Efficient Market Hypothesis

Efficient Market Hypothesis
Author: Mario Chinas
Publisher: Library of Cyprus
Total Pages: 114
Release: 2019-02-23
Genre:
ISBN: 9789925755608

This is the Black & White version of the book, available at a discount, which does not include the research data and analysis tables. There is also a Full Colour version that includes all the research data and analysis tables. What is a Stock Market? How do stock markets operate? Who invests in a stock market and when is it an appropriate tool for investment? Why do we care if a stock market is efficient or not? Where can we find evidence of market efficiency? With what tools can we test market efficiency?These are some of the questions that this book approaches. The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) is a theory in financial economics, developed by Eugene Fama, which states that asset prices fully reflect all available information. Thus, it is implied that stocks always trade at their fair value, making it impossible for investors to "beat the market" via technical or fundamental analysis, since market prices should only react to new information.There are three variants of the EMH: "weak," "semi-strong," and "strong" form. The weak form of the EMH claims that prices already reflect all past publicly available market information. The semi-strong form claims that prices reflect all publicly available information, thus price changes occur to reflect new publicly available information. The strong form adds to this that prices instantly reflect even hidden private "insider" information.Testing the EMH is no easy task: Quantifying the availability of information and its effect on prices and market efficiency is challenging, making research on the subject difficult, time consuming and open to criticism. However, anecdotal evidence suggests that markets at best reach semi-strong form efficiency, with weak form efficiency being the norm. However, even this is challenged by the critics of EMH, via concepts such as Behavioural Finance.This book aims to familiarise the reader with the concept of EMH, covering the fundamentals and relevant literature. We then discuss market efficiency tests for Weak Form Market Efficiency, examining in more detail the day-of-the-week effect and its significance on stock market efficiency. The day-of-the-week effect is defined as a pattern where a certain day of the week has abnormal returns continuously. It is an anomaly that violates the random walk hypothesis, and thus implies that a market is not Weak Form efficient.We put theory into practice through the Empirical Research section which is divided into two parts, looking at two different approaches to researching the day-of-the-week effect, via the examination of actual research examples on a small European stock exchange. Both of these Thesis tested the hypothesis of random walk to determine the authenticity of weak form market efficiency for a small emerging stock market within the EU (the Cyprus Stock Exchange).

The Efficient Market Hypothesis and Its Application to Stock Markets

The Efficient Market Hypothesis and Its Application to Stock Markets
Author: Sebastian Harder
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Total Pages: 65
Release: 2010-11
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3640743768

Research Paper (undergraduate) from the year 2008 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 1.7, The FOM University of Applied Sciences, Hamburg, language: English, abstract: Especially after the 90ies, where the stock markets raised enormously, many private investors joined the stock market and were blended by abnormal profits and neglected possible losses. The same behavior could be observed before the Financial Crisis became reality. But each endless raising stock market would finally collapse, because stock prices are randomly and only driven by relevant news. The adjustment to the news is quickly. This is the theoretical argumentation of the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH), which will be evaluated in this paper. The author gives an overview about the EMH by explaining the basic principles and its mathematical formulation. The practical part evaluated the EMH on selected examples, where the theory could only be partly approved.

Weak-Form Market Efficiency in India and Its Emerging Asian Counterparts

Weak-Form Market Efficiency in India and Its Emerging Asian Counterparts
Author: B. J. Queensly Jeyanthi
Publisher:
Total Pages: 0
Release: 2011
Genre:
ISBN:

The majority of efficient market research has focused on the major US and European securities market. Very few research studies have investigated the markets of developing and less-developed countries. In this study, the existence of weak-form efficiency of Asian emerging stock markets is analyzed. The sample includes the daily price indices namely China (SSEC), Indonesia (JKSE), Kuala Lumpur (KLSE), Korea (KS11), Taiwan (TWII) and India (Nifty) for the period of April 1, 1998 to March 31, 2009. The hypothesis of the study is whether the Asian emerging stock market is weak-form efficient. The results of Kolmogrov-Smirnov normality test and run test, autocorrelation test and Ljung-Box (LB) test provide evidence that the share return series do not follow random walk model and the significant autocorrelation coefficient at different lags reject the null hypothesis of weak-form efficiency. But the unit root hypothesis provides sufficient evidence that stock prices of Asian emerging markets follow random walk process. On the basis of the unit root test (nonstationarity) it can be concluded that the Asian emerging markets are weak-form efficient. This research enables the security analysts, investors and security exchange regulatory bodies to make policy decisions and to improve the market condition.

An Empirical Test of Weak Form Market Efficiency on an Emerging Market

An Empirical Test of Weak Form Market Efficiency on an Emerging Market
Author: Md Khan
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2017
Genre:
ISBN:

Efficient Market Hypothesis is the cornerstone of modern financial theories. As the tests of market efficiency firstly started from developed markets, the studies on these markets are more in numbers compared with that of on emerging markets. Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) is an emerging market of South Asia. The current study has tested this market against weak form market efficiency by using a set of Parametric (serial correlation coefficient test, unit root test, ARIMA) and Non-parametric tests (runs test, Kolmogorov Smirnov test, Shapiro Wilk test) on DGEN and DSE 20 index (two indices of DSE) for the period of 2002-2010 and has concluded that the market is not weak form efficient.

Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets

Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets
Author: Wing-Keung Wong
Publisher: Mdpi AG
Total Pages: 232
Release: 2022-02-17
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9783036530802

The Efficient Market Hypothesis believes that it is impossible for an investor to outperform the market because all available information is already built into stock prices. However, some anomalies could persist in stock markets while some other anomalies could appear, disappear and re-appear again without any warning. A Special Issue on "Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets" will be devoted to advancements in the theoretical development of market efficiency and anomaly in the Stock Market, as well as applications in Stock Market efficiency and anomalies.

The Dynamics of Emerging Stock Markets

The Dynamics of Emerging Stock Markets
Author: Mohamed El Hedi Arouri
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 214
Release: 2009-12-24
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3790823899

Emerging markets have received a particular attention of academic researchers and practitioners since they decided to open their domestic capital markets to foreign participants about three decades ago. At the same time, we remark that theoretical and empirical research in emerging stock markets has been particularly challenged by their fast changes in nature and size under the effects of financial liberalization and reforms. This evolving feature has particularly led to a commensurate increase in sophistication of modeling techniques used for understanding financial markets. In this spirit, the book aims at providing the audience a comprehensive understanding of emerging stock markets in various aspects using modern financial econometric methods. It addresses the empirical techniques needed by economic agents to analyze the dynamics of these markets and illustrates how they can be applied to the actual data. On the other hand, it presents and discusses new research findings and their implications.

Testing Market Efficiency

Testing Market Efficiency
Author: Saqib Nisar
Publisher:
Total Pages: 33
Release: 2014
Genre:
ISBN:

As per definition of efficient market hypothesis (EMH), there is a need that stock prices should reflect all available information in the market and no investor is able to earn excess return on the basis of some secretly held private, public or historical information. Efficient market hypothesis (EMH) can be further divided into three sub hypotheses depending upon the information set involved and these are weak form efficient market hypothesis, semi strong form efficient market hypothesis and strong form efficient market hypothesis. This study has examined the weak form of efficiency on the six major stock exchanges that are present in North-America and Europe including NYSE Composite (USA), S&P TSX Composite (Canada), FTSE 100 Index (UK), CAC 40 (France), DAX 30 (Germany) and IBEX 35 (Spain). Historical index values are gathered on a monthly, weekly and daily basis for a period of 14 Years (July 1997 to June 2011). Two statistical tests including runs test, and variance ratio test were applied for analysis and results. It is found in the process that two out of six developed stock markets of North-America and Europe doesn't follow Random-walk and hence NYSE Composite, S&P TSX Composite, DAX 30 (Germany) and IBEX 35 (Spain) are the weak form of efficient markets.

Market Efficiency in the Emerging Securitized Real Estate Markets

Market Efficiency in the Emerging Securitized Real Estate Markets
Author: Felix Schindler
Publisher:
Total Pages: 36
Release: 2018
Genre:
ISBN:

This paper tests the random walk hypothesis and market efficiency for twelve emerging as well as for four developed securitized real estate markets from 1992 to 2009. Random walk properties of equity prices influence return dynamics, and market efficiency is often considered an essential criterion in the assessment of the functionality of markets and the asset pricing process, which is of significant relevance for emerging markets in particular. The analysis is based on autocorrelation tests as well as both single variance and multiple variance ratio tests. Furthermore, non-parametric runs tests are conducted. Empirical evidence shows that the efficient market hypothesis in its weak form is not rejected by any statistical test for seven of the twelve analyzed emerging securitized real estate markets. This result is surprising since all four developed securitized real estate stock markets analyzed in this study do not follow a random walk. The results are confirmed by the analysis of excess returns following from technical trading rules.