle on feed are: fed cattle prices, feeder cattle prices, and corn prices. The optimization of input quantities, especially corn, is crucial to maximize production efficiency and ultimately profit. The objective of this research is to determine the optimal corn grain production rate for cattle on feed in Texas and estimated profit maximization under various price ratios for corn grain and live cattle. Utilizing data from various USDA sources, various different input production levels and prices were collected. SAS, PROC CORR, PROC GLM and PROC REG procedures were used to identify the relationships among variables and stepwise regression models were used to estimate the different production functions, which include the quadratic, cubic, Cobb-Douglas, and square root forms. Sensitivity analysis were performed for the optimal production of corn grain rate, and consequent profit under various combinations of corn and live cattle prices for the four different functions. Additionally, a continuous form curve for optimal corn grain production rates under various price ratios was developed. Results indicated that the cubic model was the most accurate based upon the R2 value. However, the continuous form model created for the sensitivity analysis concluded that the quadratic was the most accurate model under the different price ratios. The results of the study can be a useful tool for the decision making process for producers and policy-makers.

Agricultural Marketing and Price Analysis

Agricultural Marketing and Price Analysis
Author: F. Bailey Norwood
Publisher: Waveland Press
Total Pages: 445
Release: 2021-12-20
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 1478648678

Friendly and readable, Agricultural Marketing and Price Analysis presents a comprehensive approach to agricultural price analysis, agricultural market structures, and agricultural marketing strategies. The authors engage students with very little exposure to economics and with only a basic grasp of algebra. The text utilizes a fresh approach and supplies thorough coverage of core topics, as well as complex topics such as general equilibrium models, game theory, and econometrics. It also provides an introduction to data analysis and incorporates many examples. Supplemental materials are available for additional practice and further exploration. Unique to the Second Edition is the inclusion of a chapter on consumer behavior and food preferences, as well as relevant areas of research. The authors introduce readers to the agricultural supply chain, including forecasting and inventory management. Succinct and approachable, this text sets the stage for an enjoyable and effective learning experience.