An Analysis of CBO's Outlay Estimates for Appropriation Bills, Fiscal Years 1993-1997

An Analysis of CBO's Outlay Estimates for Appropriation Bills, Fiscal Years 1993-1997
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 1998
Genre:
ISBN:

At the direction of the House Committee on Appropriations, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has compiled its outlay estimates for the appropriation bills covering fiscal years 1993 through 1997 and compared them, account by account, with actual outlays in those years. This memorandum presents the results of that analysis. In aggregate over the five-year period, CBO's estimates of outlays for appropriation bills have been almost identical to the actual totals-coming within 0.1 percent of discretionary outlays during that period. The yearly estimates have been off, in one direction or the other, by an average of less than 0.4 percent. Although the sources of errors vary from year to year, some overall patterns are apparent. In particular, CBO's estimates of defense spending tended to be too low, but its projections of nondefense outlays were too high in each of the five years. Estimates for individual accounts were less accurate than the totals, and the small aggregate error each year was the result of deviations in both directions for hundreds of accounts. The median absolute error, which disregards whether the error was positive or negative, was about 6 percent for individual accounts of $50 million or more.

A Glossary of Terms Used in the Federal Budget Process

A Glossary of Terms Used in the Federal Budget Process
Author:
Publisher: DIANE Publishing
Total Pages: 145
Release: 1993-12
Genre: Budget
ISBN: 0788101013

A basic reference document for persons interested in the federal budget-making process. Emphasizes budget terms in addition to relevant economic and accounting terms to help the user appreciate the dynamics of the budget process. Also distinguishes between any differences in budgetary and non-budgetary meanings of terms. Over 300 terms defined. Index. Appendices: overview of the federal budget process, budget functional classification, and more.