Commonality, Information and Return/Return Volatility - Volume Relationship

Commonality, Information and Return/Return Volatility - Volume Relationship
Author: Xiaojun He
Publisher:
Total Pages: 36
Release: 2003
Genre:
ISBN:

This paper develops a common-factor model to investigate relationships between security returns/return volatility and trading volume. The model generalizes Tauchen and Pitts' (1983) MDH model by capturing possible interactions among securities. In our model, both price changes and trading volume are governed by three kinds of mutually independent variables: common factor variables, latent information variables and idiosyncratic variables. Despite its similarity to Hasbrouck and Seppi's (2001) model in terms of the form, the model extraordinarily allows us to identify the cause of interactions among securities by decomposing factor loadings into constant and random components. Three key implications are reached from our model. First, common factor structures in returns and trading volume stem from information flows. Second, returns' common factors are not related to trading volume's common factors. This implication directly opposes Hasbrouck and Seppi's (2001) assumption. Finally, cross-firm variations of returns and volume respectively rely on underlying latent information flows. The positive relation between return volatility and volume also results only from underlying latent information flows. Thus, common factor structures in returns and trading volume have no additional explanatory power in cross-firm variations and the positive return volatility-volume relationship. We fit the model for intraday data of Dow Jones 30 stocks using the EM algorithm. The results support specifications of our model. The empirical results demonstrate 3-factor structures in returns and trading volume, respectively. All 30 stocks in our sample are governed by at least one common factor. This fact implies that our model outperforms Tauchen and Pitts' (1983) model because their model is a special case of our model without the presence of common factors. We also show that after controlling the effect of information flows, persistence in return variance disappears.

Trading Volume, Volatility and Return Dynamics

Trading Volume, Volatility and Return Dynamics
Author: Leon Zolotoy
Publisher:
Total Pages: 36
Release: 2007
Genre:
ISBN:

In this paper we study the dynamic relationship between trading volume, volatility, and stock returns at the international stock markets. First, we examine the role of volume and volatility in the individual stock market dynamics using a sample of ten major developed stock markets. Next, we extend our analysis to a multiple market framework, based on a large sample of cross-listed firms. Our analysis is based on both semi-nonparametric (Flexible Fourier Form) and parametric techniques. Our major findings are as follows. First, we find no evidence of the trading volume affecting the serial correlation of stock market returns, as predicted by Campbell et.al (1993) and Wang (1994). Second, the stock market volatility has a negative and statistically significant impact on the serial correlation of the stock market returns, consistent with the positive feedback trading model of Sentana and Wadhwani (1992). Third, the lagged trading volume is positively related to the stock market volatility, supporting the information flow theory. Fourth, we find the trading volume to have both an economically and statistically significant impact on the price discovery process and the co-movement between the international stock markets. Overall, these findings suggest the importance of the trading volume as an information variable.

Volume, Volatility and Momentum in Financial Markets

Volume, Volatility and Momentum in Financial Markets
Author: Marcus Davidsson
Publisher:
Total Pages: 13
Release: 2014
Genre:
ISBN:

In this paper we will discuss the relationship among volume, volatility and return momentum in global financial markets. It turns out that when the volatility is large i.e. the difference between the daily high price and the daily low price is large then the trading volume is also large. We also found that a momentum strategy on volume perform on par with a momentum return investment strategy. A significant amount of positive serial correlation was also found in the volatility and volume.

Noise Trading, Transaction Costs, and the Relationship of Stock Returns and Trading Volume

Noise Trading, Transaction Costs, and the Relationship of Stock Returns and Trading Volume
Author: Mr.Charles Frederick Kramer
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 36
Release: 1994-10-01
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1451854870

The relationship of stock returns and trading volume is the focus of much recent interest. I examine an economic model of a rational trader who operates in a market with transactions costs and noise trading. The level of trading affects the rational trader’s marginal cost of transacting; as a result, trading volume is a source of risk. This engenders an equilibrium relationship between returns and volume. The model also provides a simple way to scrutinize this relationship empirically. Empirical evidence supports the implications of the model.

Volume and the Nonlinear Dynamics of Stock Returns

Volume and the Nonlinear Dynamics of Stock Returns
Author: Chiente Hsu
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 136
Release: 2012-12-06
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3642457657

This manuscript is about the joint dynamics of stock returns and trading volume. It grew out of my attempt to construct an intertemporal asset pricing model with rational agents which can. explain the relation between volume, volatility and persistence of stock return documented in empirical literature. Most part of the manuscript is taken from my thesis. I wish to express my deep appreciation to Peter Kugler and Benedikt Poetscher, my advisors of the thesis, for their invaluable guidance and support. I wish to thank Gerhard Orosel and Gerhard Sorger for their encouraging and helpful discussions. Finally, my thanks go to George Tauchen who has been generous in giving me the benefit of his numerical and computational experience, in providing me with programs and in his encouragement. Contents 1 Introduction 1 7 2 Efficient Stock Markets Equilibrium Models of Asset Pricing 8 2. 1 2. 1. 1 The Martigale Model of Stock Prices 8 2. 1. 2 Lucas' Consumption Based Asset Pricing Model 9 2. 2 Econometric Tests of the Efficient Market Hypothesis 13 2. 2. 1 Autocorrelation Based Tests 14 16 2. 2. 2 Volatility Tests Time-Varying Expected Returns 25 2. 2. 3 3 The Informational Role of Volume 29 3. 1 Standard Grossman-Stiglitz Model 31 3. 2 The No-Trad Result of the BEO Model 34 A Model with Nontradable Asset 37 3. 3 4 Volume and Volatility of Stock Returns 43 4. 1 Empirical and Numerical Results 45 4.