Why Americans Split Their Tickets
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| Author | : Barry C. Burden |
| Publisher | : University of Michigan Press |
| Total Pages | : 220 |
| Release | : 2009-12-22 |
| Genre | : Political Science |
| ISBN | : 0472023063 |
Why do some voters split their ballots, selecting a Republican for one office and a Democrat for another? Why do voters often choose one party to control the White House while the other controls the Congress? Barry Burden and David Kimball address these fundamental puzzles of American elections by explaining the causes of divided government and debunking the myth that voters prefer the division of power over one-party control. Why Americans Split Their Tickets links recent declines in ticket-splitting to sharpening policy differences between parties and demonstrates why candidates' ideological positions still matter in American elections. "Burden and Kimball have given us the most careful and thorough analysis of split-ticket voting yet. It won't settle all of the arguments about the origins of ticket splitting and divided government, but these arguments will now be much better informed. Why Americans Split Their Tickets is essential reading for anyone interested in understanding the major trends in U.S. electoral politics of the past several decades." -Gary Jacobson, University of California, San Diego "When voters split their tickets or produce divided government, it is common to attribute the outcome as a strategic verdict or a demand for partisan balance. Burden and Kimball strongly challenge such claims. With a thorough and deft use of statistics, they portray ticket-splitting as a by-product of the separate circumstances that drive the outcomes of the different electoral contests. This will be the book to be reckoned with on the matter of ticket splitting." -Robert Erikson, Columbia University "[Burden and Kimball] offset the expansive statistical analysis by delving into the historical circumstances and results of recent campaigns and elections. ... [They] make a scholarly and informative contribution to the understanding of the voting habits of the American electorate-and the resulting composition of American government." -Shant Mesrobian, NationalJournal.com
| Author | : Jack Edelson |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 219 |
| Release | : 2020 |
| Genre | : |
| ISBN | : |
The linkages between partisanship, split-ticket voting, and divided government have long been treated as trivial, even deterministic. Independents, it has been consistently shown, are more likely to split their tickets than are partisans, to the point that this behavior has sometimes been considered the truest indicator of independence. Similarly, the relationship between split-ticket voting and divided government has gone unquestioned, with several scholars asserting that universal straight-ticket voting inevitably leads to unified government. This dissertation argues that more nuance is needed, and that both relationships can, under certain circumstances, be inverted. The first two chapters focus on the relationship between partisanship and ticket splitting. Using a simple formal model, I predict that when the same party runs stronger candidates in two races, partisans of the disadvantaged party will be more likely than independents to split their tickets. In the first and second chapters, respectively, the theory is confirmed using ANES data from 1952 to 2016 and an experiment using Amazon's Mechanical Turk. In the third chapter, I show that, rather than promoting divided government, ticket-splitting is sometimes a necessary condition for unified government. In 2012, Barack Obama won the presidency while losing the majority of congressional districts, meaning that government would have been divided even if no voters split their tickets. As a way of examining whether or not this was a unique occurrence, I re-examine the five presidential elections from 1876 to 1892. Previous scholars have claimed that the rarity of divided government during this period was due to the lack of split-ticket voting. However, using a novel dataset of presidential election results in congressional districts, I demonstrate that in two of these five elections, divided government would have resulted had voters split their tickets. The chapter argues for a more sophisticated understanding of the ways in which electoral bias in presidential and House elections, as well as candidate quality, shaped political outcomes in the late nineteenth century.
| Author | : Walter De Vries |
| Publisher | : Grand Rapids : Eerdmans |
| Total Pages | : 162 |
| Release | : 1972 |
| Genre | : Elections |
| ISBN | : |
| Author | : V. Lance Tarrance |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 160 |
| Release | : 1998 |
| Genre | : Political Science |
| ISBN | : |
Increasingly, American voters are abandoning partisan support of political prties and engaging in split-ticket voting based on individual candidates. The authors' discussion concludes that this practice is resulting in a more effective working government.M
| Author | : Andrew A. Keene |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 138 |
| Release | : 2012 |
| Genre | : Party affiliation |
| ISBN | : |
"Why would a single voter cast a ballot for two public officials from different parties who represent different political philosophies? I explore the aggregate level variables that may influence net split-ticket voting and whether or not a state observes a presidential election years from 1988-2008. This paper examines the expected effects of socioeconomic and candidate characteristic variables on ticket splitting. In particular, this study focuses on whether ticket splitting dynamics in Electoral College battleground states are distinct from those in noncompetitive states. I posit that the substantial amount of attention from presidential candidates in battleground states polarizes voters and contributes to straight ticket voting. The analysis conststs of two sections using linear and logistic regression analysis, respectively, of the following dependent variables: (1) the difference in vote share between the Democratic presidential candidate and the Democrat Senate candidate as a measure of net ticket splitting; (2) the split/not split election outcome observed by a state. Each section consists of two parts: (1) independent variables excluding candidate characteristics; (2) independent variables including Senate candidate characteristics of incumbents. Introducing the Setnate candidate characteristic variables does not have a sizeable expected effect on the vote share difference or ticket outcome. In my multivariate analysis, I find that socioeconomic variables of a state best explain the degree of voter partisanship and, ultimately, the results of the election at the aggregate level."--Abstract.
| Author | : Joel David Bloom |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 506 |
| Release | : 2001 |
| Genre | : |
| ISBN | : |
| Author | : Mark D. Brewer |
| Publisher | : SAGE |
| Total Pages | : 241 |
| Release | : 2007 |
| Genre | : Political Science |
| ISBN | : 0872892980 |
Talk of politics in the United States today is abuzz with warring red and blue factions. The message is that Americans are split due to deeply-held beliefs—over abortion, gay marriage, stem-cell research, prayer in public schools. Is this cultural divide a myth, the product of elite partisans? Or is the split real? Yes, argue authors Mark Brewer and Jeffrey Stonecash—the cultural divisions are real. Yet they tell only half the story. Differences in income and economic opportunity also fuel division—a split along class lines. Cultural issues have not displaced class issues, as many believe. Split shows that both divisions coexist meaning that levels of taxation and the quality of healthcare matter just as much as the debate over the right to life versus the right to choose. The authors offer balanced, objective analysis, complete with a wealth of data-rich figures and tables, to explain the social trends underlying these class and cultural divides and then explore the response of the parties and voters. Offering solid empirical evidence, the authors show that how politicians, the media, and interest groups perceive citizen preferences—be they cultural or class based—determines whether or not the public gets what it wants. Simply put, each set of issues creates political conflict and debate that produce very different policies and laws. With a lively and highly readable narrative, students at every level will appreciate the brevity and punch of Split and come away with a more nuanced understanding of the divisions that drive the current American polity.
| Author | : Carolina Plescia |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : 172 |
| Release | : 2016-11-18 |
| Genre | : Political Science |
| ISBN | : 9781785522598 |
This book relaxes common assumptions in the voting behaviour literature to provide an in-depth study of split-ticket voting across ten established and non-established democracies. It proposes an original framework and combines a theoretical investigation with a purely methodological analysis to test the reliability of the predictive models. The broader picture that emerges is the one of a 'simple' voter with 'sophisticated' preferences. Parties still function as the principal cue for voting, but voters appear sophisticated in that they often like more than one party or choose candidates regardless of their party affiliation. Despite mixed-member systems being one of the most complicated electoral systems of all, there is no evidence supporting the conclusion that voters are not able to cope with the complexity of the electoral rules.
| Author | : Ezra Klein |
| Publisher | : Simon and Schuster |
| Total Pages | : 208 |
| Release | : 2020-01-28 |
| Genre | : Political Science |
| ISBN | : 1476700397 |
ONE OF BARACK OBAMA’S FAVORITE BOOKS OF 2022 One of Bill Gates’s “5 books to read this summer,” this New York Times and Wall Street Journal bestseller shows us that America’s political system isn’t broken. The truth is scarier: it’s working exactly as designed. In this “superbly researched” (The Washington Post) and timely book, journalist Ezra Klein reveals how that system is polarizing us—and how we are polarizing it—with disastrous results. “The American political system—which includes everyone from voters to journalists to the president—is full of rational actors making rational decisions given the incentives they face,” writes political analyst Ezra Klein. “We are a collection of functional parts whose efforts combine into a dysfunctional whole.” “A thoughtful, clear and persuasive analysis” (The New York Times Book Review), Why We’re Polarized reveals the structural and psychological forces behind America’s descent into division and dysfunction. Neither a polemic nor a lament, this book offers a clear framework for understanding everything from Trump’s rise to the Democratic Party’s leftward shift to the politicization of everyday culture. America is polarized, first and foremost, by identity. Everyone engaged in American politics is engaged, at some level, in identity politics. Over the past fifty years in America, our partisan identities have merged with our racial, religious, geographic, ideological, and cultural identities. These merged identities have attained a weight that is breaking much in our politics and tearing at the bonds that hold this country together. Klein shows how and why American politics polarized around identity in the 20th century, and what that polarization did to the way we see the world and one another. And he traces the feedback loops between polarized political identities and polarized political institutions that are driving our system toward crisis. “Well worth reading” (New York magazine), this is an “eye-opening” (O, The Oprah Magazine) book that will change how you look at politics—and perhaps at yourself.
| Author | : Linda Killian |
| Publisher | : St. Martin's Press |
| Total Pages | : 336 |
| Release | : 2012-01-17 |
| Genre | : Political Science |
| ISBN | : 1429989440 |
As our country's politicians engage in bitter partisan battles, focused on protecting their own jobs but not on doing the nation's business, and political pundits shout louder and shriller to improve their ratings, it's no wonder that Americans have little faith in their government. But is America as divided as the politicians and talking heads would have us believe? Do half of Americans stand on the right and the other half on the left with a no-man's-land between them? Hardly. Forty percent of all American voters are Independents who occupy the ample political and ideological space in the center. These Americans are anything but divided, and they're being ignored. These Independents make up the largest voting bloc in the nation and have determined the outcome of every election since World War II. Every year their numbers grow, as does the unconscionable disconnect between them and the officials who are supposed to represent them. The Swing Vote: The Untapped Power of Independents tells the story of how our polarized political system is not only misrepresenting America but failing it. Linda Killian looks beyond the polls and the headlines and talks with the frustrated citizens who are raising the alarm about the acute bi-polarity, special interest-influence, and gridlock in Congress, asking why Obama's postpartisan presidency is anything but, and demanding realism, honest negotiation, and a sense of responsibility from their elected officials. Killian paints a vivid portrait of the swing voters around the country and presents a new model that reveals who they are and what they want from their government and elected officials. She also offers a way forward, including solutions for fixing our broken political system. This is not only a timely shot across the bows of both parties but an impassioned call to Independents to bring America back into balance.
