U.S. Trade Deficit, the Dollar, and the Price of Oil

U.S. Trade Deficit, the Dollar, and the Price of Oil
Author: James K. Jackson
Publisher: DIANE Publishing
Total Pages: 23
Release: 2008
Genre:
ISBN: 1437931464

This report analyzes the relationship between the dollar and the price of oil and how the two might interact. This report provides an assessment of the impact a range of prices of imported oil could have on the U.S. trade deficit.

Is the U.S. Trade Deficit Sustainable?

Is the U.S. Trade Deficit Sustainable?
Author: Catherine L. Mann
Publisher: Peterson Institute
Total Pages: 226
Release: 1999
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780881322644

The global financial crisis of 1997-98 and the widening US trade deficit have precipitated fresh inquiry into a set of perennial questions about global integration and the US economy. How has global integration affected US producers and workers, and overall growth and inflation? Is a chronic and widening deficit sustainable, or will the dollar crash, perhaps taking the economy with it? If the problem was one of "twin deficits," as many thought, why has the trade deficit continued to grow even as the budget deficit narrowed to zero? If US companies are so competitive, why does the trade deficit persist? Is the trade deficit a result of protectionism abroad? Will it lead to protectionism at home? What role do international capital markets have? Each chapter presents relevant data and a simple analytical framework as the basis for concise discussions of these major issues. The final section of the book provides an outlook for the deficit and suggests alternative policy courses for dealing with it. This book is designed for policymakers and others who are interested in the US role in the world economy. It is also suitable for courses in international economics, business, and international affairs.

Oil, Dollars, Debt, and Crises

Oil, Dollars, Debt, and Crises
Author: Mahmoud A. El-Gamal
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 232
Release: 2010
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0521896142

This book explains the links between past and present oil crises, financial crises, and geopolitical conflicts.

Global Implications of Lower Oil Prices

Global Implications of Lower Oil Prices
Author: Mr.Aasim M. Husain
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 41
Release: 2015-07-14
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 151357227X

The sharp drop in oil prices is one of the most important global economic developments over the past year. The SDN finds that (i) supply factors have played a somewhat larger role than demand factors in driving the oil price drop, (ii) a substantial part of the price decline is expected to persist into the medium term, although there is large uncertainty, (iii) lower oil prices will support global growth, (iv) the sharp oil price drop could still trigger financial strains, and (v) policy responses should depend on the terms-of-trade impact, fiscal and external vulnerabilities, and domestic cyclical position.

Exorbitant Privilege

Exorbitant Privilege
Author: Barry Eichengreen
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Total Pages: 224
Release: 2011-01-07
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0199753784

It is, as a critic of U.S.

Global Trade and the Dollar

Global Trade and the Dollar
Author: Ms.Emine Boz
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Total Pages: 66
Release: 2017-11-13
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 148432885X

We document that the U.S. dollar exchange rate drives global trade prices and volumes. Using a newly constructed data set of bilateral price and volume indices for more than 2,500 country pairs, we establish the following facts: 1) The dollar exchange rate quantitatively dominates the bilateral exchange rate in price pass-through and trade elasticity regressions. U.S. monetary policy induced dollar fluctuations have high pass-through into bilateral import prices. 2) Bilateral non-commodities terms of trade are essentially uncorrelated with bilateral exchange rates. 3) The strength of the U.S. dollar is a key predictor of rest-of-world aggregate trade volume and consumer/producer price inflation. A 1 percent U.S. dollar appreciation against all other currencies in the world predicts a 0.6–0.8 percent decline within a year in the volume of total trade between countries in the rest of the world, controlling for the global business cycle. 4) Using a novel Bayesian semiparametric hierarchical panel data model, we estimate that the importing country’s share of imports invoiced in dollars explains 15 percent of the variance of dollar pass-through/elasticity across country pairs. Our findings strongly support the dominant currency paradigm as opposed to the traditional Mundell-Fleming pricing paradigms.

Clashing Over Commerce

Clashing Over Commerce
Author: Douglas A. Irwin
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Total Pages: 873
Release: 2017-11-29
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 022639901X

A Foreign Affairs Best Book of the Year: “Tells the history of American trade policy . . . [A] grand narrative [that] also debunks trade-policy myths.” —Economist Should the United States be open to commerce with other countries, or should it protect domestic industries from foreign competition? This question has been the source of bitter political conflict throughout American history. Such conflict was inevitable, James Madison argued in the Federalist Papers, because trade policy involves clashing economic interests. The struggle between the winners and losers from trade has always been fierce because dollars and jobs are at stake: depending on what policy is chosen, some industries, farmers, and workers will prosper, while others will suffer. Douglas A. Irwin’s Clashing over Commerce is the most authoritative and comprehensive history of US trade policy to date, offering a clear picture of the various economic and political forces that have shaped it. From the start, trade policy divided the nation—first when Thomas Jefferson declared an embargo on all foreign trade and then when South Carolina threatened to secede from the Union over excessive taxes on imports. The Civil War saw a shift toward protectionism, which then came under constant political attack. Then, controversy over the Smoot-Hawley tariff during the Great Depression led to a policy shift toward freer trade, involving trade agreements that eventually produced the World Trade Organization. Irwin makes sense of this turbulent history by showing how different economic interests tend to be grouped geographically, meaning that every proposed policy change found ready champions and opponents in Congress. Deeply researched and rich with insight and detail, Clashing over Commerce provides valuable and enduring insights into US trade policy past and present. “Combines scholarly analysis with a historian’s eye for trends and colorful details . . . readable and illuminating, for the trade expert and for all Americans wanting a deeper understanding of America’s evolving role in the global economy.” —National Review “Magisterial.” —Foreign Affairs

The U.S. Trade Deficit

The U.S. Trade Deficit
Author: U.S. Trade Deficit Review Commission
Publisher:
Total Pages: 342
Release: 2000
Genre: Balance of trade
ISBN:

"Report of the U.S. Trade Deficit Review Commission, November 14, 2000"--Cover p. [2].