Using Monte Carlo Simulation and Importance Sampling to Rapidly Obtain Jump-Diffusion Prices of Continuous Barrier Options

Using Monte Carlo Simulation and Importance Sampling to Rapidly Obtain Jump-Diffusion Prices of Continuous Barrier Options
Author: Mark S. Joshi
Publisher:
Total Pages: 15
Release: 2007
Genre:
ISBN:

The problem of pricing a continuous barrier option in a jump-diffusion model is studied. It is shown that via an effective combination of importance sampling and analytic formulas thatsubstantial speed ups can be achieved. These techniques are shown to be particularly effective for computing deltas.

Financial Modelling

Financial Modelling
Author: Joerg Kienitz
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 736
Release: 2013-02-18
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0470744898

Financial modelling Theory, Implementation and Practice with MATLAB Source Jörg Kienitz and Daniel Wetterau Financial Modelling - Theory, Implementation and Practice with MATLAB Source is a unique combination of quantitative techniques, the application to financial problems and programming using Matlab. The book enables the reader to model, design and implement a wide range of financial models for derivatives pricing and asset allocation, providing practitioners with complete financial modelling workflow, from model choice, deriving prices and Greeks using (semi-) analytic and simulation techniques, and calibration even for exotic options. The book is split into three parts. The first part considers financial markets in general and looks at the complex models needed to handle observed structures, reviewing models based on diffusions including stochastic-local volatility models and (pure) jump processes. It shows the possible risk-neutral densities, implied volatility surfaces, option pricing and typical paths for a variety of models including SABR, Heston, Bates, Bates-Hull-White, Displaced-Heston, or stochastic volatility versions of Variance Gamma, respectively Normal Inverse Gaussian models and finally, multi-dimensional models. The stochastic-local-volatility Libor market model with time-dependent parameters is considered and as an application how to price and risk-manage CMS spread products is demonstrated. The second part of the book deals with numerical methods which enables the reader to use the models of the first part for pricing and risk management, covering methods based on direct integration and Fourier transforms, and detailing the implementation of the COS, CONV, Carr-Madan method or Fourier-Space-Time Stepping. This is applied to pricing of European, Bermudan and exotic options as well as the calculation of the Greeks. The Monte Carlo simulation technique is outlined and bridge sampling is discussed in a Gaussian setting and for Lévy processes. Computation of Greeks is covered using likelihood ratio methods and adjoint techniques. A chapter on state-of-the-art optimization algorithms rounds up the toolkit for applying advanced mathematical models to financial problems and the last chapter in this section of the book also serves as an introduction to model risk. The third part is devoted to the usage of Matlab, introducing the software package by describing the basic functions applied for financial engineering. The programming is approached from an object-oriented perspective with examples to propose a framework for calibration, hedging and the adjoint method for calculating Greeks in a Libor market model. Source code used for producing the results and analysing the models is provided on the author's dedicated website, http://www.mathworks.de/matlabcentral/fileexchange/authors/246981.

Variance Reduction for Monte Carlo Simulation of European, American Or Barrier Options in a Stochastic Volatility Environment

Variance Reduction for Monte Carlo Simulation of European, American Or Barrier Options in a Stochastic Volatility Environment
Author:
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2002
Genre:
ISBN:

In this work we develop a methodology to reduce the variance when applying Monte Carlo simulation to the pricing of a European, American or Barrier option in a stochastic volatility environment. We begin by presenting some applicable concepts in the theory of stochastic differential equations. Secondly, we develop the model for the evolution of an asset price under constant volatility. We next present the replicating portfolio and equivalent martingale measure approaches to the pricing of a European style option. Modeling an asset price utilizing constant volatility has been shown to be an inefficient model[8,16]. One way to compensate for this inefficiency is the use of stochastic volatility models, which involves modeling the volatility as a function of a stochastic process[26]. A class of these models is presented and a discussion is given on how to price European options in this framework. After developing the methods of how to price, we begin our discussion on Monte Carlo simulation of European options in a stochastic volatility environment. We start by describing how to simulate Monte Carlo for a diffusion process modeled as a stochastic differential equation. The essential element to our variance reduction technique, which is known as importance sampling, is hereafter presented. Importance sampling requires a preliminary approximation to the expectation of interest, which we obtain by a fast mean-reversion expansion of the pricing partial differential equation[22,6]. A detailed discussion is given on this fast mean-reversion expansion technique, which was first presented in [10]. We shall compare utilizing this method of expansion with that developed in [11], which is know as small noise expansion, and demonstrate numerically the efficiency of the fast mean-reversion expansion, in particular in the presence of a skew. We next wish to apply our variance reduction technique to the pricing of an American and barrier option. A discussion is given on how to price.

Efficient Monte Carlo Barrier Option Pricing When the Underlying Security Price Follows a Jump-Diffusion Process

Efficient Monte Carlo Barrier Option Pricing When the Underlying Security Price Follows a Jump-Diffusion Process
Author: Sheldon Ross
Publisher:
Total Pages:
Release: 2013
Genre:
ISBN:

We present efficient simulation procedures for pricing barrier options when the underlying security price follows a geometric Brownian motion with jumps. Metwally and Atiya [2002] developed a simulation approach for pricing knock-out options in the same setting, but no variance reduction was introduced. We improve upon Metwally and Atiya's method by innovative applications of well-known variance reduction techniques. We also show how to use simulation to price knock-in options. Numerical examples show that our proposed Monte Carlo procedures lead to substantial variance reduction as well as a reduction in computing time.

Sequential Monte Carlo Methods in Practice

Sequential Monte Carlo Methods in Practice
Author: Arnaud Doucet
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 590
Release: 2013-03-09
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1475734379

Monte Carlo methods are revolutionizing the on-line analysis of data in many fileds. They have made it possible to solve numerically many complex, non-standard problems that were previously intractable. This book presents the first comprehensive treatment of these techniques.

Fast Sequential Monte Carlo Methods for Counting and Optimization

Fast Sequential Monte Carlo Methods for Counting and Optimization
Author: Reuven Y. Rubinstein
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Total Pages: 212
Release: 2013-12-04
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 1118612264

A comprehensive account of the theory and application of Monte Carlo methods Based on years of research in efficient Monte Carlo methods for estimation of rare-event probabilities, counting problems, and combinatorial optimization, Fast Sequential Monte Carlo Methods for Counting and Optimization is a complete illustration of fast sequential Monte Carlo techniques. The book provides an accessible overview of current work in the field of Monte Carlo methods, specifically sequential Monte Carlo techniques, for solving abstract counting and optimization problems. Written by authorities in the field, the book places emphasis on cross-entropy, minimum cross-entropy, splitting, and stochastic enumeration. Focusing on the concepts and application of Monte Carlo techniques, Fast Sequential Monte Carlo Methods for Counting and Optimization includes: Detailed algorithms needed to practice solving real-world problems Numerous examples with Monte Carlo method produced solutions within the 1-2% limit of relative error A new generic sequential importance sampling algorithm alongside extensive numerical results An appendix focused on review material to provide additional background information Fast Sequential Monte Carlo Methods for Counting and Optimization is an excellent resource for engineers, computer scientists, mathematicians, statisticians, and readers interested in efficient simulation techniques. The book is also useful for upper-undergraduate and graduate-level courses on Monte Carlo methods.

Addressing the Bias in Monte Carlo Pricing of Multi-Asset Options with Multiple Barriers Through Discrete Sampling

Addressing the Bias in Monte Carlo Pricing of Multi-Asset Options with Multiple Barriers Through Discrete Sampling
Author: Pavel V. Shevchenko
Publisher:
Total Pages: 20
Release: 2014
Genre:
ISBN:

An efficient conditioning technique, the so-called Brownian Bridge simulation, has previously been applied to eliminate pricing bias that arises in applications of the standard discrete-time Monte Carlo method to evaluate options written on the continuous-time extrema of an underlying asset. It is based on the simple and easy to implement analytic formulas for the distribution of one-dimensional Brownian Bridge extremes. This paper extends the technique to the valuation of multi-asset options with knock-out barriers imposed for all or some of the underlying assets. We derive formula for the unbiased option price estimator based on the joint distribution of the multi-dimensional Brownian Bridge dependent extrema. As analytic formulas are not available for the joint distribution in general, we develop upper and lower biased option price estimators based on the distribution of independent extrema and the Fréchet lower and upper bounds for the unknown distribution. All estimators are simple and easy to implement. They can always be used to bind the true value by a confidence interval. Numerical tests indicate that our biased estimators converge rapidly to the true option value as the number of time steps for the asset path simulation increases in comparison to the estimator based on the standard discrete-time method. The convergence rate depends on the correlation and barrier structures of the underlying assets.