A Statistical Response to Challenges in Vast Portfolio Selection

A Statistical Response to Challenges in Vast Portfolio Selection
Author: Danqiao Guo
Publisher:
Total Pages: 166
Release: 2019
Genre: Portfolio management
ISBN:

The thesis is written in response to emerging issues brought about by an increasing number of assets allocated in a portfolio and seeks answers to puzzling empirical findings in the portfolio management area. Over the years, researchers and practitioners working in the portfolio optimization area have been concerned with estimation errors in the first two moments of asset returns. The thesis comprises several related chapters on our statistical inquiry into this subject. Chapter 1 of the thesis contains an introduction to what will be reported in the remaining chapters. A few well-known covariance matrix estimation methods in the literature involve adjustment of sample eigenvalues. Chapter 2 of the thesis examines the effects of sample eigenvalue adjustment on the out-of-sample performance of a portfolio constructed from the sample covariance matrix. We identify a few sample eigenvalue adjustment patterns that lead to a definite improvement in the out-of-sample portfolio Sharpe ratio when the true covariance matrix admits a high-dimensional factor model. Chapter 3 shows that even when the covariance matrix is poorly estimated, it is still possible to obtain a robust maximum Sharpe ratio (MSR) portfolio by exploiting the uneven distribution of estimation errors across principal components. This is accomplished by approximating the vector of expected future asset returns using a few relatively accurate sample principal components. We discuss two approximation methods. The first method leads to a subtle connection to existing approaches in the literature, while the second one named the ``spectral selection method" is novel and able to address main shortcomings of existing methods in the literature. A few academic studies report an unsatisfactory performance of the optimized portfolios relative to that of the 1/N portfolio. Chapter 4 of the thesis reports an in-depth investigation into the reasons behind the reported superior performance of the 1/N portfolio. It is supported by both theoretical and empirical evidence that the success of the 1/N portfolio is by no means due to the failure of the portfolio optimization theory. Instead, a major reason behind the superiority of the 1/N portfolio is its adjacency to the mean-variance optimal portfolio. Chapter 5 examines the performance of randomized 1/N stock portfolios over time. During the last four decades these portfolios outperformed the market. The construction of these portfolios implies that their constituent stocks are in general older than those in the market as a whole. We show that the differential performance can be explained by the relation between stock returns and firm age. We document a significant relation between age and returns in the US stock market. Since 1977 stock returns have been an increasing function of age apart from the oldest ages. For this period the age effect completely dominates the size effect.

Portfolio Choice Problems

Portfolio Choice Problems
Author: Nicolas Chapados
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 107
Release: 2011-07-12
Genre: Computers
ISBN: 1461405777

This brief offers a broad, yet concise, coverage of portfolio choice, containing both application-oriented and academic results, along with abundant pointers to the literature for further study. It cuts through many strands of the subject, presenting not only the classical results from financial economics but also approaches originating from information theory, machine learning and operations research. This compact treatment of the topic will be valuable to students entering the field, as well as practitioners looking for a broad coverage of the topic.

Proceedings of the First International Conference on Applied Mathematics, Statistics, and Computing (ICAMSAC 2023)

Proceedings of the First International Conference on Applied Mathematics, Statistics, and Computing (ICAMSAC 2023)
Author: Komang Dharmawan
Publisher: Springer Nature
Total Pages: 277
Release: 2024
Genre: Electronic books
ISBN: 9464634138

Zusammenfassung: This is an open access book. ICAMSAC 2023 Theme: Application of Mathematics and Computing in Multidisciplinary Research With Scope Application of Mathematics and Computing in Multidisciplinary Research The Subject Scope of The Conference Mathematical modeling, optimization, numerical analysis, differential equations, mathematical physics, and mathematical biology. probability theory, statistical modeling, experimental design, data visualization, multivariate analysis, machine learning, and applications of statistics in various domains such as finance, healthcare, social sciences, and engineering, cloud computing, programming languages, algorithms, artificial intelligence, data mining, high-performance computing, scientific computing, numerical simulations, and computational modeling. ICAMSAC 2023 aims to bring together leading academic scientists, researchers, andresearch scholars to exchance and share their experiences and research results on all aspects of Mathematics, Statistics, and Computing. It also provides a platform researchers, practitioners, and educators to present and discuss recent innovations, current issues, trends, and challenges faced

Artificial Intelligence in Asset Management

Artificial Intelligence in Asset Management
Author: Söhnke M. Bartram
Publisher: CFA Institute Research Foundation
Total Pages: 95
Release: 2020-08-28
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 195292703X

Artificial intelligence (AI) has grown in presence in asset management and has revolutionized the sector in many ways. It has improved portfolio management, trading, and risk management practices by increasing efficiency, accuracy, and compliance. In particular, AI techniques help construct portfolios based on more accurate risk and return forecasts and more complex constraints. Trading algorithms use AI to devise novel trading signals and execute trades with lower transaction costs. AI also improves risk modeling and forecasting by generating insights from new data sources. Finally, robo-advisors owe a large part of their success to AI techniques. Yet the use of AI can also create new risks and challenges, such as those resulting from model opacity, complexity, and reliance on data integrity.

Portfolio Decision Analysis

Portfolio Decision Analysis
Author: Ahti Salo
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 410
Release: 2011-08-12
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1441999434

Portfolio Decision Analysis: Improved Methods for Resource Allocation provides an extensive, up-to-date coverage of decision analytic methods which help firms and public organizations allocate resources to 'lumpy' investment opportunities while explicitly recognizing relevant financial and non-financial evaluation criteria and the presence of alternative investment opportunities. In particular, it discusses the evolution of these methods, presents new methodological advances and illustrates their use across several application domains. The book offers a many-faceted treatment of portfolio decision analysis (PDA). Among other things, it (i) synthesizes the state-of-play in PDA, (ii) describes novel methodologies, (iii) fosters the deployment of these methodologies, and (iv) contributes to the strengthening of research on PDA. Portfolio problems are widely regarded as the single most important application context of decision analysis, and, with its extensive and unique coverage of these problems, this book is a much-needed addition to the literature. The book also presents innovative treatments of new methodological approaches and their uses in applications. The intended audience consists of practitioners and researchers who wish to gain a good understanding of portfolio decision analysis and insights into how PDA methods can be leveraged in different application contexts. The book can also be employed in courses at the post-graduate level.

Smart Agriculture

Smart Agriculture
Author: Govind Singh Patel
Publisher: CRC Press
Total Pages: 268
Release: 2021-02-11
Genre: Technology & Engineering
ISBN: 1000327892

This book endeavours to highlight the untapped potential of Smart Agriculture for the innovation and expansion of the agriculture sector. The sector shall make incremental progress as it learns from associations between data over time through Artificial Intelligence, deep learning and Internet of Things applications. The farming industry and Smart agriculture develop from the stringent limits imposed by a farm's location, which in turn has a series of related effects with respect to supply chain management, food availability, biodiversity, farmers' decision-making and insurance, and environmental concerns among others. All of the above-mentioned aspects will derive substantial benefits from the implementation of a data-driven approach under the condition that the systems, tools and techniques to be used have been designed to handle the volume and variety of the data to be gathered. Contributions to this book have been solicited with the goal of uncovering the possibilities of engaging agriculture with equipped and effective profound learning algorithms. Most agricultural research centres are already adopting Internet of Things for the monitoring of a wide range of farm services, and there are significant opportunities for agriculture administration through the effective implementation of Machine Learning, Deep Learning, Big Data and IoT structures.

Powering the Digital Economy: Opportunities and Risks of Artificial Intelligence in Finance

Powering the Digital Economy: Opportunities and Risks of Artificial Intelligence in Finance
Author: El Bachir Boukherouaa
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 35
Release: 2021-10-22
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1589063953

This paper discusses the impact of the rapid adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) in the financial sector. It highlights the benefits these technologies bring in terms of financial deepening and efficiency, while raising concerns about its potential in widening the digital divide between advanced and developing economies. The paper advances the discussion on the impact of this technology by distilling and categorizing the unique risks that it could pose to the integrity and stability of the financial system, policy challenges, and potential regulatory approaches. The evolving nature of this technology and its application in finance means that the full extent of its strengths and weaknesses is yet to be fully understood. Given the risk of unexpected pitfalls, countries will need to strengthen prudential oversight.

Strengthening Forensic Science in the United States

Strengthening Forensic Science in the United States
Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
Total Pages: 348
Release: 2009-07-29
Genre: Law
ISBN: 0309142393

Scores of talented and dedicated people serve the forensic science community, performing vitally important work. However, they are often constrained by lack of adequate resources, sound policies, and national support. It is clear that change and advancements, both systematic and scientific, are needed in a number of forensic science disciplines to ensure the reliability of work, establish enforceable standards, and promote best practices with consistent application. Strengthening Forensic Science in the United States: A Path Forward provides a detailed plan for addressing these needs and suggests the creation of a new government entity, the National Institute of Forensic Science, to establish and enforce standards within the forensic science community. The benefits of improving and regulating the forensic science disciplines are clear: assisting law enforcement officials, enhancing homeland security, and reducing the risk of wrongful conviction and exoneration. Strengthening Forensic Science in the United States gives a full account of what is needed to advance the forensic science disciplines, including upgrading of systems and organizational structures, better training, widespread adoption of uniform and enforceable best practices, and mandatory certification and accreditation programs. While this book provides an essential call-to-action for congress and policy makers, it also serves as a vital tool for law enforcement agencies, criminal prosecutors and attorneys, and forensic science educators.

Multi-Period Trading Via Convex Optimization

Multi-Period Trading Via Convex Optimization
Author: Stephen Boyd
Publisher:
Total Pages: 92
Release: 2017-07-28
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 9781680833287

This monograph collects in one place the basic definitions, a careful description of the model, and discussion of how convex optimization can be used in multi-period trading, all in a common notation and framework.