An Educated Guess
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| Author | : Tom Tatum |
| Publisher | : AuthorHouse |
| Total Pages | : 304 |
| Release | : 2012-11 |
| Genre | : Fiction |
| ISBN | : 1477217126 |
When teenager Bobby Blume arrives home late one night to discover his parents' blood-splattered bodies, police brand the midsummer tragedy a murder-suicide. But despite the couple's long history of domestic abuse, one police detective isn't convinced, suspecting the boy himself may be the real killer. Unanswered questions about the double slayings linger into the fall when the enigmatic young teen transfers to Halcyon High School where he's immediately targeted by a gang of relentless bullies. Not long after, the school is shaken to its core when a posting on the internet threatens Halcyon with a Columbine-style bloodbath and the bullied Blume becomes a prime suspect. But Bobby is also a gifted athlete, finding solace in long distance running and an unlikely ally in high school teacher Mitchell Grey, a thirteen year veteran of the classroom trenches. Grey, long frustrated by the school's inept administrative bureaucracy, the onslaught of immigrant students, overcrowded classrooms, endless standardized testing, an escalating floodtide of learning disabled students, and the crippling effects of an overbearing ADHD industry, is himself a conflicted man in the midst of his own career and personal crises. Threats of violence and bloodshed still hang in the air at Homecoming and a climactic cross-country meet. If the hapless Bobby can somehow outrace the storied Cruiser Kasewort, the state's premiere distance runner, he could win a college scholarship and, perhaps, the heart of fickle dream girl Becky Matthews. In the end it's left to Grey, with help from wisecracking math teacher Stan Cassidy, jovial track Coach Tyrone Tonny, and starry-eyed young guidance counselor Katy O'Conner, to uncover the truth about the troubled teen and, in an action-packed finale, come to terms with the broken pieces of his own life in An Educated Guess.
| Author | : Sanjoy Mahajan |
| Publisher | : MIT Press |
| Total Pages | : 152 |
| Release | : 2010-03-05 |
| Genre | : Education |
| ISBN | : 0262265591 |
An antidote to mathematical rigor mortis, teaching how to guess answers without needing a proof or an exact calculation. In problem solving, as in street fighting, rules are for fools: do whatever works—don't just stand there! Yet we often fear an unjustified leap even though it may land us on a correct result. Traditional mathematics teaching is largely about solving exactly stated problems exactly, yet life often hands us partly defined problems needing only moderately accurate solutions. This engaging book is an antidote to the rigor mortis brought on by too much mathematical rigor, teaching us how to guess answers without needing a proof or an exact calculation. In Street-Fighting Mathematics, Sanjoy Mahajan builds, sharpens, and demonstrates tools for educated guessing and down-and-dirty, opportunistic problem solving across diverse fields of knowledge—from mathematics to management. Mahajan describes six tools: dimensional analysis, easy cases, lumping, picture proofs, successive approximation, and reasoning by analogy. Illustrating each tool with numerous examples, he carefully separates the tool—the general principle—from the particular application so that the reader can most easily grasp the tool itself to use on problems of particular interest. Street-Fighting Mathematics grew out of a short course taught by the author at MIT for students ranging from first-year undergraduates to graduate students ready for careers in physics, mathematics, management, electrical engineering, computer science, and biology. They benefited from an approach that avoided rigor and taught them how to use mathematics to solve real problems. Street-Fighting Mathematics will appear in print and online under a Creative Commons Noncommercial Share Alike license.
| Author | : Louise B. Russell |
| Publisher | : Univ of California Press |
| Total Pages | : 148 |
| Release | : 1994-02-11 |
| Genre | : Business & Economics |
| ISBN | : 9780520083660 |
Standard recommendations such as annual Pap smears for women and prostate tests for men over forty are in fact simply rules of thumb that ignore the complexities of individual cases and the tradeoffs between escalating costs and early detection, Russell argues. By looking beyond these recommendations to examine conflicting evidence about the effectiveness of screening tests, Russell demonstrates that medical experts' recommendations are often far simpler and more solid-looking than the evidence behind them. It is not at all clear, for example, that annual Pap smears are effective enough in reducing deaths from cervical cancer to justify the enormous additional costs involved in testing all women every year rather than every three years. Nor is there solid evidence for the value of prostate cancer screening, despite recommendations that all men over forty be tested annually.
| Author | : David Macaulay |
| Publisher | : Houghton Mifflin Harcourt |
| Total Pages | : 97 |
| Release | : 1979-10-11 |
| Genre | : Young Adult Fiction |
| ISBN | : 0547770723 |
It is the year 4022; all of the ancient country of Usa has been buried under many feet of detritus from a catastrophe that occurred back in 1985. Imagine, then, the excitement that Howard Carson, an amateur archeologist at best, experienced when in crossing the perimeter of an abandoned excavation site he felt the ground give way beneath him and found himself at the bottom of a shaft, which, judging from the DO NOT DISTURB sign hanging from an archaic doorknob, was clearly the entrance to a still-sealed burial chamber. Carson's incredible discoveries, including the remains of two bodies, one of then on a ceremonial bed facing an altar that appeared to be a means of communicating with the Gods and the other lying in a porcelain sarcophagus in the Inner Chamber, permitted him to piece together the whole fabric of that extraordinary civilization.
| Author | : Ani DiFranco |
| Publisher | : Penguin |
| Total Pages | : 322 |
| Release | : 2019-05-07 |
| Genre | : Biography & Autobiography |
| ISBN | : 0735225184 |
A NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER "A memoir as fierce, freewheeling, and passionate as her music." --O, the Oprah magazine A memoir by the celebrated singer-songwriter and social activist Ani DiFranco In her new memoir, No Walls and the Recurring Dream, Ani DiFranco recounts her early life from a place of hard-won wisdom, combining personal expression, the power of music, feminism, political activism, storytelling, philanthropy, entrepreneurship, and much more into an inspiring whole. In these frank, honest, passionate, and often funny pages is the tale of one woman's eventful and radical journey to the age of thirty. Ani's coming of age story is defined by her ethos of fierce independence--from being an emancipated minor sleeping in a Buffalo bus station, to unwaveringly building a career through appearances at small clubs and festivals, to releasing her first album at the age of 18, to consciously rejecting the mainstream recording industry and creating her own label, Righteous Babe Records. In these pages, as in life, she never hesitates to question established rules and expectations, maintaining a level of artistic integrity that has inspired and challenged more than a few. Ani continues to be a major touring and recording artist as well as a celebrated activist and feminist, standing as living proof that you can overcome all personal and societal obstacles to be who you are and to follow your dreams.
| Author | : Tara Westover |
| Publisher | : Random House |
| Total Pages | : 352 |
| Release | : 2018-02-20 |
| Genre | : Biography & Autobiography |
| ISBN | : 039959051X |
#1 NEW YORK TIMES, WALL STREET JOURNAL, AND BOSTON GLOBE BESTSELLER • One of the most acclaimed books of our time: an unforgettable memoir about a young woman who, kept out of school, leaves her survivalist family and goes on to earn a PhD from Cambridge University “Extraordinary . . . an act of courage and self-invention.”—The New York Times NAMED ONE OF THE TEN BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE NEW YORK TIMES BOOK REVIEW • ONE OF PRESIDENT BARACK OBAMA’S FAVORITE BOOKS OF THE YEAR • BILL GATES’S HOLIDAY READING LIST • FINALIST: National Book Critics Circle’s Award In Autobiography and John Leonard Prize For Best First Book • PEN/Jean Stein Book Award • Los Angeles Times Book Prize Born to survivalists in the mountains of Idaho, Tara Westover was seventeen the first time she set foot in a classroom. Her family was so isolated from mainstream society that there was no one to ensure the children received an education, and no one to intervene when one of Tara’s older brothers became violent. When another brother got himself into college, Tara decided to try a new kind of life. Her quest for knowledge transformed her, taking her over oceans and across continents, to Harvard and to Cambridge University. Only then would she wonder if she’d traveled too far, if there was still a way home. “Beautiful and propulsive . . . Despite the singularity of [Westover’s] childhood, the questions her book poses are universal: How much of ourselves should we give to those we love? And how much must we betray them to grow up?”—Vogue NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY The Washington Post • O: The Oprah Magazine • Time • NPR • Good Morning America • San Francisco Chronicle • The Guardian • The Economist • Financial Times • Newsday • New York Post • theSkimm • Refinery29 • Bloomberg • Self • Real Simple • Town & Country • Bustle • Paste • Publishers Weekly • Library Journal • LibraryReads • Book Riot • Pamela Paul, KQED • New York Public Library
| Author | : Barbara Illowsky |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 2106 |
| Release | : 2023-12-13 |
| Genre | : Mathematics |
| ISBN | : |
Introductory Statistics 2e provides an engaging, practical, and thorough overview of the core concepts and skills taught in most one-semester statistics courses. The text focuses on diverse applications from a variety of fields and societal contexts, including business, healthcare, sciences, sociology, political science, computing, and several others. The material supports students with conceptual narratives, detailed step-by-step examples, and a wealth of illustrations, as well as collaborative exercises, technology integration problems, and statistics labs. The text assumes some knowledge of intermediate algebra, and includes thousands of problems and exercises that offer instructors and students ample opportunity to explore and reinforce useful statistical skills. This is an adaptation of Introductory Statistics 2e by OpenStax. You can access the textbook as pdf for free at openstax.org. Minor editorial changes were made to ensure a better ebook reading experience. Textbook content produced by OpenStax is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
| Author | : Richard Pettigrew |
| Publisher | : Oxford University Press |
| Total Pages | : 251 |
| Release | : 2016 |
| Genre | : Mathematics |
| ISBN | : 0198732716 |
Richard Pettigrew offers an extended investigation into a particular way of justifying the rational principles that govern our credences (or degrees of belief). The main principles that he justifies are the central tenets of Bayesian epistemology, though many other related principles are discussed along the way. These are: Probabilism, the claims that credences should obey the laws of probability; the Principal Principle, which says how credences in hypotheses about the objective chances should relate to credences in other propositions; the Principle of Indifference, which says that, in the absence of evidence, we should distribute our credences equally over all possibilities we entertain; and Conditionalization, the Bayesian account of how we should plan to respond when we receive new evidence. Ultimately, then, this book is a study in the foundations of Bayesianism. To justify these principles, Pettigrew looks to decision theory. He treats an agent's credences as if they were a choice she makes between different options, gives an account of the purely epistemic utility enjoyed by different sets of credences, and then appeals to the principles of decision theory to show that, when epistemic utility is measured in this way, the credences that violate the principles listed above are ruled out as irrational. The account of epistemic utility set out here is the veritist's: the sole fundamental source of epistemic utility for credences is their accuracy. Thus, Pettigrew conducts an investigation in the version of epistemic utility theory known as accuracy-first epistemology. The book can also be read as an extended reply on behalf of the veritist to the evidentialist's objection that veritism cannot account for certain evidential principles of credal rationality, such as the Principal Principle, the Principle of Indifference, and Conditionalization.
| Author | : Robert Lipscomb Duncan |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 306 |
| Release | : 1989 |
| Genre | : Fiction |
| ISBN | : 9780312034245 |
Las Vegas. Three bodies have been found, clearly the victims of a serial killer. The police are baffled and there are no clues to the identity of this dangerous psychopath with messianic delusions.
| Author | : James L. Harris |
| Publisher | : Jones & Bartlett Learning |
| Total Pages | : 412 |
| Release | : 2016-12-14 |
| Genre | : Medical |
| ISBN | : 1284140946 |
Initiating and Sustaining the Clinical Nurse Leader Role, Third Edition illustrates the influence of clinical nurse leaders on care coordination, health promotion, and high-performance inter-professional care teams. The Third Edition will move beyond the 2007 American Association of Colleges of Nursing CNL White Paper and incorporate the CNL Competencies introduced in October 2013. This text presents a bold agenda for CNL practice, one that promotes value in the transformation of clinical care redesign. The Third Edition will cover the following: • Moving beyond the triple aim toward the quadruple aim • Increased emphasis on a new healthcare environment where CNLs practice • The clinical value compass for improving care • Care transitions and the CNL • Health policy engagement and advocacy • Population health and management • Inter-professional collaboration • Resource mindfulness • Project management tools, scope, design, and evaluation • Incorporating the 5Ps and models for improvement • Exemplars of CNL impacts across care settings • CNL certification, professional membership, and residency programs value • Vision for CNLs in 2020
