Aging, Savings, and Pensions in the Group of Seven Countries

Aging, Savings, and Pensions in the Group of Seven Countries
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 42
Release: 1989-01-01
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 1451924658

In the next 30-40 years, past changes in fertility and mortality will lead to a significant increase in the share of the elderly. This study suggests that these demographic trends may lead to a decline in the G-7 private savings rate after 2000, compounding the impact of social expenditure pressures on the government’s deficit. Moreover, public pensions may decline as a share of the consumption needs of the elderly, leading to financial pressures to reduce their consumption. The reduced burden of child support on the working population will not offset the increased burden of societal support for the elderly.

Implications for Savings of Aging in the Asian “Tigers”

Implications for Savings of Aging in the Asian “Tigers”
Author: Mr.Peter S. Heller
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 43
Release: 1997-10-01
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 145185577X

Significant aging is projected for many high-saving emerging economies of East and Southeast Asia. By 2025, the share of the elderly in their populations will at least double in most of these countries. The share of the young will fall. Aging populations could adversely affect saving rates in these economies, particularly after 2025. For the world, one may observe that, initially, the Asian Tigers could become increasingly important for world savings, reflecting their increased weight in the world economy, their high saving and growth rates, and the aging of the industrial countries. After 2025, the aging of the Tigers may reinforce the tendency toward a declining world saving rate.

Macroeconomic Effects of Prelected Population Aging in Industrial Countries

Macroeconomic Effects of Prelected Population Aging in Industrial Countries
Author: Mr.Paul R. Masson
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 32
Release: 1990-01-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451929552

The effects of population aging are examined with the aid of a theoretical model and simulations of MULTIMOD. An older population will consume more of aggregate disposable income, require higher government expenditure, and decrease labor supply. These effects should raise real interest rates and lower the capital stock and output. Effects on current balances will depend on the relative speed and extent of aging. Simulations of projected demographic changes suggest that by 2025, real interest rates would be increased by several percentage points and net foreign assets increased in the United States, and decreased in Japan and Germany, as a result.

A Quest for a More Stable World Economic System

A Quest for a More Stable World Economic System
Author: C. Moriguchi
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 406
Release: 2013-03-09
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9401581851

In the autumn of 1990 there was a sense of change taking place in the world economy. Readiness for war was occurrin~ in the Middle East and a recession was already underway in a few major countries. The forces of reform and political re-shaping were visible in Eastern Europe and the Soviet Union. We economists, gathering in Osaka, Japan, under the auspices of the International Institute for Advanced Studies (Kyoto) could recognize that the Cold War was over and that politico-economic restructuring would take place among the powers in the Warsaw Treaty Organization. Much has happened since the latter part of 1990 to affect international economic stability. The events of that period were both positive and negative for economic stability, but our concern was weighted towards the negative side. Dur charge and sponsorship was scholarly, and the papers from the learned contributors to the symposium and this resulting volume used the many tools of economic analysis to try to understand the ongoing developments. In the intervening period, while this volume was being prepared and edited, we did not cnange our viewpoints in any fundamental way, and we can take satisfaction in the way our symposium either relates to the unfolding sequence of events in a substantive sense or provides a framework in which to study these events.

The Role of National Saving in the World Economy

The Role of National Saving in the World Economy
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 78
Release: 1990-03-19
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781557751348

This paper reviews and analyzes broad developments and considers specific policy measures to foster saving. The chapter also describes trends in national saving rates of industrial countries in recent years and briefly discusses the prospects over the medium term. The paper also discusses the effects of policy measures on national saving and investment. Fiscal, monetary, and exchange rate policies are all shown to have major implications for saving in developing countries. Fiscal restraint is especially important, since it increases national saving by both raising public saving and reducing the country's dependence on foreign borrowing. Exchange rate devaluation and the unification of exchange markets also appear to be effective in stimulating national saving. Interest rates and financial reforms play a crucial role in effecting an efficient allocation of resources, including the mobilization of savings to finance domestic investment.

Pension Policies and Public Debt in Dynamic CGE Models

Pension Policies and Public Debt in Dynamic CGE Models
Author: Dirk Broer
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 198
Release: 2013-11-11
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3662016605

Population aging raises a number of issues regarding the optimality of public debt policy and the systems of public pension provisions that are in use in developed countries. The studies in this book address these questions using computable general equilibrium models. They give illuminating insights and new empirical estimates of future prospects of pay-as-you-go pension schemes in the "big seven" OECD countries, the possible distortions introduced by the pension systems in four large European economies, the effects of lifetime uncertainty in analyzing a potential reform of the Dutch pension system, effects of increasing international mobility of financial capital to pension policies, and public debt reduction policies in relation to possible adverse effects of taxation on wage formation and unemployment.

Japan's New Economy

Japan's New Economy
Author: Magnus Blomström
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Total Pages: 342
Release: 2001
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0199241724

Japan's economy stumbled in the 1990s, after four decades of rapid growth that transformed Japan into a wealthy country at the world's technological frontier. This volume explores the forces that will drive structural and institutional change in Japan over the next decade.

IMF Staff papers, Volume 37 No. 3

IMF Staff papers, Volume 37 No. 3
Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 292
Release: 1990-01-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451973063

This paper analyzes macroeconomic effects of projected population aging in industrial countries. The effects of population aging are examined with a theoretical model and simulations of the IMF’s multiregion econometric model (MULTIMOD). The study highlights that an older population will consume more of aggregate disposable income, require higher government expenditure, and decrease labor supply. These effects should raise real interest rates and lower capital stock and output. Effects on current balances will depend on the relative speed and extent of aging.

The G7/G8 System

The G7/G8 System
Author: Peter I Hajnal
Publisher: Routledge
Total Pages: 201
Release: 2019-01-04
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 0429790856

First published in 1999, this guide to the G7/G8 system discusses the origins, characteristics, role and agenda of the G7/G8 system; reviews its evolution; surveys the major debates and questions about the G7/G8; and provides a detailed study of its complex and elusive documentation. It also includes a comprehensive bibliography, of the G7/G8 and its concerns, listing over 600 books, shorter writings, publications in series, book chapters, articles in periodicals, government publications, international organisation publications and Internet resources. The book is intended as a contribution to scholarly literature and as a useful work of reference for academics, government officials, the media, libraries and the general public.